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Russian-US Tensions Will Not Affect Caucasus - Vladimir Yevseyev

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  • Russian-US Tensions Will Not Affect Caucasus - Vladimir Yevseyev

    RUSSIAN-US TENSIONS WILL NOT AFFECT CAUCASUS - VLADIMIR YEVSEYEV

    Vestnik Kavkaza
    Dec 9 2011
    Russia

    Escalating tensions between Russia and the US would not affect
    the conflicts in the South Caucasus. They are determined, firstly,
    by internal regional factors, Vladimir Yevseyev, Director of the
    Center for Socio-Political Studies, told Vestnik Kavkaza. The expert
    believes that conflicts between Georgia, Abkhazia and South Ossetia,
    as well as the Armenian-Azerbaijani Nagorno-Karabakh conflict, would
    maintain their status quo.

    Georgia approved Russian membership in the WTO in exchange for Russia
    allowing it to monitor the foreign borders. There are no negative
    tendencies. Russia does not need instability for the coming Winter
    Olympic Games, with the hosting city of Sochi in the area. Tbilisi
    would not want instability in Adjara, the expert says.

    Concerning the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict, Yevseyev says that it will
    be determined by the ability of the sides to avoid violence. There is
    a dangerous balance, with regular sniper attacks and trainings. But
    the Nagorno-Karabakh peace process has nothing to do with Russian-US
    relations. The USA is a member of the OSCE Minsk Group. Meetings on
    the Nagorno-Karabakh problem were mainly initiated by Russia. The US
    president would not want unexpected decisions before the presidential
    polls.

    The political analyst believes that the events around Syria and
    Iran may affect the Caucasus, although the US cannot interfere in the
    Nagorno-Karabakh or the Georgian conflicts. The US needs to concentrate
    on withdrawing from Iraq by the end of the year. It may also reduce its
    presence in Afghanistan.Russian-US relations suffered from Washington's
    refusal to give Moscow legal guarantees that the European missile
    shield would not be a threat. The framework of the two-day meeting
    of NATO foreign ministers had a session of the Russia-NATO Council,
    with Russian Minister Sergey Lavrov attending it.

    The key topic was cooperation on the European missile shield, where
    the sides failed to reach a consensus.US Secretary of State Hillary
    Clinton said on Thursday that US and NATO allies would not allow any
    third state to veto the NATO anti-missile system. The project will
    be realized and carries no threat to Russia. The missile threat does
    not come from Russia, it comes from other states.

    Russia confirmed readiness to defend its measures and take
    counter-measures against the actions of the NATO and the US.

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