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KARABAKH MEDIATORS BECOME WHAT MARTTI AHTISAARI WAS FOR KOSOVO
by Armen Hareyan
HULIQ.com
Sept 10 2010
SC
The Minsk Group co-chairs of Nagorno Karabakh Conflict that mediate
a resolution between Armenia and Azerbaijan seem to go with the same
scenario that Martti Ahtisaari used in time when regulating the Kosovo
problem and leading to its independence, thus establishing lasting
peace in Balkans.
Five events and statements, including today's statement by the Minks
group, support the idea that the resolution of the Nagorno Karabakh
conflict will lead to its independence and that will be a win win
situation for Azerbaijan and Armenia establishing peace in the region.
Look at the Balkans. Serbia has given up the diplomatic fight and
looks to the future.
Crossing the Line of Contact between Azerbaijan and Karabakh.
Mediators crossed the line of contact between Nagorno Karabakh and
Azerbaijan by foot. In the past nine years of mediation this had
never happened. Now, by crossing the line of contact from Azerbaijan
to Nagorno Karabakh and doing it by foot Mediators show four things.
First that this line is not to become a permanent barrier between
neighboring peoples. Second, they recognize Nagorno Karabakh by a
conflicting side and in their statement use the phrase "all parties."
Third, they recognize the leadership of Nagorno Karabakh as the de
facto authorities running Nagorno Karabakh: one thing that Azerbaijan
had failed to do in the past years. The last one is that the cease
fire on this line of contact "must be strictly respect," the co-chairs
say in today's statement.
Field Assessment Mission
This mission remotely reminds Martti Ahtisaari's Kosovo Status
Process. Co-Chairs also say they will be back and conduct a Field
Assessment Mission sometimes between late September of 2010 and mid
October. While the details of this mission are not known, it was after
several missions, negotiations and hard work as UN Special Envoy for
the Kosovo Status Process that president Ahtisaari recommended a UN
monitored independence for Kosov as the best possible solution for
its conflict with Serbia. Since Azerbaijan periodically violates the
ceasefire and threatens the use of force against the people of Nagoro
Karabakh if the problem is not solved in its favor, the mediators may
well recommend a speedier independence for the region after this Field
Assessment Mission, especially given the fact that they already refer
to the region's authorities as the de facto leadership and part of
"all conflicting parties."
Reiterating Minsk Group is the place for resolving this conflict
Minsk Group peace process is revolving around the Six Principles,
which eventually call for a referendum to determine the final
status of the region. Azerbaijan fears this will lead to Karabakh's
independence as Christian Armenians are the 80 percent majority in
the region over 20 percent Muslim Azeris. Azerbaijan recently had
a resolution draft in UN trying to bring the conflict to the UN's
attention and hoping for a different outcome. Yet, it had earlier
on several instances committed itself to Minsk Group. Two days ago,
in an 11th hour arrangement Azerbaijan withdraw its resolution from UN.
Minsk group co-chairs today included a close in their statement
welcoming Azerbaijan's withdrawal and at the same time reiterating
"that the OSCE Minsk Group remains the sole framework for a peaceful
settlement of the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict."
Madrid Principles and the Referendum
The Madrid Principles, that were set forward by the United States,
France and Russia as a way to resolve this conflict seem to be a
win win situation for all parties. Nagorno Karabakh would conduct
a referendum for its final status and would have a land border with
Armenia with which it shares cultural, lingual and religious tiles.
Azerbaijan would get its some of its territories back, which Armenian
forces had liberated as a buffer zone between Nagorno Karabakh and
Azerbaijan. Azeri forces were bombarding Karabakh cities and villages
from those territories.
Impossible to Resist Kosovo Precedence
All things lead to the de jure recognition of Nagorno Karabakh's
independence as a way to resolve this conflict permanently and
establishing peace between the conflicting parties and in the region.
As principles call for consistency, Kosovo as a precedence
is impossible to resist. The spirit of Karabakh's independence
recommendation may well be in the air ahead of co-chairs' upcoming
Field Assessment Mission echoing Martti Ahtisaari's approach to Kosovo.
From: A. Papazian
by Armen Hareyan
HULIQ.com
Sept 10 2010
SC
The Minsk Group co-chairs of Nagorno Karabakh Conflict that mediate
a resolution between Armenia and Azerbaijan seem to go with the same
scenario that Martti Ahtisaari used in time when regulating the Kosovo
problem and leading to its independence, thus establishing lasting
peace in Balkans.
Five events and statements, including today's statement by the Minks
group, support the idea that the resolution of the Nagorno Karabakh
conflict will lead to its independence and that will be a win win
situation for Azerbaijan and Armenia establishing peace in the region.
Look at the Balkans. Serbia has given up the diplomatic fight and
looks to the future.
Crossing the Line of Contact between Azerbaijan and Karabakh.
Mediators crossed the line of contact between Nagorno Karabakh and
Azerbaijan by foot. In the past nine years of mediation this had
never happened. Now, by crossing the line of contact from Azerbaijan
to Nagorno Karabakh and doing it by foot Mediators show four things.
First that this line is not to become a permanent barrier between
neighboring peoples. Second, they recognize Nagorno Karabakh by a
conflicting side and in their statement use the phrase "all parties."
Third, they recognize the leadership of Nagorno Karabakh as the de
facto authorities running Nagorno Karabakh: one thing that Azerbaijan
had failed to do in the past years. The last one is that the cease
fire on this line of contact "must be strictly respect," the co-chairs
say in today's statement.
Field Assessment Mission
This mission remotely reminds Martti Ahtisaari's Kosovo Status
Process. Co-Chairs also say they will be back and conduct a Field
Assessment Mission sometimes between late September of 2010 and mid
October. While the details of this mission are not known, it was after
several missions, negotiations and hard work as UN Special Envoy for
the Kosovo Status Process that president Ahtisaari recommended a UN
monitored independence for Kosov as the best possible solution for
its conflict with Serbia. Since Azerbaijan periodically violates the
ceasefire and threatens the use of force against the people of Nagoro
Karabakh if the problem is not solved in its favor, the mediators may
well recommend a speedier independence for the region after this Field
Assessment Mission, especially given the fact that they already refer
to the region's authorities as the de facto leadership and part of
"all conflicting parties."
Reiterating Minsk Group is the place for resolving this conflict
Minsk Group peace process is revolving around the Six Principles,
which eventually call for a referendum to determine the final
status of the region. Azerbaijan fears this will lead to Karabakh's
independence as Christian Armenians are the 80 percent majority in
the region over 20 percent Muslim Azeris. Azerbaijan recently had
a resolution draft in UN trying to bring the conflict to the UN's
attention and hoping for a different outcome. Yet, it had earlier
on several instances committed itself to Minsk Group. Two days ago,
in an 11th hour arrangement Azerbaijan withdraw its resolution from UN.
Minsk group co-chairs today included a close in their statement
welcoming Azerbaijan's withdrawal and at the same time reiterating
"that the OSCE Minsk Group remains the sole framework for a peaceful
settlement of the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict."
Madrid Principles and the Referendum
The Madrid Principles, that were set forward by the United States,
France and Russia as a way to resolve this conflict seem to be a
win win situation for all parties. Nagorno Karabakh would conduct
a referendum for its final status and would have a land border with
Armenia with which it shares cultural, lingual and religious tiles.
Azerbaijan would get its some of its territories back, which Armenian
forces had liberated as a buffer zone between Nagorno Karabakh and
Azerbaijan. Azeri forces were bombarding Karabakh cities and villages
from those territories.
Impossible to Resist Kosovo Precedence
All things lead to the de jure recognition of Nagorno Karabakh's
independence as a way to resolve this conflict permanently and
establishing peace between the conflicting parties and in the region.
As principles call for consistency, Kosovo as a precedence
is impossible to resist. The spirit of Karabakh's independence
recommendation may well be in the air ahead of co-chairs' upcoming
Field Assessment Mission echoing Martti Ahtisaari's approach to Kosovo.
From: A. Papazian