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US Analyst: "If The Last Twenty Three Years Tell Us Anything, It Is

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  • US Analyst: "If The Last Twenty Three Years Tell Us Anything, It Is

    US ANALYST: "IF THE LAST TWENTY THREE YEARS TELL US ANYTHING, IT IS THAT WESTERN STATES AND INSTITUTIONS DO NOT HAVE SUFFICIENT LEVERAGE OVER ARMENIA AND AZERBAIJAN TO PRODUCE PEACE"

    APA
    http://en.apa.az/news.php?id=162122
    Dec 20 2011
    Azerbaijan

    Washington. Isabel Levine - APA. A prominent American analyst on South
    Caucasus Prof. Neil MacFarlane, who currently serves as a head of
    the Department of Politics and International Relations at the Oxford
    University, believes that, the European missile defense program will
    not much effect on the importance of Azerbaijani Gabala Radar.

    However, he says, prospects for further Russia-US cooperation in
    security are limited.

    "The trend appears to be in the other direction, not least because
    of the disagreements over missile defense, and also Iran", he told
    to APA's correspondent.

    Prof. MacFarlane says the Western approach to the post-Soviet countries
    has been to recognize the full sovereignty and independence of
    these countries in international affairs. The Russians seem to have
    a different view, where the sovereignty of the other republics is
    not complete, and Russia has special rights and duties in the former
    Soviet space.

    "They are particularly sensitive to other regional states "leaning
    to the West", and to western efforts to expand security relations in
    the region", he added.

    Speaking about the South Caucasus' future, the analyst mentioned that
    ten years from now, the cooperation of Azerbaijan, Georgia and Armenia
    with Euro-Atlantic institutions will be deeper, and that is probably
    a good thing for the region. "However, the three states will remain
    a long way away from full integration".

    As for the prospects of resolving the Nagorno-Karabakh issue, Prof.

    MacFarla says, "Prospects continue to be poor. The West can mediate,
    and they can encourage. But the necessary decisions are local ones".

    "If the last twenty three years tell us anything, it is that Western
    states and institutions do not have sufficient leverage over Armenia
    and Azerbaijan to produce peace. Nor does Russia", he underlined.



    From: Emil Lazarian | Ararat NewsPress
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