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Yerevan And Moscow In The Same Chains

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  • Yerevan And Moscow In The Same Chains

    YEREVAN AND MOSCOW IN THE SAME CHAINS
    Naira Hayrumyan

    Story from Lragir.am News:
    http://www.lragir.am/engsrc/comments22964.html
    Published: 11:58:27 - 17/08/2011

    There is a common opinion that the situation in Armenia depends on
    the outcome of elections in Russia.

    The situation in Russia is indefinite. The first and last president
    of USSR, Mikhail Gorbachev, in his interview with The Guardian,
    said Prime Minister Putin is an obstacle to democratic transition in
    Russia. He thinks Dmitry Medvedev deserves a second presidential term.

    "The President's program of economic, political and civil modernization
    is better but his possibilities are limited," said Gorbachev. According
    to him, Putin defeated Medvedev with his cunning.

    Yesterday, Putin and Medvedev fished in the Volga River, dived and
    drove a powerboat but not together, in order to show that Medvedev
    is also manly though Putin's torso is broader.

    Half a year is left to go before the presidential elections in Russia
    but the candidates are not known. Such things would happen only in
    Russia where civil opinion is as unessential as in Armenia. Not the
    parties as unions of citizens but authoritarian leaders identify
    the candidates.

    It was repeatedly said that in Armenia radical political changes are
    possible only if Putin promotes his candidacy. This is first of all
    related to Kocharyan's return. Many analysts in Armenia affirm it
    is impossible under the current rating of Kocharyan. But in Armenia,
    rating is nothing if the outcome of elections is "planned" beforehand.

    Moreover, it is unknown how Serzh Sargsyan will behave if Putin runs
    in the elections and Kocharyan voices about his intentions. Will
    Sargsyan's resources be sufficient to fight two former presidents,
    Russian and Armenian?

    The uncertainty of the Russian establishment hinders the organization
    of the Armenian political field. But will certainty become a
    stabilizing factor or will it promote uncontrolled processes?

    Armenia appeared in such a situation due to the activities of its
    political class, which is in total dependence on the Russian political
    and economic situation. No matter who will rule in Russia, in Armenia,
    changes in the social and political life will happen only within the
    leadership without changing the current situation. Meanwhile systemic
    changes are possible as soon as total economic and political dependence
    on Moscow is overcome.

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