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TURKEY'S INCREASINGLY GETTING ISOLATED
Lragir.am
http://www.lragir.am/engsrc/interview23074.html
24/08/2011
Is the situation in Syria coming to the head and how could it
influence the Near East and our region? We asked Igor Muradyan,
political scientist, for comment.
All through the protests in Syria the United States and France have
never signaled their wish to topple the Alavi clan. On the contrary,
Bashar al-Assad and his entourage were enabled to strengthen their
position. By almost inaction, the United States tailored the situation
in the Near East to its liking. The United States approved coordination
of actions of Turkey and Saudi which did not spare effort to topple
the Alavi clan but for the single purpose of pressure on Syria.
In fact, there happened what earlier Saudi, along with other states,
including Egypt and the United States, intended to do, namely building
a wall against Turkey's expansion toward the Near East, which was
Syria. In the past 7-8 years, Turkish and Syrian relations developed
successfully, which worried the United States and the Arab states. Now
they have broken up, and apparently it will last long. The Syrian
elite has experienced Turkish mercy and intentions. As long as Turkey
hasn't walked on the Shia area, it will not have an opportunity to
boost its influence in the region. At the same time, confidence gap
and hostility have occurred between Iran and Turkey.
Now it's hard to assess the consequence of Arab revolutions for
Turkey's prospects but what happened in Egypt and Syria will lead to
Turkey's isolation in the region. Certainly, the United States and
Turkey bet on the Near East but the Black Sea-Caucasus direction is
important too. Turkey felt in the past few months that without the
U.S. support and participation it cannot fulfill its geopolitical plans
and decided to agree its position with the United States. No doubt,
Turkey will not reject its regional expansion but will try to juxtapose
its interests with the U.S. interests. Turkey gritted its teeth to
accept the U.S. proposal on increasing its presence in the Black Sea
but understood that its restraint led to nothing. The United States
again showed likelihood to implement its goals regarding the Black
Sea with other partners but without Turkey's immediate participation.
Leaving Turkey out of the Black Sea basin projects was the meaning
of the U.S. policy and the police of establishment of the Third Force.
The U.S. intentions and actions led to partnership between Russia
and Turkey because Ankara felt that it is better to agree than to
disagree with the U.S. policy. All the nations and governments which
still ignore the geopolitical reality and political analysis as such
should understand this.Using the opportunity, I would like to say
the following. Being in a complicated geopolitical situation, Armenia
must focus more on Know How and support small groups engaged in modern
studies. In Armenia, a group of enthusiasts, biologists and physicists,
have created a substance which immediately acts on the content of
oil pipelines. In addition, independent from dynamics, oil in pipes
rapidly turns into a solid substance. It just takes piercing a small
hole in the pipe. Armenia does not possess sufficient armed forces to
destroy oil terminals and pumps. It requires linear destruction of
energy communications which would be impossible to reconstruct. The
Armenian government's kindness which relies on conventional methods
is criminal, Igor Muadyan said.
Lragir.am
http://www.lragir.am/engsrc/interview23074.html
24/08/2011
Is the situation in Syria coming to the head and how could it
influence the Near East and our region? We asked Igor Muradyan,
political scientist, for comment.
All through the protests in Syria the United States and France have
never signaled their wish to topple the Alavi clan. On the contrary,
Bashar al-Assad and his entourage were enabled to strengthen their
position. By almost inaction, the United States tailored the situation
in the Near East to its liking. The United States approved coordination
of actions of Turkey and Saudi which did not spare effort to topple
the Alavi clan but for the single purpose of pressure on Syria.
In fact, there happened what earlier Saudi, along with other states,
including Egypt and the United States, intended to do, namely building
a wall against Turkey's expansion toward the Near East, which was
Syria. In the past 7-8 years, Turkish and Syrian relations developed
successfully, which worried the United States and the Arab states. Now
they have broken up, and apparently it will last long. The Syrian
elite has experienced Turkish mercy and intentions. As long as Turkey
hasn't walked on the Shia area, it will not have an opportunity to
boost its influence in the region. At the same time, confidence gap
and hostility have occurred between Iran and Turkey.
Now it's hard to assess the consequence of Arab revolutions for
Turkey's prospects but what happened in Egypt and Syria will lead to
Turkey's isolation in the region. Certainly, the United States and
Turkey bet on the Near East but the Black Sea-Caucasus direction is
important too. Turkey felt in the past few months that without the
U.S. support and participation it cannot fulfill its geopolitical plans
and decided to agree its position with the United States. No doubt,
Turkey will not reject its regional expansion but will try to juxtapose
its interests with the U.S. interests. Turkey gritted its teeth to
accept the U.S. proposal on increasing its presence in the Black Sea
but understood that its restraint led to nothing. The United States
again showed likelihood to implement its goals regarding the Black
Sea with other partners but without Turkey's immediate participation.
Leaving Turkey out of the Black Sea basin projects was the meaning
of the U.S. policy and the police of establishment of the Third Force.
The U.S. intentions and actions led to partnership between Russia
and Turkey because Ankara felt that it is better to agree than to
disagree with the U.S. policy. All the nations and governments which
still ignore the geopolitical reality and political analysis as such
should understand this.Using the opportunity, I would like to say
the following. Being in a complicated geopolitical situation, Armenia
must focus more on Know How and support small groups engaged in modern
studies. In Armenia, a group of enthusiasts, biologists and physicists,
have created a substance which immediately acts on the content of
oil pipelines. In addition, independent from dynamics, oil in pipes
rapidly turns into a solid substance. It just takes piercing a small
hole in the pipe. Armenia does not possess sufficient armed forces to
destroy oil terminals and pumps. It requires linear destruction of
energy communications which would be impossible to reconstruct. The
Armenian government's kindness which relies on conventional methods
is criminal, Igor Muadyan said.