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Turkish Alarm: Sergei Lavrov Is Expected In Yerevan, Armenia

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  • Turkish Alarm: Sergei Lavrov Is Expected In Yerevan, Armenia

    TURKISH ALARM: SERGEI LAVROV IS EXPECTED IN YEREVAN, ARMENIA
    by Gajane Movsesjan

    WPS Agency
    What the Papers Say (Russia)
    January 13, 2010 Wednesday
    Russia

    HIGHLIGHT: FOREIGN MINISTER SERGEI LAVROV'S VISIT TO YEREVAN AND
    TURKISH PREMIER RECEP TAYYIP ERDOGAN'S TO MOSCOW; An update on Foreign
    Minister Sergei Lavrov's visit to Armenia.

    Invited by his Armenian opposite number Edward Nalbandjan, Foreign
    Minister Sergei Lavrov is expected in Yerevan on a two-day visit
    later today. Lavrov's itinerary in Armenia also includes a meeting
    with President Serj Sargsjan. Sources within the Armenian Foreign
    Ministry say that the negotiations with Lavrov will be centered
    around the situation inÿthe South Caucasus, Nagorno-Karabakh conflict
    resolution process, and political, military, economic, and humanitarian
    cooperation. Partnership between Armenian regions and subjects of
    the Russian Federation will be discussed as well.

    "Global crisis notwithstanding, the Russian-Armenian economic,
    military-political, and humanitarian cooperation demonstrates
    positive trends," Andrei Nesterenko of the Russian Foreign Ministry
    was quoted as saying on the eve of Lavrov's visit to Yerevan. The
    diplomat mentioned joint Russian-Armenian projects under way and called
    Russia "Armenia's leading foreign economic partner". Nesterenko made
    a reference in this respect to the loan ($500 million) Moscow had
    given Armenia in June 2009.

    Lavrov's trip to Armenia takes place while Turkish Prime Minister
    Recep Tayyip Erdogan is visiting Moscow, a coincidence that upset the
    Armenian general public and political establishment. These misgivings
    are probably sensible, considering Ankara's regular attempts to
    connect normalization of the Turkish-Armenian relations with Karabakh
    conflict resolution on Azerbaijani terms. Not exactly blind to the
    ongoing Russian-Turkish and Russian-Azerbaijani rapprochement, official
    Yerevan suspects that Russia as one of the OSCE Minsk Group co-chairs
    is of the mind to put Armenia under pressure in the matter of Karabakh.

    "As a matter of fact, Lavrov's visit is planned," Sergei Minasjan,
    Assistant Director of the Institute of the Caucasus (Yerevan),
    said several days ago. "Armenian and Russian foreign ministers meet
    every six months in accordance with the agreement between foreign
    ministries. I'd say that the bilateral relations will retain their
    dynamism. Sure, Lavrov's visit to Yerevan will coincide Erdogan's
    to Moscow and one does not have to be a rocket scientist to predict
    that apart from everything else, Erdogan is going to Moscow to
    discuss Karabakh and the Turkish-Armenian relations. All the same,
    I do not think the fears of Armenian general public in this respect
    are well-grounded." Minasjan flatly denounced the possibility of
    any serious developments in the Karabakh conflict resolution process
    "in the foreseeable future".

    Political pot in Yerevan in the meantime is boiling over a wholly
    different matter. Yesterday, the Constitutional Court authenticated
    the protocols on establishment of diplomatic relations and advancement
    of bilateral relations Armenia and Turkey had signed in Zurich on
    October 10, 2009. Constitutional Court Chairman Gagik Arutjunjan
    proclaimed the verdict final and not everyone was happy to hear it.

    The Revolutionary Federation Dashnaktsutjun and ten political parties
    regard the Armenian-Turkish protocols as a threat to security of
    Armenia and Nagorno-Karabakh and object to their ratification. They
    had hoped to have the Constitutional Court recognize the documents as
    at least partially unlawful but their hopes were frustrated. It stands
    to reason now to expect the opposition to concentrate on circumvention
    of ratification of the protocols now. On the other hand, parliament
    Chairman Ovik Abramjan recently announced that ratification of the
    documents in the parliament of Armenia was only possible after their
    ratification in Ankara.

    "Russia welcomes and supports the process of Armenian-Turkish
    normalization. In fact, Russia knows that this normalization will
    only benefit it... Lavrov's visit offers the Armenian leaders another
    opportunity to remind their Russian counterparts of the necessity
    to put Turkey under circumstantial pressure to open the border with
    Armenia," Minasjan said.

    International intermediaries in Karabakh conflict resolution efforts
    (Russia, France, United States) promote unconditional normalization
    of the Armenian-Turkish relations.
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