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  • BAKU: Convergence Of Turkey-Russia Interests In Economy Can Positive

    CONVERGENCE OF TURKEY-RUSSIA INTERESTS IN ECONOMY CAN POSITIVELY AFFECT NAGORNO-KARABAKH CONFLICT: EXPERTS

    Trend
    Jan 12 2010
    Azerbaijan

    Convergence of interests between Turkey and Russia in economy and
    energy projects can have a positive impact on the Nagorno-Karabakh
    conflict, experts said.

    "At present, Ankara is greatly concerned about one issue - the
    formation of a new, more profitable transit configuration in its
    interests. Certainly, the opening of borders with Armenia, as well
    as settlement of the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict are included in this
    context, Azerbaijani political scientist Tofiq Abbasov said.

    Jan. 12, Turkish Prime Minister Recep Tayyip Erdogan will visit Moscow
    upon his Russian Counterpart Vladimir Putin's invitation. During his
    visit, Erdogan will mull further development of the Turkey-Russia
    relations, particularly energy and economic issues discussed during
    Putin's Ankara visit held in August 2009, and the Nagorno-Karabakh
    conflict.

    Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov will discuss the problem of
    Nagorno-Karabakh settlement during his Armenia visit scheduled for
    Jan. 13-14. He will meet with Armenian President Serzh Sargsyan and
    Foreign Minister Edward Nalbandian there, Russian Foreign Ministry
    spokesman Andrei Nesterenko said.

    "Exchange of views to continue the negotiation process on
    Nagorno-Karabakh settlement in the context of intermediary efforts
    taken by Russia to solve the conflict will be in the center of
    attention," Nesterenko said in an interview with RIA Novosti.

    The conflict between the two South Caucasus countries began in 1988
    when Armenia made territorial claims against Azerbaijan. Armenian
    armed forces have occupied 20 percent of Azerbaijan since 1992,
    including the Nagorno-Karabakh region and 7 surrounding districts.

    Azerbaijan and Armenia signed a ceasefire agreement in 1994. The
    co-chairs of the OSCE Minsk Group - Russia, France, and the U.S. -
    are currently holding the peace negotiations.

    According to observers, the convergence of interests in the energy
    sector can push two regional players to more active mediatory efforts
    in the Nagorno-Karabakh settlement.

    Turkish Prime Minister Recep Tayyip Erdogan's Adviser on Eurasia
    Geybulla Geybullayev believes the Russia-Turkey rapprochement
    may positively affect the Nagorno-Karabakh problem. Even if the
    Russia-Turkey rapprochement will not solve the Nagorno-Karabakh
    problem at all, it may positively affect it.

    The prolonged Nagorno-Karabakh problem creates non-stability in the
    region. But, the Turkey-Russia rapprochement in economic sphere will
    lead to dialogue. If the Turkey-Russia Economic dialogue gets success,
    then it may resolve several political problems, as well as realize
    peace and stability platform in the Caucasus, Geybullayev told Trend
    News over the telephone.

    In mid-September 2008, Russia and Turkey launched implementation of
    a plan to create "Platform for security and stability in the Caucasus".

    Its aim was the desire of both countries to solve the territorial
    conflicts in the Caucasus - between Turkey and Armenia and between
    Armenia and Azerbaijan as soon as possible.

    Armenian expert Armen Gevorgian said, the fact that Ankara and Moscow
    discuss political problems and conflicts in South Caucasus would not
    be so uneasy and potentially dangerous for Armenia, if gas and oil
    pipelines had not been discussed together with these issues.

    "The area for bargaining occurs. Russia, ascertaining the weakening of
    its positions by allowing Turkey to the regional political processes,
    can be seriously interested in the financial side of the question,"
    Gevorgyan wrote in an article published by Armenian News' website.

    Gevorgian said Erdogan in Moscow will put the economic interests
    of Russia on one scale, and the Karabakh conflict on the other one,
    suggesting Putin to choose.

    "Turkey strives to the Caspian region and Central Asia. Slowly and
    thoroughly it overrides regional agenda, which includes Armenian
    problems. Then it tightly links them with global political and economic
    interests of the superpowers " the expert said.

    The activity demonstrated by the Turkish and Russian politicians
    in early 2010, must be beneficial for the settlement of the
    Nagorno-Karabakh conflict, Mikhail Gusman, first deputy director
    general of Itar-Tass news agency said.

    "On the one hand, Turkish Prime Minister Recep Tayyip Erdogan's
    visit to Moscow and Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov to Armenia
    are in the regular agenda of the inter-state dialogue, between these
    countries. On the other hand, the activity demonstrated by politicians
    in early 2010, must be beneficial for such a long and painful for
    Azerbaijan conflict to be solved," Gusman told Trend News.

    Abbasov said if one tries to range the items of the Turkish political
    agenda in order of priority, then all connected with economic
    calculations of Turkey is urgent. "Therefore, in Moscow the sides
    will try to attach positions on energy projects. Both parties are
    ready to draw Yerevan in a zone of promising active transit routes,"
    "Lider-TV" analytic group expert Abbasov told Trend News.

    He said in future Ankara will be able to mediate in solving the
    Georgian-Russian problems.

    "The Karabakh problem is also on the list of urgent issues, because
    its settlement will rather promote realization of more profitable
    functional economic projects. But there are more questions than
    answers within this territorial issue," Abbasov said.

    Rufiz Hafizoglu contributed to the article.
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