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Despite Major Shifts In Congress, Armenians Fared Well; Turks Not So

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  • Despite Major Shifts In Congress, Armenians Fared Well; Turks Not So

    DESPITE MAJOR SHIFTS IN CONGRESS, ARMENIANS FARED WELL; TURKS NOT SO WELL
    By Harut Sassounian

    Tert.am
    10.11.10

    The Nov. 2 elections were a referendum on Pres. Obama. He had
    disillusioned most Americans by his failed economic policies and
    disappointed Armenian-Americans by breaking his promise on the
    Genocide.

    Despite record Democratic losses in the elections, Armenian-Americans
    succeeded in helping elect their congressional friends on both side
    of the aisle. Moreover, the newly-elected conservative Congress is
    expected to be less tolerant of Turkey's flirtations with Iran and
    quarrels with Israel.

    Indeed, Armenian-American voters made a big difference in several
    key races. More than 95% of the 152 House members from both parties
    endorsed by the Armenian National Committee of America (ANCA) were
    re-elected, including the two Armenian-American members of Congress,
    Anna Eshoo (D-CA) and Jackie Speier (D-CA). Meanwhile, several major
    opponents of the Armenian Genocide resolution were defeated, including
    Cong. Michael McMahon (Dem.-NY), a staunch supporter of Turkey. He
    lost to Michael Grimm, a Republican, after a concerted effort by the
    Armenian and Greek communities in New York.

    Five of the six Senatorial candidates endorsed by the ANCA were
    victorious - Majority Leader Harry Reid (D-NV), Sen. Barbara Boxer
    (D-CA), Sen. Chuck Schumer (D-NY), Sen. Barbara Mikulski (D-MD),
    and Cong. Mark Kirk (R-IL), co-chair of the Congressional Caucus on
    Armenian Issues who successfully ran for the Senate. Other important
    victories were scored by Gov. Jerry Brown (D-CA) and Gov. Deval Patrick
    (D-MA), both strongly supported by the Armenian-American community.

    Although many incumbents lost their seats, 95% of the Congressional
    Caucus on Armenian Issues and over 90% of cosponsors of the
    congressional resolution on the Armenian Genocide were re-elected.

    Overall, Armenian-Americans fared well in these elections, mostly
    because they voted on the basis of the individual record of each
    member of Congress rather than his or her party affiliation.

    Otherwise, more of their supporters would have lost and more of their
    opponents would have won.

    How will these elections impact Armenian issues? We must remember that
    the term of the current members of Congress runs until January 2011,
    at which time those elected on Nov. 2 will take their seats. Whatever
    unfinished business Congress had before the election remains on its
    agenda until January when all pending nominations, resolutions and
    bills have to be reintroduced.

    The first order of business for both Houses of the current Congress
    is passage of the Armenian Genocide resolution. In the Senate, this
    bill has yet to be taken up by the Foreign Relations Committee, while
    awaiting consideration by the full House, ever since its adoption
    last March by the Committee on Foreign Affairs. As the Democrats lost
    their majority in the House, this is Speaker Nancy Pelosi's (Dem.-CA)
    last chance to redeem herself by keeping her own promise on passing
    this resolution before she steps down as Speaker in January. If no
    action is taken by then, the Genocide resolution would have to be
    resubmitted to the House. Even though the next Speaker, Cong. John
    Boehner (Rep.-Ohio), has opposed the resolution in the past, he may
    well change his views given the Republicans' utter displeasure with
    Turkey's anti-western policies.

    Also of interest to the Armenian-American community are the nominations
    of Matthew Bryza as US Ambassador to Azerbaijan - vacant since
    September 2009, and Francis Ricciardone as US Ambassador to Turkey -
    vacant since July 2010.

    Bryza's nomination has been blocked by a double "hold" from Senators
    Barbara Boxer (Dem.- CA) and Robert Menendez (Dem.-N.J.). It is
    highly unlikely that they would lift their hold during "the lame duck"
    session. The wisest choice for Pres. Obama at this time would be to
    submit a new nominee to the Senate, thus speeding up the appointment
    of an Ambassador to Azerbaijan. However, if Pres. Obama insists on
    resubmitting Bryza's name in January, he could be delaying the posting
    of a US Ambassador in Azerbaijan for many months.

    Ricciardone, on the other hand, has a better chance of becoming
    Ambassador to Turkey, as Sen. Sam Brownback (Rep.-Kansas), who had
    placed a hold on his nomination, has just been elected Governor
    of Kansas. If Sen. Brownback relinquishes his Senate seat before
    January, and no other Senator places a hold on Ricciardone, he could
    be confirmed before the New Year. Otherwise, Pres. Obama could either
    re-submit his name or nominate a new candidate in January, when the
    newly elected Congress convenes for its first session. However, if
    another Senator places a hold on Ricciardone, Turkey would then be
    deprived of a US Ambassador for several more months.

    Regardless of Ricciardone's fate, it is anticipated that Turkey
    would have a rough sailing in the new Congress, because most of
    the recently-elected Republicans are not too pleased with Ankara's
    Islamist regime and its pro-Iranian and anti-Israeli policies.




    From: A. Papazian
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