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IS "CAPTURE" OF KAZAN SUSPENDED DUE TO HOME PRESSURE?
Story from Lragir.am News:
http://www.lragir.am/engsrc/comments22174.html
Published: 14:15:31 - 10/06/2011
The only result of the four-day trip of the co-chairs to the area
of Nagorno-Karabakh conflict is that for the third time in 2 years
they crossed the Armenian-Azerbaijani mined border. The meaning is
not clear, nevertheless, the achievement is input into the record of
the Co-Chairs.
The mediators appealed not to undertake provocations which could
hinder the agreement of the basic principles.
Co-Chairs accept that there is pressure on the presidents in their
home countries aimed at preventing agreement on the principles. The
Co-Chairs seem to know better about the existence of such pressure
than the Armenian society part of which is sure that the current
situation must change and the price of this change should be the
return of territories and security.
The other part of the society perceives safety more specifically in
terms of rejection of the Madrid principles, which, according to Igor
Muradyan, are a national catastrophe for Armenia.
Pressure is exerted in an open political mode (by the ARF
Dashnaktsutyun, Heritage and influential experts) and in the
underground mode. Recently, the presence of groups set to disobey
orders from above and to defend our land is felt increasingly
frequently. There are even hints of terror and retaliation against
those who will act against national interests.
Even the Personal Representative of the OSCE Chairman-in-Office Andrzej
Kasprzyk admitted that "the commander, in a moment of threat, will not
listen to politicians, but he will perform the first order to defend
the positions". "He knows that he will be responsible if he does not
do everything possible not to leave. As a battalion commander he has
a large caliber weapon, but in this case, indeed, it may be unsafe,"
said Kasprzyk in an interview with a Polish newspaper.
The chairman of NKR Public Council on Foreign Policy and Security Masis
Mayilyan stated: "The adoption of the proposed project is initially
capable of leading to internal instability within the societies of
the conflicting parties and in the case of implementation of the
agreements the war will be inevitable, since peace on the basis of
the Madrid document only means a pending war."
Either under home pressure or proceeding from their interests and
opinions, the Co-Chairs stated during their visit to Armenia and
Azerbaijan that they do not expect a breakthrough in the meeting
in Kazan.
The spokesman for the NKR President David Babayan noted that the
international community needs excitement in the expectation for Kazan
to lay the groundwork to the recognition of the status quo as the best
option. "I do not think in the nearest future the sides will come
to a common denominator," said Babayan. Then the Armenian foreign
minister Edward Nalbandyan expressed doubt that Azerbaijan is ready
to sign the agreement but the Azerbaijani deputy foreign minister Araz
Azimov stated bluntly that he expects nothing from the Kazan meeting.
Experts think this is the result of the lack of consensus between the
co-chair countries which fail to decide on how to solve the conflict.
But we must not ignore the home factor. The leadership of the
country understands that "a step to the left, a step to the right
means shooting".
Story from Lragir.am News:
http://www.lragir.am/engsrc/comments22174.html
Published: 14:15:31 - 10/06/2011
The only result of the four-day trip of the co-chairs to the area
of Nagorno-Karabakh conflict is that for the third time in 2 years
they crossed the Armenian-Azerbaijani mined border. The meaning is
not clear, nevertheless, the achievement is input into the record of
the Co-Chairs.
The mediators appealed not to undertake provocations which could
hinder the agreement of the basic principles.
Co-Chairs accept that there is pressure on the presidents in their
home countries aimed at preventing agreement on the principles. The
Co-Chairs seem to know better about the existence of such pressure
than the Armenian society part of which is sure that the current
situation must change and the price of this change should be the
return of territories and security.
The other part of the society perceives safety more specifically in
terms of rejection of the Madrid principles, which, according to Igor
Muradyan, are a national catastrophe for Armenia.
Pressure is exerted in an open political mode (by the ARF
Dashnaktsutyun, Heritage and influential experts) and in the
underground mode. Recently, the presence of groups set to disobey
orders from above and to defend our land is felt increasingly
frequently. There are even hints of terror and retaliation against
those who will act against national interests.
Even the Personal Representative of the OSCE Chairman-in-Office Andrzej
Kasprzyk admitted that "the commander, in a moment of threat, will not
listen to politicians, but he will perform the first order to defend
the positions". "He knows that he will be responsible if he does not
do everything possible not to leave. As a battalion commander he has
a large caliber weapon, but in this case, indeed, it may be unsafe,"
said Kasprzyk in an interview with a Polish newspaper.
The chairman of NKR Public Council on Foreign Policy and Security Masis
Mayilyan stated: "The adoption of the proposed project is initially
capable of leading to internal instability within the societies of
the conflicting parties and in the case of implementation of the
agreements the war will be inevitable, since peace on the basis of
the Madrid document only means a pending war."
Either under home pressure or proceeding from their interests and
opinions, the Co-Chairs stated during their visit to Armenia and
Azerbaijan that they do not expect a breakthrough in the meeting
in Kazan.
The spokesman for the NKR President David Babayan noted that the
international community needs excitement in the expectation for Kazan
to lay the groundwork to the recognition of the status quo as the best
option. "I do not think in the nearest future the sides will come
to a common denominator," said Babayan. Then the Armenian foreign
minister Edward Nalbandyan expressed doubt that Azerbaijan is ready
to sign the agreement but the Azerbaijani deputy foreign minister Araz
Azimov stated bluntly that he expects nothing from the Kazan meeting.
Experts think this is the result of the lack of consensus between the
co-chair countries which fail to decide on how to solve the conflict.
But we must not ignore the home factor. The leadership of the
country understands that "a step to the left, a step to the right
means shooting".