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Recep Tayyip Erdogan: Turkey's Diplomatic Dynamo

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  • Recep Tayyip Erdogan: Turkey's Diplomatic Dynamo

    RECEP TAYYIP ERDOGAN: TURKEY'S DIPLOMATIC DYNAMO

    The National
    http://www.thenational.ae/apps/pbcs.dll/a rticle?AID=/20100522/WEEKENDER/705219882/1041/FORE IGN
    May 22 2010
    UAE

    His straight talking may at times have been a liability, but with a
    solid base behind him, he has whipped his country's foreign policy
    into shape, wooing the Middle East and catching his traditional allies
    off balance. Yigal Schleifer assesses a mercurial prime minister.

    It has been a busy couple of weeks for Recep Tayyip Erdogan, the
    Turkish prime minister. There were visits from Bashar al Assad, the
    Syrian leader, and the Russian president Dmitry Medvedev to deal with,
    strategically significant trips to Greece and Azerbaijan to get out
    of the way, and even a jaunt over to Spain to receive an honorary
    doctorate.

    And, oh yes, there was that short stop in Tehran on Monday to sign
    the nuclear fuel swap deal brokered by Turkey and Brazil with Iran.

    Turkey's mercurial leader is clearly a man on the move - and he
    is taking his country along for the ride. A decade ago a somewhat
    cautious American ally and Nato member, Turkey today is becoming a
    force to contend with, particularly in the Middle East, a region it
    had kept at an arm's length for decades.

    Much of this change can be attributed to policies pursued by Erdogan
    (pronounced "erdo-ahn") and his Justice and Development Party, or AKP.

    Since being formed in 2001 by Erdogan and other members of the
    reformist wing of one of Turkey's veteran Islamist parties, the AKP has
    become a significant force in Turkish politics, winning two national
    elections decisively and becoming the first single-party government
    to rule in almost two decades.

    The years preceding the AKP's first election, in 2002, were
    particularly difficult ones for Turkey, marked by a severe economic
    crisis and the after-effects of the 1980 military coup.

    The AKP's success in righting the country at home appears to have
    provided Erdogan with opportunities in the foreign arena.

    The troubles before the AKP came to power "created a major political
    vacuum in Turkey. Those were really horrible years and Turkey lost big
    time," says a senior foreign policy adviser. "The AKP came to power and
    proved to the world that it could run this country much better than all
    the other governments before. The more successful AKP became, the more
    new possibilities in foreign policy emerged. It's no longer a narrow
    nation-state agenda. It's a regional agenda. It's a global agenda."

    For the past several years, Erdogan - with the help of Ahmet Davutoglu,
    his foreign minister - has been shaking up Turkey's foreign stance:
    recalibrating relations with its traditional allies, the United States
    and Israel, re-engaging with the Arab and Muslim countries of the
    Middle East, and positioning Turkey as a global soft-power broker.

    Relations with Syria and Iran have improved dramatically. From being
    on the verge of war a decade ago, Ankara and Damascus are now on the
    road to becoming close allies.

    In October, Turkey and Armenia signed a historic set of protocols
    that lays the groundwork for the two countries to restore relations
    and examine their difficult past. Although currently stalled,
    the reconciliation process with Yerevan still represented a major
    breakthrough.

    Turkey has also been involved in mediation efforts between Israel
    and Syria, between Fatah and Hamas, between rival groups in Lebanon,
    between Afghanistan and Pakistan, and now between Iran and the West.

    This new-found diplomatic activism has left many of Turkey's
    traditional allies off balance. In Washington, Ankara's increasingly
    strained ties with Israel and warming relations with Iran have raised
    question marks about its future orientation.

    In the Middle East, meanwhile, Turkey's assertive reappearance has
    created a stir. Erdogan's regional popularity - at street level,
    at least - skyrocketed after his 2009 performance at Davos, where he
    stormed off the stage he was sharing with Shimon Peres, the Israeli
    president, after angrily berating him for his country's actions
    in Gaza.

    Erdogan returned a hero, crowned the "Conqueror of Davos" by a crowd
    of cheering supporters waiting at the airport. The drama also helped
    introduce him to a Middle Eastern public.

    For Turks, meanwhile, Davos was very much about Erdogan simply being
    Erdogan. The prime minister came of age in the streets of Kasimpasa,
    a scruffy working-class neighbourhood with a rough reputation near
    the heart of old Istanbul, and he maintains a straight-talking,
    no-holds-barred style. While out on the hustings a few years ago,
    he famously told off a farmer who was complaining about his economic
    situation with words that would have made a sailor blush. His lawyers,
    meanwhile, have made something of a cottage industry out of suing
    cartoonists and others who the PM feels have insulted his dignity.

    His family migrated to Kasimpasa from the Black Sea coast when he
    was a young teen, and in the winding streets that lead off from
    the neighbourhood's main mosque, locals still consider Erdogan one
    of them. "He was just a typical guy, with two suits and a Tofas" -
    a boxy Turkish-made Fiat, is the way one local put it.

    Many in the neighbourhood remember him as an outstanding footballer
    who might have gone pro had his conservative father not forbidden it.

    (Kasimpasa today has a gleaming new government-built football stadium,
    named after the prime minister.) Many also remember the political
    ambition he showed early on.

    At 16, Erdogan joined the youth branch of the Islamist National
    Salvation Party, a precursor to the Welfare Party, which governed
    Turkey for a shaky 12 months until it was forced out of power by
    the military in 1997. Erdogan quickly rose through the party ranks,
    becoming chairman of its Istanbul branch by the mid-1970s. A military
    coup in 1980 put his political aspirations on hold, but in 1994 he
    was back, successfully running for mayor of Istanbul.

    Erdogan's tenure as mayor was, by all counts, a success. He improved
    the city's infrastructure, installing water and sewage lines and
    upgrading public transport. But he also caused serious concern when
    he banned the serving of alcohol at city-owned establishments and
    issued statements such as: "One cannot be a secularist and a Muslim
    at the same time."

    In 1998, at rally in the south-eastern Turkish town of Siirt, Erdogan
    read a poem as part of a speech. "The minarets are our bayonets;
    the mosques are our barracks; our believers are our soldiers," he
    told the crowd. The Turkish authorities, looking for a way to muzzle
    Erdogan, charged him with "religious incitement", an accusation that
    got him banned from holding political office and earned him four
    months in prison.
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