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ARMENIA 2011: IRAN
Igor Muradyan
Story from Lragir.am News:
http://www.lragir.am/engsrc/politics24692.html
Published: 16:49:52 - 23/12/2011
In the past decades, Iran has never been in such a difficult situation,
in such tough blockade and isolation like now. Iran turned to the 5+1
countries' group proposing external supervision on the nuclear project
in exchange for lifting sanctions. Apparently, this proposal will not
be effective, and the U.S. will go on toughening sanctions, which
will touch upon Armenia which is linked to Iran. The year 2011 was
not so effective in terms of the development of the Armenian-Iranian
relations, considering that the main issue regarding the most important
energy and communication projects have not been solved.
The last 2-3 years were missed chances because external partners to
invest in these projects have not been chosen correctly. The next
year will hardly be effective in this sense. At the same time, the U.S.
will understand Armenia's issues and will not exaggerate Armenia's
relations with Iran in the lifeline of the country. There is no need
to stop the flow of air to Armenia if the Western community provides
economic assistance to it. Besides, Iran, just like Russia, is more
interested in regional partners and it felt the temporary importance
of Turkey's tactical tricks.
The Turkish-Iranian relations returned to ground zero, and Iran, like
earlier, sees Turkey as an ontological competitor. Iran and Turkey are
interested in mutual economic relations but despite economic capacities
and common interests in the region these countries cannot be considered
closely cooperating countries. In this sense, with its interests, Iran
is closer to Christian than Islamic countries in the region. Though,
Iran is waiting for a stronger geopolitical and geo-economic blockade,
Iran, like Russia, is more interested in geopolitical splits, including
in the Southern Caucasus and the Near East.
For this purpose, it is necessary to expect that Iran will initiate
fragmentation of different countries, and first of all Azerbaijan. It
will not be an exaggeration to say that 2011 was a year of loss of
illusions of Russia and understanding of the necessity to form new
Russian-Iranian relations. Russia "flirted" with its new partners,
and Iran managed, as always, to wait for the return of older ideas,
such as Moscow-Tehran axis doctrine. Apparently, we can wait for
the resumption of the supply of modern weapon to Iran. So, a more
traditional situation occurs in the region, and it is necessary to use
it. Armenia failed to use the modernization of the regional situation,
though a couple of achievements are in place. It is possible that
the former classification of forces will become more normal for
the policy of Armenia. But this is a very general definition of the
regional situation.
From: Baghdasarian
Igor Muradyan
Story from Lragir.am News:
http://www.lragir.am/engsrc/politics24692.html
Published: 16:49:52 - 23/12/2011
In the past decades, Iran has never been in such a difficult situation,
in such tough blockade and isolation like now. Iran turned to the 5+1
countries' group proposing external supervision on the nuclear project
in exchange for lifting sanctions. Apparently, this proposal will not
be effective, and the U.S. will go on toughening sanctions, which
will touch upon Armenia which is linked to Iran. The year 2011 was
not so effective in terms of the development of the Armenian-Iranian
relations, considering that the main issue regarding the most important
energy and communication projects have not been solved.
The last 2-3 years were missed chances because external partners to
invest in these projects have not been chosen correctly. The next
year will hardly be effective in this sense. At the same time, the U.S.
will understand Armenia's issues and will not exaggerate Armenia's
relations with Iran in the lifeline of the country. There is no need
to stop the flow of air to Armenia if the Western community provides
economic assistance to it. Besides, Iran, just like Russia, is more
interested in regional partners and it felt the temporary importance
of Turkey's tactical tricks.
The Turkish-Iranian relations returned to ground zero, and Iran, like
earlier, sees Turkey as an ontological competitor. Iran and Turkey are
interested in mutual economic relations but despite economic capacities
and common interests in the region these countries cannot be considered
closely cooperating countries. In this sense, with its interests, Iran
is closer to Christian than Islamic countries in the region. Though,
Iran is waiting for a stronger geopolitical and geo-economic blockade,
Iran, like Russia, is more interested in geopolitical splits, including
in the Southern Caucasus and the Near East.
For this purpose, it is necessary to expect that Iran will initiate
fragmentation of different countries, and first of all Azerbaijan. It
will not be an exaggeration to say that 2011 was a year of loss of
illusions of Russia and understanding of the necessity to form new
Russian-Iranian relations. Russia "flirted" with its new partners,
and Iran managed, as always, to wait for the return of older ideas,
such as Moscow-Tehran axis doctrine. Apparently, we can wait for
the resumption of the supply of modern weapon to Iran. So, a more
traditional situation occurs in the region, and it is necessary to use
it. Armenia failed to use the modernization of the regional situation,
though a couple of achievements are in place. It is possible that
the former classification of forces will become more normal for
the policy of Armenia. But this is a very general definition of the
regional situation.
From: Baghdasarian