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  • BAKU: Absence Of Envoy Rather US Problem

    ABSENCE OF ENVOY RATHER US PROBLEM

    news.az
    Aug 10 2010
    Azerbaijan

    Rahman Hajiyev The appointment of the US envoy in Baku has remained
    the main agenda of the US-Azerbaijani relations for several months.

    As is known, the position of the US ambassador in Azerbaijan has
    remained vacant for a year since the completion of the term of
    ambassador Anne Derse who left Azerbaijan in July 2009.

    Though some experts mostly link the absence of the envoy with purely
    technical aspects of the procedure of appointment of US diplomats,
    in reality, such a long delay can be explained by political motives.

    As is known, Azerbaijan's position on two "US" projects of the last
    year-the Turkish-Armenian rapprochement and Iranian issue clearly
    differed from the one that was prepared by US strategists for him.

    Baku has made it clear on the Iranian issue that its participation in
    any operations against the southern neighbor is merely impossible. In
    addition, Azerbaijani officials have repeatedly stressed the friendly
    relations between Tehran and Baku.

    The second US regional project on the opening of the Armenian-Turkish
    border on which the consensus seems to have been reached between all
    concerned parties (including Russia, US, Armenia and even Turkey)
    was, in turn, suspended due to irreconcilability of Baku that clearly
    stated the impossibility to open borders between Turkey and Armenia
    without parallel resolution of the Karabakh conflict or at least
    serious achievements in the peace process (later the United States
    admitted that these two processes cannot be separated and they must
    go on par-author).

    The Turkish-Armenian rapprochement gripped in Azerbaijan's vice has
    been frustrated by Armenia itself.

    First the Constitutional Court of this country released the full
    text of the resolution on protocols fixing the regulations with
    prerequisites as well as formulations contradicting to the spirit
    and contest of protocols. Later Armenian President Serzh Sargsyan
    passed a decision to suspend the ratification of the two protocols
    signed by Yerevan and Ankara in Zurich in October of the last year
    thus showing its nonconstructiveness.

    Undoubtedly, this foreign policy of Azerbaijan annoyed the United
    States. In addition, this was accompanied by some single-time
    complications in energy sphere.

    Turkey, which is the main artery of the West for pumping energy
    sources to Europe, failed to agree with Azerbaijan on gas tariffs.

    Meanwhile, in line with national interests Azerbaijan continued
    searches of alternative markets to sell its gas.

    The agreement with Russian Gazprom which expressed wish to purchase
    as much gas as Azerbaijan can supply has become one of the variants.

    Throughout the whole period of "confrontation", Azerbaijan has
    repeatedly urged the United States to review its priorities in the
    region and pay attention to Azerbaijan as one of the most important
    partners in spheres of energy, security and fighting international
    terrorism.

    In the result, there appeared a thaw in the relations between the
    countries dating to the climatic warming.

    Azerbaijan and Turkey agreed on gas issue in spring 2010.

    The due agreement between the parties was signed in early June. The
    contract fixed the price of sale of Azerbaijani gas to Turkey, as
    well as the cost of its transit to Europe, which means Azerbaijan
    is among the most real suppliers of gas for Nabucco, lobbied by the
    United States.

    Head of Pentagon Robert Gates paid an official visit to Azerbaijan too.

    It does not matter whether the coincidence of the two crucial events
    was at random. It is more important that Gates has come to Baku
    with a "button" to restart the relations between the United States
    and Azerbaijan.

    In this case the message of Obama in which the US leader tried
    to explain the important contribution of Azerbaijani partners in
    international anti-terror coalition played a role of a button.

    In addition, Obama recognized Azerbaijan's leadership in regional
    processes and stressed Azerbaijan's contribution to regional energy
    security.

    The US president voiced confidence that the complex issues between
    the countries will be settled.

    The restart button has been pressed and we had to wait for the results
    which took not too long to appear.

    The next visit of US Secretary of State Hillary Clinton to the region
    brought more confidence that the new US administration, reviewing
    the situation in the region, has taken a right decision to continue
    the course of restarting relations with Azerbaijan.

    The priorities of relations with Azerbaijan, indicated by Clinton,
    have clearly illustrated the intentions of restart. She listed the
    resolution of the Karabakh conflict, regional security and raising
    Azerbaijan's sovereignty, as well as the development of human capital
    among the main trends of development of ties between Washington
    and Baku.

    But it should be noted that this all occurred on the background of
    the absence of the due level of US communications in Baku. The US
    envoy in Azerbaijan was not appointed yet.

    Undoubtedly, the absence of the ambassador is more a problem of the
    United States than Azerbaijan but it cannot stay unnoticed in the
    Azerbaijani side since sound relations can hardly be built without
    due communications.

    In addition, the absence of the "main" US diplomat in the country can
    be regarded either as a proof of the insufficiently serious approach
    to partner relations or as a result of the resistance of concerned
    parties to the establishment of ties between our countries.

    I think both moments were present in this case.

    In turn, it should be noted that Bryza's candidacy for the post of
    the US embassy in Azerbaijan nominated by Persident Obama has faced
    the unprecedented black PR campaign organized by the Armenian diaspora.

    The campaign launched by the Armenian National Committee of America
    was supported by the "lawyers" of Armenians who accused Bryza of
    almost all sins. He was accused of being incompetent as a diplomat,
    failures of the US policy in the region and even the war between Russia
    and Georgia. In other words, this was a whole set of accusations.

    The Armenian diaspora and lobby have chosen the Senate as the main
    target of their influence. They have sufficient methods of influencing
    this body.

    These are the so-called representatives of the interests of their
    (pro-Armenian) sponsors-congressmen and senators like Frank Pallone
    and the permissibility of lobbying interests with the use of the
    financial tool...

    Anyway, the Senate hampered Bryza's appointment by results of
    discussions in the Committee of International Affairs of the US Senate
    putting it off for at least a few months.

    This "attack" against Bryza showed the way a state (in this case
    Armenia, in the face of its US supporters) can influence the
    relations of the United States with their crucial regional partner
    whose importance was stressed by both the president and the Secretary
    of State.

    The State Department and the White House admitted the need to build
    relations of the new level with Azerbaijan and thereby indicated the
    sphere of national interests of US in the South Caucasus...

    Nonetheless, the US national interests turned out to be on the back
    burner due to the shortcomings in the US political system based on
    the so-called checks and balances principles.

    As is known, curbing of a branch of power with two others is the
    main postulate of this system but the architects of the US political
    system hardly created these balances to curb implementation of national
    interests in different parts of the world.

    Anyway, the Azerbaijani light blinking on the US radar of the South
    Caucasus started to dim again under the influence of different
    concerned groupings tending to hamper the restarting process of the
    US-Azerbaijani relations by all means.

    It is a matter of time whether Obama's administration will be able
    to resist this impact and bring the relations with Azerbaijan to a
    new level not only on words but also in action.

    But one thing is clear by 100%-the real cooperation with Azerbaijan
    complies with the real national interests of the United States and it
    is not limited to the role of Azerbaijan in the anti-terror campaign
    in Afghanistan (which is undoubtedly invaluable). Meanwhile, the
    development of US relations with the South Caucasus is impossible
    without Azerbaijan.

    Azerbaijan is an unquestionable leader of the region, its gate to the
    energy rich Caspian Sea located between Russia and Iran and connecting
    the West and the East and Islamic world with the European citilization.

    Azerbaijan is likely the most stable US partner both in economic and
    political issues which has repeatedly been proven within many years
    of cooperation.

    Time will show whether the executive branches of US power will have
    a strength to remove curbing on the part of the groupings influencing
    the Senate...

    Or will this curbing remain without due resistance?




    From: A. Papazian
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