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TBILISI: Russia And Opening Of Armenian-Turkish Border

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  • TBILISI: Russia And Opening Of Armenian-Turkish Border

    RUSSIA AND OPENING OF ARMENIAN-TURKISH BORDER

    The Messenger
    July 22 2011
    Georgia

    Azeri political analyst Vafa Guluzade thinks that the west does
    not realize that even if Azerbaijan agrees to the opening of the
    Armenian-Turkish border, Moscow will not. The west is ignoring the
    possibility that if this border is opened, Russia will lose its
    influence over the south Caucasus, so of course privately it is
    against this process and it can easily influence decisions of Armenia.

    Meanwhile despite immense pressure from the west on Turkey it is
    doubtful that Ankara would make any concessions before opening the
    Turkish - Armenian border without settling fairly the conflict in
    Karabakh. So if the west wants to really solve the situation it
    should put pressure on Moscow rather than on Ankara or Baku. The key
    to the Karabakh conflict solution is in the Kremlin. Russia takes many
    benefits from Armenia's blockade and the state of war between Armenia
    and Azerbaijan, thus Moscow maintains its influence over the region.

    It should be realized by the west, thinks Guluzade, that Armenia's
    problems are not emanating from Turkey and Azerbaijan but mainly
    from Moscow.

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