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ISTANBUL: Counting the votes and counting the cost

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  • ISTANBUL: Counting the votes and counting the cost

    Sunday's Zaman, Turkey
    March 7 2010


    Counting the votes and counting the cost

    by ANDREW FINKEL

    `Anger' was the way the BBC described the Turkish reaction to the US
    congressional committee's vote to call for the recognition of the
    deaths of the Armenians under Ottoman rule as genocide. The Wall
    Street Journal said Ankara was `riled.' However, whatever rage there
    was, not much of it was on display. The Sabah newspaper dismissed the
    whole voting procedure of the august House Committee on Foreign
    Affairs as `farcical.' The Turkish foreign minister displayed
    dignified nonchalance, calling the session in which the vote was kept
    open so that stragglers could roll up as `lacking in seriousness.' He
    complained of a lack of vision in Washington, suggesting with
    schoolmasterly disapproval that the American government wasn't really
    up to the job of running an alliance.

    Even the Taraf newspaper -- some of whose columnists have been on the
    firing line for expressing the unpopular view that Turkey must atone
    for its misdeeds in 1915 -- was mocking of the whole affair. `This
    year's genocide season has begun,' its headline ran. While the world
    waits for Turkey to snarl at the congressional committee's decision,
    public opinion has simply looked away in dignified contempt. `The old
    genocide film is making the rounds again,' yawned Mehmet Ali Birand in
    his syndicated column.

    Of course, this sangfroid is predicated on the assumption that the
    resolution will never make its way to the floor of the House for a
    final tally. That is what happened in previous years when the vote
    committee was far closer than last Thursday's 23-22. However, in
    previous years the administration was far less conflicted. Barack
    Obama's Hamlet-like deliberations can be heard from a long way off.
    Does he do what he thinks is right, or what he knows to be expedient.
    `It's not anger that Ankara is experiencing; its fear,' a diplomat
    told me from one of those countries which has already passed a
    genocide resolution. Once America concedes the existence of genocide,
    it will become the received wisdom.

    Through the miracle of Internet streaming, I followed the committee's
    debate. The `ayes' had no reservation that the tragedy befalling the
    Armenian people was the first genocide of the 20th century, that
    survivors and their offspring had a right to have this truth
    recognized. Some congressman were sorry that this had to be at the
    expense of a trusted ally but that it was in Turkey's own interests to
    face up to the past. Some were less apologetic. Brad Sherman, a
    California Democrat, labeled Turkey a `paper tiger' and that it was
    high time to call its bluff. Those against the motion said it was not
    the business of Congress to judge the past, particularly if that meant
    damaging US interests in the present. It was not the business of
    government to adjudicate between the claims of one set of `hyphenated
    American' against another, according to Texan Republican Ron Paul,
    which is as close as anyone got to accusing the other side of
    barnstorming to their electorate. However, no one used the crib-sheet
    provided by the Turkish Historical Society (TTK) that the genocide
    never happened.

    The debate wended its way to a cliffhanger finish -- and before he
    knew it, poor Namık Tan, Turkey's envoy in Washington, was being
    recalled onto the next plane home for consultations. The message he
    should bring is that Turkey can win the battle and it can win the war,
    but that it has lost the argument.

    `Look at our allies,' my neighbor told me during my efforts to conduct
    an impromptu vox populi poll. His list included pretty much the whole
    of the American defense industry: Lockheed Martin, Boeing, Raytheon,
    United Technologies Corp, Northrop Grumman. With friends like that,
    who needed enemies, he suggested, and added that lots of countries had
    recognized the genocide without the sky over Ankara falling down. I
    don't suppose his is the majority view in Turkey and, should the
    resolution pass, Ankara may not spin off into a frenzy of self-harm,
    but it will hardly shrug the matter off. Rapprochement with Armenia
    will move from its current position on the back burner off the stove
    entirely.

    07.03.2010
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