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  • South Sudan precursor to Karabakh independence

    HULIQ.com, SC
    July 9 2011


    South Sudan precursor to Karabakh independence


    Submitted by Armen Hareyan on 2011-07-09

    The birth of a nation in South Sudan raises new hopes in Armenia and
    Nagorno Karabakh that Azerbaijan will recognize the latter's
    independence.

    Today, following East Timor and Kosovo, South Sudan became the world's
    newest nation, peacefully seceding from the North as a result of a
    referendum. Northern Sudan was one of the first countries to recognize
    the South's independence. Egypt and the United States have also
    recognized South Sudan's independence. President Obama said he is
    "proud" to officially recognize the newest county in the world.

    Armenia is one of the smaller countries whose decision whether to
    recognize South Sudan will come with big implications. The country is
    supporting the independence-through-referendum of neighboring de facto
    Nagorno Karabakh Republic, which is hoping to be extended
    international recognition. It's primary hope is that it gets the same
    reception from from Azerbaijan.

    Azerbaijan is quiet about South Sudan's independence. Recognizing its
    independence will send a strong signal that it is open to Nagorno
    Karabakh's quest for that status, while not doing so will put it at
    odds with the spirit of the international community. Especially when
    Northern Sudan has recognized the South's independence.

    Related: South Sudan prepares to rattle the oil industry

    Azerbaijan has stood against Karabakh's independence and is involved
    in a decade-long negotiation process with neighboring Armenia about
    it. Armenia and the international mediators, led by the United States,
    Russia and France, support deciding Karabakh's final status by the
    people of the region through a "legally binding" referendum.
    Azerbaijan curbs it saying the referendum results can't lead to full
    independence and offers Karabakh high level of autonomy. Karabakh says
    it is the sole responsible entity of its destiny.

    Russia's president, who has taken the leading role as a mediator
    between Armenia and Azerbaijan, sent new proposals on the Karabakh
    settlement only yesterday. The details have not yet been made public.
    Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov personally traveled to Yerevan
    and then to Baku and handed President Medvedev's new proposals to the
    presidents of Armenia and Azerbaijan. Both sides said they will study
    the new proposals and respond.

    At the same time the international mediators are becoming more
    realistic in their approach. They are beginning to see Nagorno
    Karabakh as the third and equal party in talks between Armenia and
    Azerbaijan. President Obama in his June 24th message to the presidents
    of Armenia and Azerbaijan called on the two presidents saying now is
    the time to resolve this conflict and to offer "the people of Armenia,
    Azerbaijan, and Nagorno-Karabakh" a better future for themselves and
    for their children. Azerbaijan did not welcome the phrase "people of
    Nagorno-Karabakh" and boycotted the Kazan summit the next day by
    putting forward 10 new amendments to the document already on the table
    and ready to sign.

    Armenian observers write in the local media that the independence and
    Sudan's recognition of South Sudan may change many things related to
    the Nagorno-Karabakh settlement. The prevailing thought in Armenia and
    Karabakh is why it shouldn't be the right of Nagorno-Karabakh to have
    full independence if East Timor, Kosovo and South Sudan can achieve
    it. They see the independence of South Sudan as a precursor to the
    referendum and independence of Nagorno Karabakh.

    http://www.huliq.com/1/709-south-sudan-precursor-karabakh-independence




    From: A. Papazian
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