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  • Spring For The Patriarchs

    SPRING FOR THE PATRIARCHS

    The National Interest Online
    http://nationalinterest.org/commentary/spring-the-patriarchs-4786
    Jan 27 2011

    As the "power vertical" is consolidated in the post-Soviet space,
    most nonstate institutions are getting weaker, with one interesting
    exception: the national churches. In early 2011 the patriarchs have
    a spring in their steps.

    The phenomenon is strongest in Armenia, Georgia and Russia. The
    Armenian catholicos, Karekin II is not just the leader of the Armenian
    Gregorian Church but of Armenians worldwide. But he exercises the
    enormous influence he has fairly quietly. Ilia II of Georgia (who has
    been patriarch of Georgia since 1977) and the patriarch of Moscow,
    Kirill I, are more visible and both are shrewd political figures.

    You could say that these two patriarchs are possibly the only
    untouchable figures in their two countries. In an opinion poll for NDI
    last April Patriarch Ilia II won an astonishing 90 percent approval
    rating, easily making him the most popular figure in Georgia-and
    comfortably outstripping President Mikheil Saakashvili who earned a
    positive rating of 58 percent.

    Last year the Patriarch of Moscow, Kirill I, was in seventh place
    in Nezavisimaya Gazeta's traditional list, compiled by experts,
    of Russia's one hundred leading political figures-no mean feat for
    a nonpolitician. Ahead of him were only Vladimir Putin and Dmitry
    Medvedev and their closest allies. Behind him in the list were Russia's
    defense and foreign ministers and Alexei Miller, head of Gazprom.

    These men cannot be cut down to size. Surveys suggest that religious
    belief in Russia is getting stronger, not weaker. According to the
    Levada Center, two-thirds of the population now identify themselves
    as Russian Orthodox believers, up from less than half in the
    mid-nineties. The political leaders need to be associated with the
    powerful symbol that this represents, so, rejecting their Komsomol
    youth, they show up to religious services and share national platforms
    with the patriarch. By temperament and outlook, Georgian president
    Mikheil Saakashvili is far from being a pious Orthodox believer,
    but he recently paid public homage to the patriarch and before that
    consented to have his son christened.

    The patriarchs use this affirmation to pursue their own agendas. To
    the credit of both Ilia and Kirill, one way they have done this is to
    insist on good relations with each other. They have opted out of the
    extreme narratives that took hold of both Russia and Georgia during
    the August war of 2008. Patriarch Ilia helped secure the return of
    dead bodies and personally spoke up for two Georgian musicians who
    had been vilified for holding concerts in Russia. Kirill instructed
    the Russian Orthodox Church to take a nonconfrontational line on
    the status disputes over Abkhazia and South Ossetia. Last month he
    declared, "Our brotherly churches, which are so close to each other
    geographically and cordially, should be two locomotives pulling our
    interstate relations out of the difficult situation they are now in."

    Although he wouldn't see it that way the Moscow patriarch is probably
    the most effective instrument of Russian soft power in the "near
    abroad." He made several visits to Ukraine last year and was the only
    Orthodox Patriarch to be invited to the presidential inauguration
    ceremony of Viktor Yanukovich.

    More controversially, the respect given to the Orthodox churches gives
    them space to advance their own conservative social agendas. Sometimes
    they end up just tilting at windmills, as when Archpriest Vsevolod
    Chaplin called last week for Russian women to stop wearing skimpy
    dresses-he called it "striptease"-and proposed a "national dress
    code". Good luck to him. But the churches are more effective on
    shaping a social consensus that is hostile to homosexuality and other
    liberal trends.

    In Georgia the church message is even stronger. Ilia II urged Georgian
    parents to have a third child, promising to be that child's godparent
    if they did. The birth rate shot up as a result. Then he condemned
    the spread of the observation of Halloween. Last year, he urged young
    Georgians not to yield to the temptation of living abroad and to
    resist the "danger" of globalization. "This is the time when a man
    should not abandon his treasure and go abroad. Any treasure must be
    taken care of! What is our treasure? The whole of Georgia-its temples,
    its values and traditions, its nation; this is our treasure house."

    The patriarch has also dipped his toe into politics, criticizing for
    example Georgia's controversial education minister, Dmitry Shashkin.

    In Russia it is unthinkable that the patriarch, for all his power,
    would confront the governing elite on a key political issue. In Georgia
    that is now a possibility and President Saakashvili now finds he has
    one potential critic who is above criticism.

    Thomas de Waal is a senior associate at the Carnegie Endowment for
    International Peace.




    From: A. Papazian
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