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Russian president trying to drive Karabakh conflict out of deadlock

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  • Russian president trying to drive Karabakh conflict out of deadlock

    RusData Dialine - Russian Press Digest
    January 20, 2010 Wednesday

    Russian president trying to drive Karabakh conflict out of deadlock

    by Gennady Sysoyev


    One of the key issues Russian President Dmitry Medvedev and his
    Armenian counterpart, Serzh Sargsyan, focused on during their Monday
    meeting was three-party talks on the Nagorny Karabakh conflict planned
    for late January.

    The leaders of Russia, Armenia and Azerbaijan will meet later this
    month for another round of peace talks on the disputed Nagorny
    Karabakh region, dragging on since the 1990s. Moscow seems to be keen
    to achieve at least a semblance of a breakthrough in the peace process
    it is trying to mediate, as it would help Russia strengthen its
    strategic partnership with Armenia, on the one hand, and implement
    large joint projects with Turkey and Azerbaijan, on the other.

    A breakthrough in the Karabakh peace process, whether fact or
    illusion, would help Moscow carry out its strategic projects in the
    region. Although both Prime Minister Vladimir Putin and Foreign
    Minister Sergei Lavrov a few days ago spoke out against linking recent
    steps to normalize Turkish- Armenian relations with the Karabakh
    conflict, the two processes are obviously interrelated. Turkey simply
    cannot ignore the opinion of its ally Azerbaijan, which is strongly
    against a Turkish-Armenian rapprochement leading to real advances in
    the Karabakh conflict resolution.

    Azerbaijan suspects that the Kremlin might try to use certain tools to
    pressure Armenia for concessions. Rasim Musabekov, a well-known
    political analyst of Azerbaijan, said: "One should keep in mind
    Armenia's tight economic situation at the moment. The country's
    government expects Russia to provide security guarantees and economic
    support in addition to preliminary conditions concerning Karabakh.
    Depending on how Armenia behaves in this situation and what it asks
    for, Russia is likely to provide the required support and not let down
    its ally."

    Moscow has recently made a major step in supporting Armenia: It has
    agreed to cut the price of natural gas supplies to Armenia to $180
    from $200 for 1,000 cubic meters for the period between April 1, 2010
    and April 1, 2011.

    According to Russian government sources, Armenia is also lobbying for
    the renewal of a $250 million VTB credit line opened 18 months ago and
    suspended then due to the economic downturn.
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