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Economist: The Armenian genocide: Past imperfect, present tense

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  • Economist: The Armenian genocide: Past imperfect, present tense

    The Economist
    March 5 2010


    The Armenian genocide: Past imperfect, present tense

    Congress reconsiders America's official position on the Armenian genocide

    Mar 5th 2010 | NEW YORK | From The Economist online

    TWO questions faced an American congressional panel on Thursday March
    5th as it considered the mass killings of Armenians during and after
    the first world war by forces of the Ottoman Empire. First, was it
    genocide? The historical debate is as hot, and unsettled, as ever.
    Armenians continue to insist that it was the first genocide of the
    twentieth century, while Turks call the killings merely part of the
    chaos of the break-up of empire.

    But the second question on the minds of congressmen in the Foreign
    Affairs Committee of the House of Representatives was more urgent.
    What is more important, fidelity to history or concern for the
    present? The vote took place as warming relations between Turkey and
    Armenia have cooled again and those between Turkey and America are
    under increasing strain over Iran, Israel and other affairs in the
    region. Turkish diplomats and politicians gave warning before the vote
    that the consequences would be felt across the range of issues of
    shared concern to the two countries. In the end the panel narrowly
    decided against pragmatism and chose to set straight the historical
    records. A resolution recognising the killings as genocide was sent to
    the House by a vote of 23 to 22.

    When the same House committee passed a `genocide' resolution in 2007
    the White House urged that the vote be scrapped. But this year, it had
    come with a twist; Barack Obama had promised during his election
    campaign to recognise the event as genocide. But before the vote his
    advisers said that while he acknowledges a genocide personally, he
    urged unsuccessfully that official interpretation be left to the
    parties involved. Congress is far more sensitive to lobbying than the
    president and to small but highly motivated groups of voters.
    Lobbyists working for both Armenians and Turks had been active before
    the vote and Armenians are concentrated in several Californian
    districts.

    But no fashioner of foreign policy'among whom the president is by far
    the most important'can ignore the strategic importance of Turkey. It
    is a vital American ally and has the second-biggest army in NATO. The
    country is home to an important American air base and is a crucial
    supply route for America's forces in Iraq. Relations were difficult
    even before the beginning of the war in Iraq in 2003. The mildly
    Islamist government denied the Americans the ability to open a second
    front in Iraq through Turkey. Turkey's relationship with Israel has
    deteriorated too. Israel's two recent wars, in Lebanon and Gaza, have
    outraged Turkish public opinion. Mr Obama's more even-handed approach
    to the Israel-Palestine conflict has improved America's reputation in
    Turkey, but not by much.

    Turkey itself is caught between forces that make the Armenia issue
    potentially dangerous. The country's secular, Western-oriented
    politicians, among others, have been discouraged by the strict terms
    offered by the European Union for eventual Turkish membership. In part
    as a result there has been a gradual realignment in Turkish foreign
    policy towards its more immediate neighbours. Turkey's government
    seeks peaceful relations with countries at its borders, which has
    meant some cosying up to Iran, despite the fact that most of Turkey's
    NATO allies are pushing for more sanctions against the Islamic
    republic over its alleged efforts to obtain nuclear weapons.

    The vote comes at a sensitive time, too, for Turkey's relations with
    Armenia. The pair have been at odds since Turkey closed the border in
    1993, during Armenia's war with Turkey's ethnic cousins in Azerbaijan.
    Last year, protocols were agreed that foresaw an establishment of
    diplomatic relations and an opening of the border. But Armenia's
    highest court then declared that the protocols were in line with
    Armenia's constitutionally mandated policy that foreign affairs
    conform to the Armenian view of the genocide. Turkey responded with
    fury and the protocols were endangered. The American vote will anger
    Turkey further and perhaps make it even more inclined to turn away
    from Europe, America and Armenia in favour of its Islamic neighbours.

    One hope is that Turkish anger will subside if, as happened in 2007,
    the House leadership stops the resolution from reaching a full vote.
    It may do so again. Turkey recalled its ambassador after Thursday's
    vote just as in 2007. The Turkish government, in a spat with the
    country's nationalist army, may play the foreign-insult card to
    bolster its domestic strength. But ultimately the Turks are unlikely
    to weaken their relationship with America lightly.

    http://www.economist.com/world/united-st ates/displaystory.cfm?story_id=15640909&source =features_box_main
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