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Raffi Hovannisian: Armenia's Policy Of "No Preconditions" Has Failed

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  • Raffi Hovannisian: Armenia's Policy Of "No Preconditions" Has Failed

    RAFFI HOVANNISIAN: ARMENIA'S POLICY OF "NO PRECONDITIONS" HAS FAILED

    http://www.reporter.am/go/article/2010-03- 18-raffi-hovannisian-armenia-s-policy-of--no-preco nditions--has-failed
    Thursday March 18, 2010

    Raffi Hovannisian speaking at Georgetown on March 1. PF-Armenia photo

    Washington - The policy of not setting preconditions for establishment
    of relations with Turkey embraced by three presidents of Armenia
    has proved to be a failure, a leading Armenian opposition figure and
    former foreign minister Raffi Hovannisian told The Armenian Reporter.

    Mr. Hovannisian said that what he thought was "a measured and
    considered approach" when the policy was first introduced in his time
    as foreign minister in 1991-2, 18 years later has failed to deliver
    results for Armenia.

    Mr. Hovannisian spoke to The Reporter after delivering a keynote
    speech at a conference on Armenia-Diaspora relations organized by
    Policy Forum Armenia at Georgetown University on March 1-2.

    "It is possible that we were wrong that that [policy] might be the
    way to resolve the issues," Mr. Hovannisian, adding that there was
    a need to develop a new policy towards Turkey.

    "No" to protocols Mr. Hovannisian reiterated his strong criticism
    of the protocols that the Armenian government signed with Turkey
    last October.

    The government "is in a state of effective resignation from the
    [Armenians'] right to homeland, to Armenia's territorial integrity
    as defined de-jure," Mr. Hovannisian said in a reference to a clause
    in Armenia's Declaration of Independence that commits the republic to
    pursuing international recognition of the Genocide in Western Armenia.

    Should protocols ever come to ratification in the Armenian parliament,
    Mr. Hovannisian believes that there will be widespread opposition in
    Armenia, including from elements inside the ruling establishment.

    Armenia's president Serge Sargsyan has argued that the protocols
    were in line with the "policy of no-preconditions." At the same
    time, suspicious of Turkey's intentions, the Armenian president made
    Armenia's ratification of protocols conditional on Turkey ratifying
    them first.

    Moreover, Mr. Sargsyan has warned that he would rescind Armenia's
    signature from the agreement should Turkey continues to stall.

    Although he gave no concrete timeframe, commentators have speculated
    the next April 24 will become an effective deadline.

    Turkish leaders have refused to ratify the protocols unless Armenia
    commits to a study that would question the facts of the Armenian
    Genocide while also agreeing with Azerbaijan on basic principles of
    settlement of the Karabakh conflict.

    A long-standing policy Speaking at Georgetown, Mr. Hovannisian noted
    that even before the Armenian military success in Karabakh, Turkey
    refused to establish diplomatic relations with Armenia.

    Moreover, in early 1992 Turkey threatened to veto Armenia's membership
    in the Conference for Security and Cooperation in Europe (CSCE,
    now OSCE) unless Armenia endorsed the 1921 Treaty of Kars, which
    established the current Turkish-Armenian frontier and absolved parties
    from war crimes committed during and after World War I.

    Mr. Hovannisian recalled that under U.S. pressure, Turkey at the
    time dropped the veto threat, opening the way for Armenia's CSCE
    membership. But Ankara refused to establish diplomatic relations with
    Yerevan unless its pre-conditions were fulfilled.

    In April 1993, in response to Armenian advances in the Karabakh war,
    Turkey suspended ground and air communications with Armenia and
    threatened to intervene militarily on Azerbaijani side.

    While a direct Turkish intervention did not come - as Russia also
    threatened to get involved - and restrictions on air travel were
    lifted in the mid-1990s, Turkey continues to advance pre-conditions
    for a full normalization of its relations with Armenia.
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