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ISTANBUL: Looking at the Genocide Bill voting from Yerevan

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  • ISTANBUL: Looking at the Genocide Bill voting from Yerevan

    Hurriyet, Turkey
    March 5 2010


    Looking at the Genocide Bill voting from Yerevan

    Friday, March 5, 2010
    GÄ°LA BENMAYOR

    As the U.S. House of Representatives Foreign Relations Committee voted
    on the so-called Armenian `Genocide Bill,' we were together with a few
    Armenian politicians in the Armenian capital Yerevan.

    How does Armenia take this `fragile process' which has started with
    signing protocols in Zurich and which is to affect both the
    U.S.-Turkey and Turkey-Armenia relations?

    Headquartered in Istanbul, TESEV organized a panel with the Caucasus
    Institute in Yerevan. So I was in Armenia. I asked the above question
    to our Armenian interlocutors.

    Who were they?

    They were Eduard Shermazanov, the ruling Republican Party spokesman;
    Aram Sarafian, the coalition partner Prosperous Armenia Developed
    Party chairman; Kiro Manayan, nationalist Dashnaktsutyun Party member;
    Arsen Avagian, Armenian Foreign Ministry responsible for the Turkey
    Desk, and Stepan Safarian, member of the opposition Heritage Party.

    The Dashnaktsutyun Party departed from the coalition last April after
    rejecting the Road Map between Armenia and Turkey.

    Men in street clueless

    After an array of conversations, our last meeting was with Sarafian.
    As I asked about the voting in the U.S. House of Representatives, he
    said:

    `I don't think that men in street care about this voting.'

    This is the simplest truth about the voting.

    As we wait for the result anxiously in Turkey, people in Yerevan don't
    care much about the Genocide Bill's voting in U.S.

    `I, as a political analyst, closely follow the voting of course. But
    as I said Armenian people got used to such votes. Most probably, they
    see this as manipulation or interest of some groups,' Sarafian said.

    When I asked the same question to Shermazanov, he said, `This is an
    internal issue for the U.S. It's been passed in 42 states anyway.

    `I, as an Armenian, will be in content if the Genocide Bill is passed.
    But I don't want to tie Turkey-Armenia relations down to the Karabakh
    issue and likewise don't want to link them to the U.S. either.'

    The dialogue continues

    Conversations with the Armenian politicians took place just a few
    hours before the U.S. House of Representatives Foreign Relations
    Committee approved the bill by 23 votes against 22.

    The voting session continued as we ran around and held five or six
    meetings in the same day.

    Let's set aside the voting and look into how Armenia reads Turkey's
    sort of freezing the `Zurich Protocols.'

    This is the main theme of our meetings.

    The names I gave above are in favor of developing bilateral relations
    between Armenia and Turkey.

    No matter which party or view they belong to, all emphasized that the
    dialogue must go on.

    According to Shermazanov, the Armenian Constitutional Court gave a
    green light to the Zurich Protocols and set no pre-condition.

    All right, but what will Armenia do next?

    `We're waiting for Turkey'

    `Our parliament is ready to approve the protocols. So are our party
    and our coalition partner. But we will wait for Turkey. If Turkey
    approves them, we will approve them immediately; there is no problem
    in our part,' said Shermazanov.

    In fact, Sarafian of the coalition partners told the same thing.

    `Armenians and Azeris determine their policies by looking at each
    other's. And now we'll do whatever you do,' he said.

    That is, Armenia follows a `wait and see' approach.

    But there is the other side of the coin.

    The Armenian Foreign Ministry Turkey Desk leader Avagian said the
    number of people who are against the protocols is increasing as the
    approval process of the protocols is delayed.

    According to Avagian, when the protocols were signed three out of five
    people approved them, but now three out of five stand against.

    And this of course weakens President Serzh Sarkisian's hand in Armenia
    where political balances may turn upside down at any minute.
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