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  • Turkey Alters Its Compass

    TURKEY ALTERS ITS COMPASS
    Linda S. Heard

    Al-Arabiya
    http://www.alarabiya.net/views/2 010/02/09/99869.html
    Feb 9 2010
    UAE

    Turkey's affiliations under the leadership of the Turkish Prime
    Minister Recep Tayyip Erdogan, a devout Muslim, are swinging from
    West to East. This is good news for the Arab world as Ankara is a
    major political and military player on the international stage with
    substantial clout. In recent times, Turkey has thawed the freeze with
    Syria by signing a slew of economic, cultural, social and strategic
    cooperation agreements and is mulling over lifting visa restrictions
    for Syrian and Lebanese nationals.

    At the same time, Turkey is reaching out to Armenia by setting up a
    commission to study the World War I conflict that robbed the lives
    of over a million Ottoman-Armenians. Last October, Ankara and Yerevan
    signed protocols designed to establish ties that would result in the
    reopening of their border but the main sticking point is Armenia's
    insistence that Turkey and the international community officially
    recognize the Armenian genocide. Turkey has always resisted that
    damning label and always insisted that those who died were casualties
    of conflict.

    Simultaneously, the Erdogan government is cementing relations with
    Russia with trade and energy agreements; Russia currently supplies
    around 65 percent of Turkey's natural gas requirements and may assist
    Turkey with the construction of a nuclear energy plant. This new
    closeness has resulted in plans to extend cooperation to the South
    Caucasus, traditionally within Russia's sphere of influence, as well
    as visa-free travel for the citizens of both nations.

    " But there the love fest ends. Ankara's relations with some of its
    traditional allies are strained to say the least "Likewise, Ankara
    currently enjoys good relations with Tehran. Earlier this month,
    Iranian Foreign Minister Manouchehr Mottaki held talks in Ankara with
    Prime Minister Erdogan involving the transportation of Iranian natural
    gas to Europe via Turkey, establishing a joint refinery, jointly
    constructing industrial centers and increasing bilateral trade from
    $10 billion annually to $30 billion. The Turkish minister of state
    said Turkey is keen to begin a "golden age" in Turkish-Iranian ties.

    While Turkey is against nuclear proliferation in the Middle East, it
    backs Iran's right to nuclear energy and does not support anti-Iranian
    sanctions.

    But there the love fest ends. Ankara's relations with some of its
    traditional allies are strained to say the least.

    Its important strategic alliance with Washington, which culminated in
    America's Incirlik Air base was shaken when the U.S. invaded Iraq in
    2003. Turkey was against the Iraq war from the get-go and blames it
    for strengthening Kurdish secessionist ambitions. And when, in 2007,
    the U.S. House Committee on Foreign Affairs passed a resolution in
    favor of Armenia's stance on the alleged "genocide," Turkey temporarily
    withdrew its ambassador from Washington.

    However, for its part, the U.S. government tends to tread softly with
    Turkey in light of its NATO role as a strong eastern bulwark and its
    hosting of Incirlik which was a crucial asset during the Cold War and
    the 1991 Gulf War. Turkey's importance to Washington was reflected by
    President Barack Obama's official visit, last April, criticized within
    some U.S. circles as blessing a country embarked on establishing a
    powerful Islamic bloc contrary to American interests. The U.S. has
    also fervently backed Turkey's efforts to join the EU, which has been
    somewhat of an annoyance to European countries that are vehemently
    opposed.

    Indeed, hopes of Turkey's EU membership are fast fading. With some
    reluctance, the 27-member union began talks on Turkey's eventual entry
    in 2005 but despite Turkey's compliance with entrance requirements,
    such as a ban on capital punishment, it is still being criticized on
    its failure to reach an accord on the divided island of Cyprus. The
    latter accusation is unfounded when it was a Greek-Cypriot ballot
    that stymied progress.

    " Then, last month, Israel's discourteous treatment of Turkish
    Ambassador Ahmet Oguz Celikkol, called to answer Israeli criticisms of
    a Turkish television series that painted Israelis in a negative light,
    caused a diplomatic incident "The Turkish government believes France
    and Germany, in particular, are erecting obstacles where none exist.

    Both of these "old European" countries have been open in
    their opposition to Turkish accession, preferring a "privileged
    partnership." French President Nicolas Sarkozy is fiercely opposed. In
    2007, he said this: "I do not think Turkey has a place in Europe"; its
    place is in "Asia Minor." And, last year, Sarkozy warned Obama to stay
    out of Europe's business when it comes to Turkey's EU bid. It's little
    wonder, therefore, that Ankara is hedging its bets by cultivating
    other alliances even while it's officially sticking to the EU program.

    But the relationship that is most in jeopardy is with Israel, which
    goes back to 1948 when Turkey was the first predominantly Muslim
    country to recognize the Jewish state. Since, the two countries have
    benefited from military cooperation in terms of arms sales, joint
    maneuvers, and pilot exchanges. They also enjoy trade relations and
    have signed a "Turkish-Israeli Free Trade Agreement." That warmth
    has now been replaced by a distinct chill for various reasons.

    In the first instance, Erdogan has loudly condemned Israel's Operation
    Cast Lead in Gaza to the extent of walking off a stage at the World
    Economic Forum in Davos last year after angrily sparring over the issue
    with Israeli President Shimon Peres. The Turkish PM has referred to
    Israel's attack as "disproportionate" and "a crime against humanity."

    Then, last month, Israel's discourteous treatment of Turkish Ambassador
    Ahmet Oguz Celikkol, called to answer Israeli criticisms of a Turkish
    television series that painted Israelis in a negative light, caused
    a diplomatic incident.

    This was sparked by Israel's Deputy Foreign Minister Danny Ayalon who
    ordered the removal of the Turkish flag during a joint press conference
    and told Israeli journalists to take note that the Turkish diplomat
    was seated on a low sofa while the Israeli officials had been given
    much higher chairs.

    Erdogan was quick to warn Israel that its deliberate humiliation
    of its diplomat threatened bilateral cooperation. "Losing a friend
    like Turkey in the future should be an issue to which Israel should
    give some thought..." he said. The tense situation was calmed by an
    apology from Israel's Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu.

    The Turkish government is currently walking a tightrope over the
    Bosphorus between the east and the west but in the event it decides to
    take a giant leap toward the Orient, Israel and its European allies
    will have only themselves to blame. Their loss will undoubtedly be
    this region's gain
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