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ANKARA: Analysts: Turkey Will Lose Credibility If Armenia Talks Fail

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  • ANKARA: Analysts: Turkey Will Lose Credibility If Armenia Talks Fail

    Turkey To Pay 150 Percent More, $300 For Azerbaijani Natural Gas

    Today's Zaman
    Feb 8 2010
    Turkey

    If efforts by Ankara and Yerevan to restore relations fail due to
    Turkey's uneasiness over a recent ruling by an Armenian court that
    Ankara says threatens agreements between the two, it will be Turkey
    that will lose credibility, Armenian analysts have warned.

    After months of Swiss mediation and US encouragement, Turkey and
    Armenia signed two protocols in October 2009 to establish diplomatic
    ties and reopen their shared border. However, the process hit rocky
    ground after Armenia's constitutional court upheld the legality of the
    protocols last month but underlined that they could not contradict
    Yerevan's official position that the alleged Armenian genocide must
    be internationally recognized.

    Turkey accused Yerevan of trying to rewrite and set conditions on the
    deals. Armenia's president and foreign minister have warned that the
    rapprochement is under threat of collapse.

    Richard Giragosian, head of the Armenian Center for National and
    International Studies (ACNIS), argues that Turkey's objection to the
    Constitutional court's ruling is "weak."

    Underlining that even Moscow and Washington, who are usually at odds
    on a number of issues, agreed that the normalization process between
    Armenia and Turkey should move ahead, Girogosian also recalled that
    both Moscow and Washington have warned Turkey that it should not link
    it to the resolution of the Nagorno-Karabakh dispute, a territorial
    dispute between Armenia and Turkey's neighbor Azerbaijan.

    The reconciliation process is complicated by Ankara's insistence
    that normalizing Turkish-Armenian ties depends on a resolution on
    the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict favoring Azerbaijan.

    "In case of a failure, the [Armenian hard-line] opposition will be
    justified. Even moderates will no longer trust Turkey," Giragosian
    told Today's Zaman.

    Tevan Poghosyan, executive director of the Armenia-based International
    Center for Human Development (ICHD), accused Turkey of running away
    from the normalization process.

    What matters is the fact that Armenia's constitutional court upheld
    the legality of the protocols, Poghosyan told Today's Zaman, while
    describing Turkey's objections as "artificial."

    Suggesting that Russia, the US and the European Union also believe
    that Turkey's objections are not righteous, Poghosyan added: "This
    situation shows that Turkey has been playing. Didn't Turkey at the
    time recognize Armenia according to the Declaration of Independence?"

    Poghosyan was referring to the fact that the heart of the matter
    for Ankara is the court's reference to Armenia's Declaration of
    Independence, which states, "The Republic of Armenia stands in support
    of the task of achieving international recognition of the 1915 Genocide
    in Ottoman Turkey and Western Armenia."

    The fifth paragraph of the Armenian court's ruling says that the
    protocols "cannot be interpreted or applied" in a way that would
    contradict the provisions of the preamble to Armenia's constitution and
    the requirements of paragraph 11 of its declaration of independence.

    Last week, James Holmes, a retired US ambassador and the president and
    chief executive officer of the American-Turkish Council (ATC), also
    suggested that Turkey would be the party that circles in Washington
    will hold responsible if efforts by Ankara and Yerevan to normalize
    their relations fail.
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