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BAKU: Moscow's Attitude Towards Renewed Hostilities Between Azerbaij

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  • BAKU: Moscow's Attitude Towards Renewed Hostilities Between Azerbaij

    MOSCOW'S ATTITUDE TOWARDS RENEWED HOSTILITIES BETWEEN AZERBAIJAN AND ARMENIA...

    Today
    http://www.today.az/news/politic s/68391.html
    May 21 2010
    Azerbaijan

    Day.Az interview with editor-in-chief of Russia-based Kommersant
    newspaper, member of the Central Council of the All-Russia Congress
    of Azerbaijanis Azer Mursaliyev.

    In your opinion, did the Russian President's latest visit to Turkey
    and Turkish PM's recent visit to Azerbaijan revive the resolution of
    the Armenia-Azerbaijan Nagorno-Karabakh conflict to a certain extent?

    Numerous bilateral and trilateral initiatives on resolution of the
    Armenia-Azerbaijan Nagorno-Karabakh conflict have been advanced so
    far. None of them have led to real resolution of the conflict.

    Similarly, the above said visits have caused no shifts in the conflict
    resolution. There is simply working process underway.

    In your opinion, has Russia changed its stance in terms of
    understanding causes and consequences of the Armenia-Azerbaijan
    Nagorno-Karabakh conflict?

    If you talk about general trends, Russian political elite perceives
    the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict between Azerbaijan and Armenia as a kind
    of reality. Few people in the Russian establishment are interested
    in what are the real causes and consequences of this conflict.

    They are more interested in what consequences resumed military action
    between Azerbaijan and Armenia will have and whether it will affect
    Russia since the hostilities will take place not far from the southern
    borders of Russia which can cause many problems for the country.

    Therefore, "frozen" state of the Armenia-Azerbaijan Nagorno-Karabakh
    conflict is more advantageous for the Russian political elite.

    Then why Armenia is dissatisfied with the rapid warming in the
    Russian-Turkish relations?

    I find it difficult to say why Armenia is so indignant over overall
    development of Russian-Turkish relations. It can be assumed there
    is a reasonable cause. But equally, we can assume that there is
    no reason for Armenia's concern and all its fears over the current
    warming in the Russian-Turkish relations are groundless. In general,
    speaking about the Azerbaijani-Armenian Nagorno-Karabakh conflict,
    it should be noted that Armenia must either admit the annexation of
    Azerbaijan's territories or it should liberate them.

    There are no prerequisites for the world community to accept the
    fact of annexation of Azerbaijan's territories by Armenia. Similarly,
    Armenia has no ability to absorb the occupied Azerbaijani territories.

    Therefore, it is possible that the Armenian political establishment
    will finally understand that Azerbaijan's occupied lands must be
    liberated. Naturally, an understanding of this fact in Armenia is
    transformed into a search of what could be bargained in the case of
    de-occupation of Azerbaijan's territories.

    It is believed that Armenian President Serzh Sargsyan can decide to
    de-occupy Azerbaijan's territories if only he is given guarantees by
    superpowers that he will not be ousted.

    Such a version, like many other versions, has a right to exist. But
    in my opinion, no leader of any state in the world can argue with
    certainty that disgruntled people will never stage a revolt in his
    country. Moreover, the world history has seen no cases when conflict
    resolution depended on a single person, head of the country involved
    in this conflict. But there are many examples of how conflicts
    are solved if there is a consensus of all parties involved in
    its settlement. Such a consensus does not exist in case of the
    Armenian-Azerbaijani Nagorno-Karabakh conflict.
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