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The Leaks So Far: Armenia - US Relations, Turkish-Armenian Relations

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  • The Leaks So Far: Armenia - US Relations, Turkish-Armenian Relations

    THE LEAKS SO FAR: ARMENIA - US RELATIONS, TURKISH-ARMENIAN RELATIONS, NAGORNO KARABAKH CONFLICT

    YerevanReport.com
    http://www.yerevanreport.com/44903/wikileaks-armenia-us-relations/
    Nov 29 2010

    Politics

    The imminent release by Wikileaks of many years of US diplomatic
    communication promises to contain a wealth of information about Armenia
    and its region, including information on Armenia - US Relations,
    Turkish-Armenian relations, Karabakh conflict, and more.

    The Guardian Newspaper in the UK has already begun publishing some of
    the leaked cables. Below is a summary of some of the Guardian-published
    cables released so far:

    Turkey Pushes Back on Protocols (February 2010)

    In a cable from Ankara, Ambassador James F. Jeffrey documents his
    discussions with Turkish MFA Undersecretary Feridun Sinirlioglu. The
    meeting was part of "Shared Vision" US-Turkey meetings and touched a
    host of topics including US displeasure of Turkish support for Iran,
    Turkish-Armenian relations, and the war in Iraq. According to the
    leaked cable, Turkey continued to push back on the ratification of
    protocols claiming that there is a "strong reaction" among MPs from
    the Justice and Development party (AKP). Sinirlioglu also reportedly
    mentioned:

    â- Ilham Aliyev of Azerbaijan is angry at Turkey an has to be appeased
    before moving forward on the protocols.

    â- An Armenian Genocide resolution in the US Congress would
    "complicate" the Turkish-Armenian rapprochement.

    â- Azerbaijan is allegedly holding a natural gas deal with Turkey as
    hostage, in order to prevent the ratification of the protocols.

    Below is the direct Armenia-related quote from the cable:

    3. (C) Sinirlioglu appealed for "simultaneity" between Armenian
    Protocols ratification and the Minsk Process. He emphasized "a strong
    reaction" against the protocols among ruling party MPs had to be
    overcome before the government would hazard a ratification effort. He
    warned Congressional passage of an Armenian genocide resolution would
    "complicate" his government's domestic political calculations regarding
    ratification. He said if something acceptable to Azerbaijani President
    Aliyev can found, then "we can move" the protocols forward.

    Sinirlioglu suggested Azerbaijan and Armenia's announcement of an
    agreed framework for Minsk Group progress would provide the GoT with
    the necessary political cover. Burns inquired about the prospect for
    progress on a natural gas deal between Turkey and Azerbaijan.

    Sinirlioglu implied Aliyev is holding an agreement hostage to Turkey's
    handling of the protocols: "He doesn't trust us."

    Aliyev: "Sword of Damocles" of April 24 hanging over the
    Nagorno-Karabakh negotiations (February 2010)

    Charge d'Affaires in Azerbaijan, Donald Lu, held a meeting with Ilham
    Aliyev on February 25, 2010. During the course of this meeting Aliyev
    registered displeasure at Armenian-Turkish reconciliation.

    Additionally, Aliyev urged the US to attempt to force Armenia's hand
    in the Nagorno-Karabakh negotiations. Below is a direct quote:

    - the three co-chair countries should consolidate their efforts at
    a senior-level,

    - (C) the three co-chair countries should send a strong message that
    the independence of NK is not under review, and

    - (C) if these new proposals are not accepted, there should be
    consequences in terms of international isolation, especially in the
    form of Russia,s curtailing some of its economic support for Armenia.

    Alleged Armenian Arms Transfers to Iran (December 2008)

    A cable sent to Embassy Armenia in December 2008, directs the
    ambassador to send a letter expressing US fury at alleged arms
    transfers to Iran. The cable alleges that "Armenia facilitated
    Iran's purchase of rockets and machine guns" in 2003. Furthermore,
    according to the cable as published by the Guardian, in 2007 some of
    those weapons were found in Iraq.

    In order to avoid sanctions, the US advises Armenia's government to
    present written compelling evidence that Armenia will not become
    a source of weapons for Iran in the future, including agreeing to
    surprise visits by US to assess compliance as well as consulting with
    United States on the future transfer of weapons to any country that
    is not a member of EU, NATO, or any country that is not one of the
    participants in the Wassenaar Arrangement. Currently there are 40
    participating states in the Wassenaar Arrangement.

    Full Leak Will Contain Much More

    The Guardian Newspaper also published statistical data about all the
    documents, including the source and subject. Here is an accounting
    of documents issued by US embassies in Armenia and it's neighboring
    countries:

    â- Embassy Yerevan - 1,735 cables â- Embassy Ankara - 7,918 cables
    â- Embassy Baku - 1,569 cables â- Embassy Tbilisi - 1,167 cables




    From: A. Papazian
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