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BAKU: Talks on Nagorno-Karabakh: the annual déjà vu

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  • BAKU: Talks on Nagorno-Karabakh: the annual déjà vu

    Trend, Azerbaijan
    Dec 22 2011

    Talks on Nagorno-Karabakh: the annual déjà vu
    22 December 2011, 13:29 (GMT+04:00) Elmira Tariverdiev, Trend European
    desk commentator

    According to tradition it is acceptable to sum up and talk about the
    prospects of some important events in political life by the end of the
    year, but there is almost nothing to talk about with the peace process
    over the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict.
    Alas, a couple of words are enough to understand what is happening in
    the negotiations of Azerbaijan and Armenia - complete stagnation.
    There were negotiations, as in 2010, but they failed. The FMC OSCE
    meeting in Vilnius did not introduce anything new in the process of
    negotiations.

    All three co-chairs of the OSCE Minsk Group, called on the conflicting
    parties to come to an agreement at the end of 2010. The Russian
    Foreign Minister made a proposal to take advantage of developments
    announced recently as a result of the parties in the conflict making
    contact with President Medvedev. Moreover, all the intermediaries
    noted that real progress had not been achieved in the negotiations
    over Nagorno-Karabakh in recent years.
    Of course, one would assume a positive development in the adoption of
    the joint statement of the OSCE Minsk Group delegation head and the
    parties in the conflict in the framework of FMC OSCE, but this is not
    the first time there have not been any results.

    The futility of the Minsk group co-chairs annual appeals is easily
    explained. It is unprofitable for Yerevan to take real steps towards a
    settlement despite the clear international attention on the problem of
    Nagorno-Karabakh.

    It is significant that Armenian Foreign Minister Edward Nalbandian
    unleashed a storm of criticism in Azerbaijan, devoting all of his
    performance to "injustices committed against Yerevan" immediately
    after the joint statement in the framework of FMC. This position is
    not surprising. It is easier for Yerevan to maintain the status quo as
    long as possible, delaying the settlement process for an indefinite
    period.

    Moreover, even the initiative of Azerbaijan to hold a meeting of
    representatives of the Armenian and Azerbaijan communities of
    Nagorno-Karabakh in November 2011 crashed against the reluctance of
    Yerevan.

    At the same time the international community did not seem to
    understand that the only way out of the situation should be the active
    participation of all mediators in the negotiations and their
    increasing pressure on Yerevan.

    Russia was the most active mediator during 2011, as well as in 2010.
    President Dmitry Medvedev has spent a lot of time and effort to ensure
    that the negotiation process moved forward. It is recognised
    officially by Baku, making reservations on the participation of France
    and the United States in the negotiations.

    Alas, Paris and Washington seem to be more concerned by their
    presidential election campaigns than by the fulfilment of their
    obligations.

    And while all three countries will not put enough effort to convince
    Yerevan to take a step toward resolving the conflict, we shouldn't
    hope for progress in the settlement. This is especially considering
    the fact that officially Yerevan does not make a concession in matters
    of the liberation of occupied Azerbaijani lands, does not agree to a
    compromise of Azerbaijan and periodically makes provocative statements
    to recognise the independence of Nagorno Karabakh and rename the
    Azerbaijani districts.
    Armenia's actions are contrary to the real desire of Azerbaijan to
    reach an agreement on Nagorno-Karabakh, and neither Russia nor
    Washington, nor the OSCE nor any other international mediator can
    advance the negotiations by persuasion, taking into account the fact
    that Yerevan is satisfied with the current state of affairs and isn't
    going to move from its non-constructive, but convenient position.
    The stagnation will continue if the mediating countries do not make a
    genuine effort and not insist on the fact that Armenia has finally
    changed its position and refused to delay tactics of the conflict for
    all eternity in 2012. And it isn't known what results will bring such
    appeasement to Yerevan from the international players' side, taking
    into account the growing tensions on the frontline.

    The mediators cannot understand that Baku has every reason to be
    impatient with this situation, while Armenia has no right to delay the
    negotiations, finding more and more absurd pretexts for maintaining
    the status quo.

    Another important issue may be a question of involving the EU in the
    activities of OSCE Minsk Group in 2012. It became particularly
    relevant against the backdrop of strengthening the Armenian diaspora
    role in talks on Nagorno-Karabakh in France and in the U.S. The
    Armenian lobby in the West has played an active political role amongst
    the decision-making authorities in the U.S. and France in contrast to
    the Russian diaspora.

    In this context, it would be better if the European Union took over
    the political involvement in the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict along with
    the Minsk Group. In particular EU mediation could be successful,
    taking into account the project of European integration, in which all
    the countries of South Caucasus are equally interested.

    Projects, the implementation of which is hampered by the lack of
    stability in the region, could become the basis for dialogue between
    the conflicting sides , including Armenia and Azerbaijan., The EU
    should become better acquainted with the realities of the conflict to
    enable it to become an active participant in the settlement, as many
    European leaders are still not well informed about the nuances of the
    Nagorno-Karabakh conflict and are not aware of the fact that 20 per
    cent of Azerbaijani territory is occupied.



    From: Emil Lazarian | Ararat NewsPress
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