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BAKU: Azerbaijani Expert: Armenia Has Led Itself To Edge Of Geopolit

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  • BAKU: Azerbaijani Expert: Armenia Has Led Itself To Edge Of Geopolit

    AZERBAIJANI EXPERT: ARMENIA HAS LED ITSELF TO EDGE OF GEOPOLITICAL ABYSS
    A. Hasanov

    Today
    http://www.today.az/news/politics/6 2645.html
    Feb 26 2010
    Azerbaijan

    Day.Az interview with Director of Azerbaijan-based Center for
    Innovations and Technologies Mubariz Ahmadoglu.

    What are your comments on Armenian media projections about possible
    social unrest in Armenia due to expected rise in gas prices?

    Until recently Armenia simply did not know what is high gas prices
    because Russia made a discount on gas prices for its outpost in
    the Caucasus As a result, Armenia was paying for gas several times
    less than the world prices. In exchange for discount prices Armenia
    offered its enterprises and entire industries some of which had
    strategic importance.

    Armenia has already sold all that could be sold. So, possible rise
    in gas prices in Armenia is not surprising especially because of the
    global financial and economic crisis which prompted many to revise
    prices on import goods in a bid to level its implications for their
    economies. So, Armenians need to put claims not to Russia, which acts
    in a pragmatic way based on self-interest, but their government which
    did not bother to carry out a little bit of economic reforms.

    Until recently, only banking sphere was developed in Armenia as it was
    engaged in transfer of the Armenian Diaspora funds to their relatives
    and friends in Armenia directing their own income to all sorts of
    crimes including financing of terrorism. Due to world financial and
    economic crisis volume of remittances of the Diaspora sharply reduced
    and the hut on chicken legs entitled "Armenian economy" collapsed.

    The rise in gas prices for the Armenian citizens is planned on the
    backdrop of significant reduction in their income and stagnation in
    the whole Armenian economy. All these points to absence of any sign
    of democracy, triumph of oligopolies, growth of social injustice
    and disregard for impoverished majority in support of a handful of
    government supporters. All these aspects give a full right to predict
    a social unrest in Armenia.

    What impact the deadlocked Turkey-Armenia reconciliation process
    might have on domestic situation in Armenia?

    Armenia was very much interested in normalizing ties with Armenia in
    an attempt to revive rapidly collapsing economy by opening the border.

    But there is almost no hope for normalization of the Turkey-Armenia
    relations in wake of a scandalous decision by the Armenian
    Constitutional Court which made reservations to the text of protocols
    contradicting letter and spirit of the accords. It also shows that
    there is no any hope that Armenian economy may revive.

    Consequently, deepening socio-economic problems in Armenia will prompt
    traditional search for perpetrators. But guilty is Armenian leadership
    from which the population may well demand to provide explanations
    for the causes that drove the country to self-isolation.

    In your opinion, what is the general geopolitical situation in the
    South Caucasus region after the Armenian-Turkish normalization reached
    an impasse?

    Impasse in the Turkish-Armenian relations revealed Armenia's readiness
    to offer cooperation to the U.S., forgetting that it is an outpost of
    a very different superpower in the region. Russia once again made sure
    that Armenia is a unreliable partner. Naturally, this will entail a
    change in Russia's attitude to Armenia, which is fraught with growth
    of problems in Armenia in the presence of large number of levers of
    pressure on this country from Russia.

    In particular, I believe Armenia will become even greater source of
    instability and political-economic crises in our region. This country
    has led itself to the edge of a geopolitical abyss.

    From: Emil Lazarian | Ararat NewsPress
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