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ISLAMIC COMMITTEE OF RUSSIA CHAIRMAN: ...THIS WILL GIVE A CHANCE TO OVERTHROW ARMENIA'S CURRENT PRESIDENT SERZH SARGSYAN
Today
http://www.today.az/news/politics/ 67238.html
May 4 2010
Azerbaijan
Day.Az interview with chairman of the Islamic Committee of Russia,
renowned political expert Heydar Jamal.
As you know, Russian President Dmitry Medvedev will trip to Turkey on
May 11. What are you expectations from the visit? How can you assess
the current Russia-Turkey relations?
Russian President's visit to Turkey can be seen as an attempt to
smooth over an unfavorable impression from failure of Ankara's policy
to normalize Turkish-Armenian relations. This failure affected the
efforts to build a powerful Ankara-Tehran-Yerevan-Damascus bloc.
Armenian side's recent move questioned realism of Turkish PM Erdogan's
efforts on foreign policy arena. Russian President's visit to Turkey
aims to offset unfavorable impression from Turkey's failure in the
Armenian issue in the eyes of Turkish public to some extent. Of
course, Northern Cyprus issue will be discussed during the visit and
the Turkish leadership will try to enlist Russia's support in its
bid to separate the two Cyprus.
So, the Armenian-Azerbaijani Nagorno-Karabakh conflict will not be
prevalent in talks between the Turkish and Russian leaders.
Of course, the Armenian-Azerbaijani Nagorno-Karabakh conflict will be
discussed during the talks. But it will be just habitual conversation
the core of which will be Russia's unwillingness to abandon support
for Armenia and Turkey unwillingness to solve any issue related
to Nagorno-Karabakh without consulting with Azerbaijan. So, one
should not expect a new project to resolve the Karabakh conflict to
be developed. Such projects have no chance to be realized without
consent and participation of Baku.
Meanwhile, we can say that Armenia lags behind Azerbaijan and Georgia
for the level of economic development more and more each year. Why
Armenia is not interested in ending this regress, giving consent
to de-occupy Azerbaijani territories and granting status of highest
autonomy to Nagorno-Karabakh within Azerbaijan?
It is wrong to consider Armenia a hypothetical entity who takes
steps considering their pros and cons. Armenia is ruled by President
Serzh Sargsyan, who faces hatred of the opposition, which, in turn,
has hatred towards Azerbaijan and Turkey. The Armenian opposition is
ready to take advantage of any mistake by Serzh Sargsyan to hasten
his departure from the post of president.
The current Armenian political elite is more interested in balance
of powers within the country, than more global issues, including the
settlement of Armenian-Azerbaijani Nagorno-Karabakh conflict.
Moreover, they are confident that the superpowers have no desire
to finally abandon support for Armenia. They believe that the
military threat from the Azerbaijani side will consolidate the
Armenian diaspora which nowadays has very strained relations with the
Armenian leadership. In other words, those in Armenia are interested
in aggravation as this will give a chance to overthrow the country's
current President.
Are there any real prerequisites to overthrow the current Armenian
president?
Prerequisites for overthrow of Serzh Sargsyan from the presidential
post do exist. The position of those who will come to power in Armenia
will be tougher in terms of settlement of the Armenian-Azerbaijani
Nagorno-Karabakh conflict. In my opinion, once current authorities
are overthrown, the new grouping in the Armenian authorities will be
more pro-Russian and anti-Western.
Today
http://www.today.az/news/politics/ 67238.html
May 4 2010
Azerbaijan
Day.Az interview with chairman of the Islamic Committee of Russia,
renowned political expert Heydar Jamal.
As you know, Russian President Dmitry Medvedev will trip to Turkey on
May 11. What are you expectations from the visit? How can you assess
the current Russia-Turkey relations?
Russian President's visit to Turkey can be seen as an attempt to
smooth over an unfavorable impression from failure of Ankara's policy
to normalize Turkish-Armenian relations. This failure affected the
efforts to build a powerful Ankara-Tehran-Yerevan-Damascus bloc.
Armenian side's recent move questioned realism of Turkish PM Erdogan's
efforts on foreign policy arena. Russian President's visit to Turkey
aims to offset unfavorable impression from Turkey's failure in the
Armenian issue in the eyes of Turkish public to some extent. Of
course, Northern Cyprus issue will be discussed during the visit and
the Turkish leadership will try to enlist Russia's support in its
bid to separate the two Cyprus.
So, the Armenian-Azerbaijani Nagorno-Karabakh conflict will not be
prevalent in talks between the Turkish and Russian leaders.
Of course, the Armenian-Azerbaijani Nagorno-Karabakh conflict will be
discussed during the talks. But it will be just habitual conversation
the core of which will be Russia's unwillingness to abandon support
for Armenia and Turkey unwillingness to solve any issue related
to Nagorno-Karabakh without consulting with Azerbaijan. So, one
should not expect a new project to resolve the Karabakh conflict to
be developed. Such projects have no chance to be realized without
consent and participation of Baku.
Meanwhile, we can say that Armenia lags behind Azerbaijan and Georgia
for the level of economic development more and more each year. Why
Armenia is not interested in ending this regress, giving consent
to de-occupy Azerbaijani territories and granting status of highest
autonomy to Nagorno-Karabakh within Azerbaijan?
It is wrong to consider Armenia a hypothetical entity who takes
steps considering their pros and cons. Armenia is ruled by President
Serzh Sargsyan, who faces hatred of the opposition, which, in turn,
has hatred towards Azerbaijan and Turkey. The Armenian opposition is
ready to take advantage of any mistake by Serzh Sargsyan to hasten
his departure from the post of president.
The current Armenian political elite is more interested in balance
of powers within the country, than more global issues, including the
settlement of Armenian-Azerbaijani Nagorno-Karabakh conflict.
Moreover, they are confident that the superpowers have no desire
to finally abandon support for Armenia. They believe that the
military threat from the Azerbaijani side will consolidate the
Armenian diaspora which nowadays has very strained relations with the
Armenian leadership. In other words, those in Armenia are interested
in aggravation as this will give a chance to overthrow the country's
current President.
Are there any real prerequisites to overthrow the current Armenian
president?
Prerequisites for overthrow of Serzh Sargsyan from the presidential
post do exist. The position of those who will come to power in Armenia
will be tougher in terms of settlement of the Armenian-Azerbaijani
Nagorno-Karabakh conflict. In my opinion, once current authorities
are overthrown, the new grouping in the Armenian authorities will be
more pro-Russian and anti-Western.