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BAKU: Azerbaijani Commentators Pessimistic On Karabakh Progress

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  • BAKU: Azerbaijani Commentators Pessimistic On Karabakh Progress

    AZERBAIJANI COMMENTATORS PESSIMISTIC ON KARABAKH PROGRESS

    news.az
    Jan 21 2010
    Azerbaijan

    Zardusht Alizade Political scientist Zardusht Alizade does not expect
    any result from the latest visit to the region of the OSCE's mediators
    on the Karabakh conflict.

    The co-chairs of the Organization for Security and Cooperation in
    Europe's Minsk Group are holding meetings in Baku on Thursday.

    Like their previous visits, this trip will make no breakthrough on a
    peace settlement, Alizade told 1news.az. "This is what the co-chairs
    are paid for."

    In an apparent reference to Russia and the USA, Alizade said,
    "This long-drawn-out affair will last until the superpowers openly
    financing the aggressor country and ordering the victim country not
    to act in self-defence settle this issue amongst themselves."

    Political scientist Fikret Sadikhov told 1news.az that the visit is
    taking place at an important time. Russian Foreign Minister Sergey
    Lavrov recently visited Yerevan, while Armenian President Serzh
    Sargsyan and Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan were in Moscow.

    "What's obvious from all this is Russia's intention to drag Yerevan
    out of the crisis. I mean both the difficult economic state and the
    political isolation of the country," Sadikhov said.

    Russia understands that it would be difficult to do it without
    Azerbaijan, Sadikhov said. The countries chairing the Minsk Group,
    France, Russia and the USA, also understand this.

    He said that serious pressure on Armenia is needed to make progress
    on a solution to the Karabakh conflict.

    "The more pressure is exerted on Armenia, the quicker the issue
    will be settled. I mean substantiated pressure based on the norms
    and principles of international law. We do not need alien lands, we
    need to liberate our seven districts and in this case we are ready to
    grant a high status of autonomy to Nagorno-Karabakh within Azerbaijan,"
    Sadikhov said.

    "It is clear that the leading countries would like to settle this
    problem as soon as possible but I think the conflict will not be
    settled in the near future without active pressure on the Armenian
    side," he said.

    Turkish-Armenian rapprochement

    Zardusht Alizade said that the superpowers wanted to keep the Karabakh
    settlement process separate from Armenian-Turkish rapprochement.

    "Everything will depend on the position of Baku and Ankara and their
    ability to avert this process," Alizade said.

    He said that Armenia had not wanted to sign the protocols on the
    normalization of relations with Turkey: "Armenia did not want to sign
    the protocols with Turkey and did so only under pressure."

    Armenian President Serzh Sargsyan ordered the Constitutional Court to
    pass the decision on the protocols' conformity with the constitution,
    which Turkey this week criticized for containing "preconditions and
    restrictive provisions which impair the letter and spirit of the
    Protocols", Alizade said.

    He thought, however, that "this is not the end of Armenian-Turkish
    reconciliation and it will continue".

    The United States, France and Russia will put pressure on Turkey,
    rather than Armenia, Alizade said. "I even think that instead of
    punishing Armenia they will start pressure on Turkey. They use Armenia
    as a strong destabilizing factor in the region directing it against
    either Turkey or Azerbaijan and Georgia. I do not rule that they may
    use Armenia even against Iran."
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