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SAAKASHVILI WILLING TO REPEAT THE HISTORY OF THE 20S
Karine Ter-Sahakyan
PanARMENIAN.Net
July 20, 2010
On the whole, Azerbaijan and Georgia had better form a confederation
with Turkey, both of them disappearing in this pot and their presidents
becoming governors of provinces.
Relations between Georgia and Azerbaijan step out of the line of
simple cooperation, that is why the countries must join into a
confederation, Georgian President Mikhail Saakashvili declared at a
joint press conference with his Azerbaijani counterpart Ilham Aliyev
in Batumi. Let's try to find out what exactly Saakashvili meant,
meanwhile keeping in mind that in every joke there is a grain of...
joke. And what remains is the truth.
When the president of any country makes this kind of statements,
he must have something for an object. Saakashvili's objectives can
be various - from normalization of Georgian-Russian relations and
regulation of the Armenian question in Javakhk to the Georgia's
joining the EU and NATO. Actually Ilham Aliyev will not help him
with the latter, just on the contrary. But most likely he will lend a
hand when it comes to Georgian-Russian relations. However, if Aliyev
starts to share the "secrets" of conflict settlement with Saakashvili,
together with South Ossetia and Abkhazia the Georgian president will
get just another trouble in the form of Javakhk. Aliyev treated his
Georgian colleague's suggestion quite reservedly, as he needs Georgia
as a transit route. Unreliable, suggestible, but still providing the
transit of Baku oil to Turkey. On the whole, Azerbaijan and Georgia
had better form a confederation with Turkey, both of them disappearing
in this pot and their presidents becoming governors of provinces.
Armenia doesn't like this scenario at all, but, nevertheless, she
must be ready for it, too.
But let us not jump the gun, especially because Turkey has her own
problems despite Premier Erdogan's enthusiastic assurances that "the
country has taken the right and democratic route, and serves as a
bridge between the East and the West." We have already discussed the
foreign policy of "zero problems with the neighbours". By the way,
Turkey used to be a bridge between the East and the West, but it fell
to pieces when the Islamists took power.
But let us revert to the Georgian President's statement. Most likely it
was just another non-binding declaration, called to put up a show of
brotherhood with Azerbaijan. It would be wrong to say that Georgia is
in need of a neighbor, simply Baku is doing its best to instill that
feeling in her. Aliyev's intentions are obvious: if things go wrong
(i.e. in case there breaks out a war in Karabakh), Georgia will help
him. But hardly will his calculations prove to be accurate.
Saakashvili will never challenge the world community, all the more
so the USA and France, which are against any military action on the
part of Azerbaijan.
In conclusion, let us recall the history. On 12 March 1922, the
conference of CEC representatives of the Azerbaijan SSR, Armenian SSR
and Georgian SSR approved in Tbilisi the Treaty on Establishing the
Federal Union of Soviet Socialist Republics of Transcaucasia (FUSSRT).
On 13 December 1922, the 1st Transcaucasia Congress of Soviets reformed
the FUSSRT into the Transcaucasian Soviet Federal Socialist Republic
(TSFSR), meanwhile maintaining independence of the republics that
formed part of it. The Congress approved the Constitution of TSFSR,
formed the Transcaucasian CEC and Government - the Council of People's
Commissars of TSFSR. On 30 December 1922, TSFSR joined up the RSFSR,
USSR and BSSR into the Union of Soviet Socialist Republics.
Consistent with the USSR Constitution of 1936, the Azerbaijan SSR,
Armenian SSR and the Georgian SSR joined the USSR as independent
Soviet republics. TSFSR was abolished.
From: A. Papazian
Karine Ter-Sahakyan
PanARMENIAN.Net
July 20, 2010
On the whole, Azerbaijan and Georgia had better form a confederation
with Turkey, both of them disappearing in this pot and their presidents
becoming governors of provinces.
Relations between Georgia and Azerbaijan step out of the line of
simple cooperation, that is why the countries must join into a
confederation, Georgian President Mikhail Saakashvili declared at a
joint press conference with his Azerbaijani counterpart Ilham Aliyev
in Batumi. Let's try to find out what exactly Saakashvili meant,
meanwhile keeping in mind that in every joke there is a grain of...
joke. And what remains is the truth.
When the president of any country makes this kind of statements,
he must have something for an object. Saakashvili's objectives can
be various - from normalization of Georgian-Russian relations and
regulation of the Armenian question in Javakhk to the Georgia's
joining the EU and NATO. Actually Ilham Aliyev will not help him
with the latter, just on the contrary. But most likely he will lend a
hand when it comes to Georgian-Russian relations. However, if Aliyev
starts to share the "secrets" of conflict settlement with Saakashvili,
together with South Ossetia and Abkhazia the Georgian president will
get just another trouble in the form of Javakhk. Aliyev treated his
Georgian colleague's suggestion quite reservedly, as he needs Georgia
as a transit route. Unreliable, suggestible, but still providing the
transit of Baku oil to Turkey. On the whole, Azerbaijan and Georgia
had better form a confederation with Turkey, both of them disappearing
in this pot and their presidents becoming governors of provinces.
Armenia doesn't like this scenario at all, but, nevertheless, she
must be ready for it, too.
But let us not jump the gun, especially because Turkey has her own
problems despite Premier Erdogan's enthusiastic assurances that "the
country has taken the right and democratic route, and serves as a
bridge between the East and the West." We have already discussed the
foreign policy of "zero problems with the neighbours". By the way,
Turkey used to be a bridge between the East and the West, but it fell
to pieces when the Islamists took power.
But let us revert to the Georgian President's statement. Most likely it
was just another non-binding declaration, called to put up a show of
brotherhood with Azerbaijan. It would be wrong to say that Georgia is
in need of a neighbor, simply Baku is doing its best to instill that
feeling in her. Aliyev's intentions are obvious: if things go wrong
(i.e. in case there breaks out a war in Karabakh), Georgia will help
him. But hardly will his calculations prove to be accurate.
Saakashvili will never challenge the world community, all the more
so the USA and France, which are against any military action on the
part of Azerbaijan.
In conclusion, let us recall the history. On 12 March 1922, the
conference of CEC representatives of the Azerbaijan SSR, Armenian SSR
and Georgian SSR approved in Tbilisi the Treaty on Establishing the
Federal Union of Soviet Socialist Republics of Transcaucasia (FUSSRT).
On 13 December 1922, the 1st Transcaucasia Congress of Soviets reformed
the FUSSRT into the Transcaucasian Soviet Federal Socialist Republic
(TSFSR), meanwhile maintaining independence of the republics that
formed part of it. The Congress approved the Constitution of TSFSR,
formed the Transcaucasian CEC and Government - the Council of People's
Commissars of TSFSR. On 30 December 1922, TSFSR joined up the RSFSR,
USSR and BSSR into the Union of Soviet Socialist Republics.
Consistent with the USSR Constitution of 1936, the Azerbaijan SSR,
Armenian SSR and the Georgian SSR joined the USSR as independent
Soviet republics. TSFSR was abolished.
From: A. Papazian