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AFTERWORD TO U.S. CONGRESS' MOVE TO ADOPT RESOLUTION ON SO-CALLED 'ARMENIAN GENOCIDE'
H. Hamidov
Today
http://www.today.az/news/analytics/ 63742.html
March 11 2010
Azerbaijan
On March 4, the U.S. Congress House of Representatives Foreign Affairs
Committee held a vote on the "Armenian Genocide" resolution, adopting
the legislation 23 votes to 22.
Some hotheads in Armenia have already hastened to christen this
decision as the victory of the century, but official Armenia, contrary
to expectations, is more restrained, which is quite understandable.
To begin with, the committee's decision does not mean a Congress
decision. Today, one can assume with great probability that Congress
will certainly reject the committee's decision for definite reasons.
Possibly, the White House, Ankara and Yerevan are aware of this.
The reasons are simple, but substantial at the same time. The
government and the Congress are primarily composed of people with
sound reason who are also patriots of their country and act in line
with the interests of their country. So, today Turkey is not just an
important player in the Middle East, it is also a regional leader.
Furthermore, Turkey's economic and military potential can no way
be compared with that of Armenia. Large American corporations have
invested in multibillion-dollar projects in Turkey. Nothing like this
is not even in sight in Armenia. Militarily, Turkey is not only a
member of NATO, as the United States, but also is second for level
and size of its arms in Europe after Germany.
The United States needs such an important friend in such an important
region. This country is extremely important especially given latest
events in global politics.
Will in this case the United States ruin relations with Turkey for
the sake of the so-called "genocide"? The answer is obvious. Never.
Adoption of a resolution by the Congress committee has equally
explicable reasons. It is appropriate to recall that the current U.S.
President promised the Armenian Diaspora to recognize the so-called
"Armenian genocide" during the election campaign.
Image and name requires to keep one's promise. So, after the
committee's decision it would be easier to explain Armenian voters
that he allegedly did everything he could and the Congress will deal
with it further.
U.S. Congressmen use support of the Armenian lobby during elections.
So, they are obliged to keep their election pledges to their voters
from the Armenian diaspora. But despite this, the adoption of the
"resolution" is the utmost they could do.
Thus, it can be argued that this is nothing more than a game by the
White House and it is quite possible that Turkey is aware of it in
advance. It is appropriate to recall a telephone conversation between
Barack Obama and Abdullah Gul prior to the committee meeting.
Naturally, not to deviate from the pre-agreed scenario, Turkey displays
dissatisfaction publicly, for example, by recalling its ambassador.
Here is another interesting fact. As paradoxical it may sound. Armenia
is the only one who suffers much from the committee's decision. First,
wise men of the neighboring country understand that they were simply
"divorced". It seems United States have done what they have long
wanted. But what is next? All of what we said above.
Moreover, whatever the present situation in Turkey is, whatever Gul
has agreed with Obama, such a coincidence is always a disappointment
for Turkey. Of course, Ankara is annoyed, and Yerevan feels it even
through the closed border. They understand that technically this is
a stunning opportunity for the Turkish parliament not to ratify the
protocols and not to open border. Today, one can state with full
confidence that this is what will happen.
How hard Armenia warned of non-ratification, it needs the border
opening like a gulp of fresh air. But all hopes were dashed. They also
realize that they are left completely alone, surrounded by countries
with which Armenia has a difficult relationship due to Yerevan's
destructive policies. In this situation Armenia is looks like a lean
young teenager, shaking of a fear before the strong senior mates.
These explain Armenia's limited reaction to the committee's decision,
which actually played a dirty trick on the Sargsyan government.
H. Hamidov
Today
http://www.today.az/news/analytics/ 63742.html
March 11 2010
Azerbaijan
On March 4, the U.S. Congress House of Representatives Foreign Affairs
Committee held a vote on the "Armenian Genocide" resolution, adopting
the legislation 23 votes to 22.
Some hotheads in Armenia have already hastened to christen this
decision as the victory of the century, but official Armenia, contrary
to expectations, is more restrained, which is quite understandable.
To begin with, the committee's decision does not mean a Congress
decision. Today, one can assume with great probability that Congress
will certainly reject the committee's decision for definite reasons.
Possibly, the White House, Ankara and Yerevan are aware of this.
The reasons are simple, but substantial at the same time. The
government and the Congress are primarily composed of people with
sound reason who are also patriots of their country and act in line
with the interests of their country. So, today Turkey is not just an
important player in the Middle East, it is also a regional leader.
Furthermore, Turkey's economic and military potential can no way
be compared with that of Armenia. Large American corporations have
invested in multibillion-dollar projects in Turkey. Nothing like this
is not even in sight in Armenia. Militarily, Turkey is not only a
member of NATO, as the United States, but also is second for level
and size of its arms in Europe after Germany.
The United States needs such an important friend in such an important
region. This country is extremely important especially given latest
events in global politics.
Will in this case the United States ruin relations with Turkey for
the sake of the so-called "genocide"? The answer is obvious. Never.
Adoption of a resolution by the Congress committee has equally
explicable reasons. It is appropriate to recall that the current U.S.
President promised the Armenian Diaspora to recognize the so-called
"Armenian genocide" during the election campaign.
Image and name requires to keep one's promise. So, after the
committee's decision it would be easier to explain Armenian voters
that he allegedly did everything he could and the Congress will deal
with it further.
U.S. Congressmen use support of the Armenian lobby during elections.
So, they are obliged to keep their election pledges to their voters
from the Armenian diaspora. But despite this, the adoption of the
"resolution" is the utmost they could do.
Thus, it can be argued that this is nothing more than a game by the
White House and it is quite possible that Turkey is aware of it in
advance. It is appropriate to recall a telephone conversation between
Barack Obama and Abdullah Gul prior to the committee meeting.
Naturally, not to deviate from the pre-agreed scenario, Turkey displays
dissatisfaction publicly, for example, by recalling its ambassador.
Here is another interesting fact. As paradoxical it may sound. Armenia
is the only one who suffers much from the committee's decision. First,
wise men of the neighboring country understand that they were simply
"divorced". It seems United States have done what they have long
wanted. But what is next? All of what we said above.
Moreover, whatever the present situation in Turkey is, whatever Gul
has agreed with Obama, such a coincidence is always a disappointment
for Turkey. Of course, Ankara is annoyed, and Yerevan feels it even
through the closed border. They understand that technically this is
a stunning opportunity for the Turkish parliament not to ratify the
protocols and not to open border. Today, one can state with full
confidence that this is what will happen.
How hard Armenia warned of non-ratification, it needs the border
opening like a gulp of fresh air. But all hopes were dashed. They also
realize that they are left completely alone, surrounded by countries
with which Armenia has a difficult relationship due to Yerevan's
destructive policies. In this situation Armenia is looks like a lean
young teenager, shaking of a fear before the strong senior mates.
These explain Armenia's limited reaction to the committee's decision,
which actually played a dirty trick on the Sargsyan government.