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  • Why Is the Dram Rising Back?

    WHY IS THE DRAM RISING BACK?

    16:20:16 - 25/03/2010
    http://www.lragir.am/engsrc/economy-lra hos17296.html


    Why after a sharp devaluation did the Armenian Dram start rising? The
    former Prime Minister Hrant Bagratyan told reporters today that AMD
    does not devaluate as a result of speculation, as the government
    explains it. The real cause is that major business-owners, the
    oligarchs, are sending their capital outside Armenia, and the balance
    of trade is negative.

    As to the prompt revaluation following a sharp devaluation, Hrant
    Bagratyan says the government has suspended transfer of major sums
    abroad, by both physical and legal persons. According to Hrant
    Bagratyan, the government's next step which brought about the
    revaluation of the dram is that the Central Bank decreased the 5th
    normative for commercial banks, which is called `currency position'.
    There is a short position, and there is a long one. The indices were
    lowered to enable the banks to sell the currency. If a commercial bank
    accepts deposits in dollars, the reservation must also be done in
    dollars. These reservations are reduced by several percentage points,
    forcing banks to sell the currency. This is done to control the
    exchange rate low. I think these steps are dangerous for the banking
    system', says Hrant Bagratyan.


    He means the damage to the banks.

    As to the exchange rate of the dram, Hrant Bagratyan thinks the
    government may increase the external debts and to keep the rate for
    some time but it will tend to drop over the year.
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