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Armenia Dismisses Azerbaijani Military Buildup

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  • Armenia Dismisses Azerbaijani Military Buildup

    ARMENIA DISMISSES AZERBAIJANI MILITARY BUILDUP

    http://www.rferl.org/content/armenia_dismisses_azerbaijani_military_buildup/24249543.html
    June 28, 2011

    Military vehicles take part in a huge parade held in the Azerbaijani
    capital, Baku, at the weekend.

    YEREVAN -- An Armenian military official has said that Yerevan is not
    intimidated by Azerbaijan's ongoing military buildup and the recent
    purchase of sophisticated Russian antiaircraft missiles on display
    in Baku over the weekend, RFE/RL's Armenian Service reports.

    First Deputy Defense Minister Davit Tonoyan shrugged off Azerbaijani
    President Ilham Aliyev's renewed threats to resolve the conflict
    over the breakaway Azerbaijani region of Nagorno-Karabakh by force,
    questioning Baku's readiness for another war.

    Tonoyan also expressed confidence that the Armenian side will maintain
    the balance of power with its oil-rich neighbor through the acquisition
    of more weapons and a sweeping reform of its armed forces.

    "I think those statements are mostly political because our neighbor
    is also aware of our real capabilities," Tonoyan told RFE/RL in an
    interview. "Nevertheless, if Azerbaijan starts military hostilities
    out of self-deception, I don't see a possibility of it achieving
    strategic or tactical successes."

    A Military Show Of Force

    On June 26, Azerbaijan held its biggest military parade since the
    fall of the Soviet Union, a show of force that came just two days
    after Aliyev and his Armenian counterpart Serzh Sarkisian failed to
    reach an agreement on a peaceful resolution of the Karabakh conflict
    at a meeting held in Russia.

    The parade in Baku involved thousands of troops and hundreds of tanks,
    artillery systems, and other military hardware.

    "I am completely sure that our territorial integrity will be [restored]
    in any possible way," Aliyev declared in a speech.

    Armenia's First Deputy Defense Minister Davit Tonoyan (right) and
    Defense Minister Seyran OhanianThe most significant of the new weapons
    shown by the Azerbaijani military were S-300 air-defense systems widely
    regarded as one of the world's most-potent antiaircraft weapons. Russia
    reportedly sold at least two batteries of these surface-to-air missiles
    to Baku last year in a deal estimated at $300 million.

    News of that deal, which first emerged in July, raised concerns in
    Armenia and Karabakh. Opposition groups there said it will seriously
    limit the Armenian military's ability to hit strategic targets in
    Azerbaijan and will thereby encourage Baku to attempt a military
    solution to the dispute.

    Sarkisian and Defense Minister Seyran Ohanian, both of whom are former
    military leaders of Karabakh, dismissed those concerns. Ohanian claimed
    in particular that the Azerbaijani army "will need quite a lot of time"
    to learn to use S-300s and that his troops know how to neutralize them.

    Tonoyan echoed these assurances, adding that the Armenian armed forces
    have more such missiles at their disposal.

    "We are more familiar with those systems," he said. "We have been
    exploiting them for a fairly long time and know the possibilities of
    reducing their effectiveness.

    "Unlike Azerbaijan, our systems cover the entire airspace of
    the likely theater of military hostilities and, in terms of their
    qualitative and quantitative characteristics, represent a much greater
    capability. Therefore, the existence of S-300 complexes should worry
    not Armenia, but an Azerbaijan acting from the position of threats
    of military action."

    Armenia officially confirmed the possession of such systems in late
    December. Armenian state television showed at the time official footage
    of S-300 batteries test-firing missiles in an undisclosed location.

    It remains unclear when and on what terms Russia transferred these
    weapons -- which have a firing range of up to 300 kilometers --
    to its main regional ally. They are only known to have been first
    delivered to the Russian military base in Armenia in the late 1990s.

    Intensifying Arms Race

    "From a military standpoint, those systems do not threaten Armenia's
    and Karabakh's security for the simple reason that it's an antiaircraft
    defensive weapon and neither Armenia nor the Nagorno-Karabakh Republic
    plan to start a military campaign against Azerbaijan," insisted
    Tonoyan. "Besides, they can only solve the issue of defending a part
    of Azerbaijan's airspace."

    "At the same time, the acquisition of such systems and political
    speculation surrounding that issue show that our neighbor has switched
    from the acquisition of offensive weaponry to the acquisition of
    defensive weaponry. And that is also food for thought," he added,
    referring to the Azerbaijani buildup financed from Baku's massive
    oil revenues.

    Azerbaijani Defense Minister Safar Abiyev and President Ilham Aliyev
    view the military parade in Baku at the weekend. On June 26, Aliyev
    reaffirmed his government's plans to boost military spending to $3.3
    billion this year, up from $2.15 billion a year ago and just $160
    million in 2003. By comparison, Armenia's defense budget for 2011 is
    projected to reach only $400 million.

    Armenia has sought to stay in the intensifying arms race by
    maintaining close military ties with Russia that entitle it to
    receive Russian weapons at discount prices or even for free. A new
    Russian-Armenian defense agreement signed in August commits Moscow to
    helping Yerevan obtain "modern and compatible weaponry and [special]
    military hardware."

    Ohanian said in February that Armenia acquired "unprecedented"
    quantities of modern weaponry in 2010 and will continue the buildup in
    line with a five-year rearmament plan approved by Sarkisian's National
    Security Council in December. The plan envisages, among other things,
    the acquisition of long-range, precision-guided weapons.

    "Considerable work has been done in that direction, and it will
    continue at an even faster pace," Tonoyan said. "Modern warfare also
    requires corresponding operational-tactical skills, and coordinated
    actions on communication, intelligence, and information technology. A
    lot of work is also being done in that direction as well. And the
    emphasis is being put on domestic manufacturing."

    In that context, Tonoyan stood by the Armenian Defense Ministry's
    announcement earlier this month that it is manufacturing and supplying
    army units with unmanned military aircraft capable of flying deep
    into enemy territory.

    He also did not deny reports that the Armenian army is due to receive
    more Russian weapons as a result of an ongoing restructuring of the
    Russian base headquartered in Gyumri.

    A senior Russian Defense Ministry official announced the transfer of
    this "excess weaponry" last week, but did not elaborate.

    The Azerbaijani Foreign Ministry said afterwards that it will
    investigate the veracity of this information "through relevant
    sources."

    The commander-in-chief of Russia's ground forces, Colonel-General
    Aleksandr Postnikov, twice visited Armenia and held talks with Ohanian
    and other top military officials in April.

    The Defense Ministry in Yerevan said the talks focused on an ongoing
    redeployment of the Russian troops stationed in the country.

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