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An Inexplicable Triple Threat

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  • An Inexplicable Triple Threat

    AN INEXPLICABLE TRIPLE THREAT

    Daily Star
    http://www.dailystar.com.lb/article.asp?edition_i d=1&article_id=112861&categ_id=17
    March 18 2010
    Lebanon

    Turkey's prime minister, Recep Tayyip Erdogan, has laid down a
    dangerous and seemingly inexplicable threat - a triple threat, in
    fact. Erdogan told the BBC's Turkish service that while an estimated
    170,000 ethnic Armenians live in his country, only 70,000 or so
    are actually full-fledged citizens, meaning that the rest faced the
    possibility of deportation.

    "If necessary, I will tell the remaining 100,000 to leave. I can do
    so because they are not Turkish citizens and I'm not obliged to keep
    them in my country," Erdogan said.

    There's of course the direct, domestic threat, to thousands of people
    covered by this sweeping pronouncement. Why now? These stateless
    people didn't enter Turkey in the last few years. If 100,000 stateless
    Armenians have been residing there for decades, seemingly without
    major incident, why has Erdogan suddenly remembered their status and
    threatened them with expulsion?

    The answer of course lies in another dimension of the issue: the
    world. The Swedish Parliament and US Congress have recently taken
    steps to pass resolutions recognizing the Ottoman genocide of World
    War I, against the Armenians, and according to the Swedes, against
    the Assyrians, Chaldeans and Pontiac Greeks as well.

    Naturally, Erdogan is reacting to these pronouncements from foreign
    states, but rather than cut ties with these countries, he's issued
    a threat that's politically counter-productive and morally deplorable.

    But the most worrying dimension of his move is regional. Erdogan
    told Armenia that it should distance itself from its diaspora,
    which he considers a source of evil, saying in effect: "Yerevan,
    focus on your relations with Ankara, or we'll kick 100,000 Armenians
    out of our country." It's not exactly a positive plank in Erdogan's
    announced policy of "zero conflict" in the region.

    It also comes after Turkey distinguished itself by criticizing the
    policies of a certain state, Israel, against a certain stateless
    people, the Palestinians. One interview to the BBC could destroy all
    of the credit amassed by Erdogan and his government, and make him
    out to be a petty settler of scores, not a statesman.

    Our region has its own worrying precedents. A fit of pique by Saudi
    Arabia in the wake of Iraq's 1990 invasion of Kuwait saw Riyadh expel
    around 1 million Yemenis. It might have served some domestic purpose
    at the time, but it's long-range effects have been devastating for
    Saudi Arabia's state, its economy, and the world, since the Yemeni
    factor in the growth and actions of Al-Qaeda has been quite pronounced.

    For the region, Turkey hasn't been a shining beacon of free civil
    society and democracy, but it's served as a possible model for the
    future of Arab states: civilian governments and a military that doesn't
    directly hold the reigns of power. How could Ergodan's move possibly
    benefit anyone?
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