Tweet
WHO BROUGHT CLOSER THE SECOND KARABAKH WAR?
Lragir.am
http://www.lragir.am/engsrc/politics22866.html
11:14:12 - 08/08/2011
Question to political scientist Igor Muradyan
- How can be seen the upcoming visit of Ilham Aliyev to Sochi for a
meeting with Dmitry Medvedev? What can we expect from this meeting?
- The Western community, the U.S. first of all provided Russia with
a certain level of freedom in the Nagorno Karabakh issue settlement.
As a result, the goal is achieved, there can be no word on the
settlement but Russia has demonstrated its complete incapacity to
operate the available levers. Recently, in Moscow, in quite a decent
society, the question was asked: "If the Americans support Dmitry
Medvedev, why they do not hide their joy at the failure of Russia?"
The supposed consultants to presidential office for South Caucasus
and other regions think so. And this is the Russian establishment,
or service to the establishment.
The problem now, is not so much the jokes, which are made in address
to the Russian president, but rather the intentions of the United
States and France, to review the mechanisms of conflict resolution
in a certain space, which includes leveling the role of Russia, and
in any case, the exclusion of its leading role in these issues. This
is a hit to the self-esteem and personal prestige of Dmitri Medvedev
who believed that the Americans sympathize with him so much that
they are ready to withdraw from the region. Therefore, illusions
appear in Moscow about the possibility of 'playing-off the lost game'
which is apparently connected with the hope that it will be possible
to convince Azerbaijan of the need to "save face" to D. Medvedev.
Moreover, even some threats are used with the expectation that Armenia
must once again pay with blood for the welfare of the favorites
of Moscow.
The U.S., completed the "pause" more evidently and returned to the
former plans on the familiarization of the South Caucasus to its
strategy, and the possibility appeared in the region to develop a third
force as an alternative to the expected Turkish-Russian alliance. In
addition, the functions are determined and distributed which are
allotted to new and newest South Caucasian states: exceptionally
transitional functions and repression of Russia are given to Georgia,
functions on regional balance and repression of Turkey to Armenia,
functions of "secondary" bases to Azerbaijan, and Abkhazia, South
Ossetia and Nagorno Karabakh are determined to block the efforts
of Turkey and Russia in the region. When British people want to
point out the political-intellectual capacities of the Americans,
they say: "Americans are simple people". In reality, this plan is
not only simple and obvious, but it "floats into the hands" of the
designers. The U.S. has initiated now active work on the absorption
of Azerbaijan, which supposes its distancing not only from Russia
but also from Turkey.
As to Russia, it is clutching at a straw. After the stupid and funny
three-party game on surrender of Armenia's interests for the sake of
strengthening the influence on Azerbaijan, it is only left to prove
to the Americans that Russia, having failed its political games, is
able at least to prevent the war. They will have to decide what is
necessary to do for that: to go on humiliating in front of Azerbaijan
or to deploy other two divisions of S-300 systems.
The question occurs who brought the second Karabakh war closer -
the U.S. or Russia? An important trump appears in the hands of the
Armenian leadership as well as hopes to become a participant in this
game, more precisely, to accept meaningfully the prospect of war.
From: Baghdasarian
Lragir.am
http://www.lragir.am/engsrc/politics22866.html
11:14:12 - 08/08/2011
Question to political scientist Igor Muradyan
- How can be seen the upcoming visit of Ilham Aliyev to Sochi for a
meeting with Dmitry Medvedev? What can we expect from this meeting?
- The Western community, the U.S. first of all provided Russia with
a certain level of freedom in the Nagorno Karabakh issue settlement.
As a result, the goal is achieved, there can be no word on the
settlement but Russia has demonstrated its complete incapacity to
operate the available levers. Recently, in Moscow, in quite a decent
society, the question was asked: "If the Americans support Dmitry
Medvedev, why they do not hide their joy at the failure of Russia?"
The supposed consultants to presidential office for South Caucasus
and other regions think so. And this is the Russian establishment,
or service to the establishment.
The problem now, is not so much the jokes, which are made in address
to the Russian president, but rather the intentions of the United
States and France, to review the mechanisms of conflict resolution
in a certain space, which includes leveling the role of Russia, and
in any case, the exclusion of its leading role in these issues. This
is a hit to the self-esteem and personal prestige of Dmitri Medvedev
who believed that the Americans sympathize with him so much that
they are ready to withdraw from the region. Therefore, illusions
appear in Moscow about the possibility of 'playing-off the lost game'
which is apparently connected with the hope that it will be possible
to convince Azerbaijan of the need to "save face" to D. Medvedev.
Moreover, even some threats are used with the expectation that Armenia
must once again pay with blood for the welfare of the favorites
of Moscow.
The U.S., completed the "pause" more evidently and returned to the
former plans on the familiarization of the South Caucasus to its
strategy, and the possibility appeared in the region to develop a third
force as an alternative to the expected Turkish-Russian alliance. In
addition, the functions are determined and distributed which are
allotted to new and newest South Caucasian states: exceptionally
transitional functions and repression of Russia are given to Georgia,
functions on regional balance and repression of Turkey to Armenia,
functions of "secondary" bases to Azerbaijan, and Abkhazia, South
Ossetia and Nagorno Karabakh are determined to block the efforts
of Turkey and Russia in the region. When British people want to
point out the political-intellectual capacities of the Americans,
they say: "Americans are simple people". In reality, this plan is
not only simple and obvious, but it "floats into the hands" of the
designers. The U.S. has initiated now active work on the absorption
of Azerbaijan, which supposes its distancing not only from Russia
but also from Turkey.
As to Russia, it is clutching at a straw. After the stupid and funny
three-party game on surrender of Armenia's interests for the sake of
strengthening the influence on Azerbaijan, it is only left to prove
to the Americans that Russia, having failed its political games, is
able at least to prevent the war. They will have to decide what is
necessary to do for that: to go on humiliating in front of Azerbaijan
or to deploy other two divisions of S-300 systems.
The question occurs who brought the second Karabakh war closer -
the U.S. or Russia? An important trump appears in the hands of the
Armenian leadership as well as hopes to become a participant in this
game, more precisely, to accept meaningfully the prospect of war.
From: Baghdasarian