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Cold facts fuel Armenia's future

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  • Cold facts fuel Armenia's future

    The National, UAE
    May 1 2010

    Cold facts fuel Armenia's future

    by Tamsin Carlisle

    Last Updated: May 01. 2010 7:30PM UAE / May 1. 2010 3:30PM GMT Yerevan
    // Tiny Armenia, a landlocked country with two closed borders and no
    commercial petroleum reserves, faces a huge problem securing energy.

    Its ageing nuclear reactor, which supplies 40 per cent of the
    republic's electricity, is due to be decommissioned in 2016; its
    natural gas supply from Russia is unreliable; and it has almost
    exhausted its hydro-electric potential.



    Those, at present, are the only power and heating sources for the
    mountainous South Caucasus country with snowy Eurasian winters.

    `The number one problem for us in Armenia is the energy problem,'
    Armen Movsisyan, the country's energy minister, said recently.

    Armenia has already survived one severe energy crisis after the
    collapse of the Soviet Union, of which it was once a part.

    Its Metsamor nuclear plant was shut down by Soviet authorities in
    1989, just 13 years after it came online, probably due to
    international pressure over safety concerns after the world's worst
    nuclear disaster at Chernobyl in Ukraine three years earlier. In that
    instance a catastrophic explosion left the radioactive reactor core
    exposed.



    As with Chernobyl, the structures containing the Metsamor reactors are
    single-walled. All modern reactors have double-walled containment
    structures.

    Armenia had also suffered a devastating earthquake in 1988, which
    raised international awareness of the location of its atomic plant,
    close to major seismic fault lines. Metsamor was only 75km from the
    epicentre of the quake in north-western Armenia, which killed 25,000
    people.


    But Mr Movsisyan said the decision to close both of the plant's
    reactors had nothing to do with that event. `It wasn't related to the
    earthquake,' he said, without elaborating.

    Regardless of the exact reasons, the reactors were restarted six and a
    half years later in 1995, under the watchful eyes of the International
    Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) and the Armenian Nuclear Regulatory
    Authority, which was established in 1993, just two years after Armenia
    gained independence.



    The power station is run by a consortium of the Russian electricity
    utility RAO UES and the Russian nuclear operator Rosenergoatom.

    The decision to restart the decommissioned nuclear reactors, a rare
    occurrence anywhere, was made because Armenia simply could not do
    without the power.

    The country lost its gas supply from Russia for more than two years
    after the Soviet break-up, leaving its people dependent on firewood to
    survive freezing winters. In short order, the young nation also lost
    of most of its forests.



    Today, small armies of volunteers and agricultural workers in a
    country that exports cherries, pears and walnuts are replanting
    orchards and formerly wooded areas. Armenia is also looking at
    developing wind and geothermal power to augment its hydro-powered
    renewable energy sector, but that will take time.

    In the medium term, said Mr Movsisyan, `our energy options are nuclear and gas'.

    Armenia's eastern and western borders with Azerbaijan and Turkey have
    been closed since 1993 due to the dispute over the breakaway enclave
    of Nagorno-Karabakh, so any gas must come from Russia to the north, or
    Iran to the south.



    Those two countries respectively possess the world's largest and
    second-largest gas reserves, but that does not mean importing gas from
    either is easy.

    The existing Russian gas supplies to Armenia must pass through
    Georgia. That nation has rocky relations with Russia, with which it
    briefly went to war in 2008.

    The Armenian government worries that the gas flow through the poorly
    maintained cross-border pipeline could be cut with little warning.
    Consequently, it has negotiated with Tehran a second import corridor
    from northern Iran. A small pipeline joining the two countries opened
    in 2006, and another is being built.



    But Iranian efforts to develop its vast gas resources have lagged
    behind domestic demand, with the result that Iran is a net gas
    importer, reliant on additional supplies from Turkmenistan.

    Analysts say Iran's gas situation is unlikely to change until Tehran
    takes the politically unpopular step of cutting fuel subsidies and
    resolves its dispute with the West over its controversial nuclear
    programme. That casts doubt on the success of Armenian efforts to
    secure gas imports from its southern neighbour.



    The sole remaining option for Armenia is to build a nuclear plant. It
    is planning to do that by 2017, under an energy policy launched in
    2007 with backing from Russia, the US, the EU and the IAEA.

    The EU and Turkey are growing especially nervous about the state of
    the existing Metsamor plant, although authorities in the capital
    Yerevan insist they are rigorously addressing all safety concerns.

    Last year, Yerevan awarded a US$460 million (Dh1.68 billion)
    management contract for the nuclear development to the Australian
    engineering company WorleyParsons.



    Last December, the Armenian energy ministry approved the formation of
    Metzamorenergoatom, a joint venture with Russia's nuclear contractor
    AtomStroyExport, to build a 1,060 megawatt plant at Metsamor that
    would have a 60-year service life. Construction of the $4bn project is
    due to start next year or the year after.

    In March, the joint venture ordered equipment from Rosatom, the
    Russian state energy company.



    With Georgian airspace closed to Russian traffic, a major issue is how
    to move between 12,000 and 13,000 tonnes a year of enriched uranium
    fuel for the plant reliably from Russia into Armenia.

    Does Armenia have contingency plans to cope with any hold-ups to its
    crucial nuclear programme?

    `The plan is that the project should not be delayed,' said Mr Movsisyan.

    http://www.thenational.ae/apps/pbcs.dl l/article?AID=/20100501/BUSINESS/705019944/1005
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