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Azerbaijan-Turkey quarrel places NABUCCO project at risk

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  • Azerbaijan-Turkey quarrel places NABUCCO project at risk

    The Russian Oil and Gas Report (Russia)
    March 26, 2010 Friday

    AZERBAIJAN-TURKEY QUARREL PLACES NABUCCO PROJECT AT RISK


    Turkey and Azerbaijan have suspended talks on natural gas supplies
    from Azerbaijan to Europe. Reuters notes that these negotiations, on
    which the Nabucco pipeline's fate depends, have been suspended on
    account of Turkey's efforts to normalize relations with Armenia.

    "Our talks with Azerbaijan have been on hold for four to six weeks,
    and the main problem is political," said Turkish Energy Minister Taner
    Yildiz. He also noted that it remains unclear whether Azerbaijan has
    accepted Turkey's offer to charge less than market rates for gas
    transit to Europe. Neither have the negotiators made any decisions
    regarding second-phase development at the Shah Deniz gas field,
    scheduled for 2014-16.

    The differences between Turkey and Azerbaijan work to Russia's
    advantage, since they undermine the Nabucco project's positions in the
    Caspian region. President Ilham Aliyev of Azerbaijan said in October
    2009 that Turkey had led the gas talks into a dead end; he also
    threatened to sell his country's gas to Russia and Iran. Azerbaijan
    may also join the project working on the gas pipeline from
    Turkmenistan, via Uzbekistan and Kazakhstan, to China - whose economy
    needs more and more energy resources.

    In October 2009, Gazprom signed a contract to buy up to 500 billion
    cubic meters of gas from Azerbaijan in 2010. In late December, the
    State Oil Company of the Azerbaijan Republic (SOCAR) announced that
    this export figure would be doubled. The Gazprom -SOCAR contracts
    don't set an upper limit for gas exports from Azerbaijan to Russia.
    Gazprom said in January 2010 that it intends to buy as much gas as
    Azerbaijan wants to sell.

    Gazprom also wants to buy gas from the Shah Deniz offshore field, with
    reserves estimated at 1.3 trillion cubic meters. The European Union is
    interested in the same field as a resource base for Nabucco.

    The Nabucco project, competing with the Russia-backed South Stream gas
    pipeline, is managed by a consortium of European companies including
    OMV (Austria), Bulgargaz (Bulgaria), Botas (Turkey), RWE (Germany),
    MOL (Hungary), and Transgaz (Romania). In contrast to South Stream,
    Nabucco will bypass Russia.

    Nabucco is intended to be an extension of the Baku-Tbilisi-Erzurum gas
    pipeline. From there, it will run via Turkey to the Balkan states and
    then to Austria. Nabucco is scheduled to start operating in 2014. Yet
    it still remains unclear where the gas to fill this pipeline will come
    from.

    Source: Lenta.ru, March 23, 2010; RBC.ru, March 23, 2010

    Translated by InterContact
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