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The Messenger, Georgia
May 4 2011
Five possibilities of supply Russian military base in Armenia
By Messenger Staff
Wednesday, May 4
Military analyst from Russia Anatoly Tsiganok in his interview to
Russian Nezavisimaia Gazeta suggests 5 options for supplying the
Russian military base with arms and personnel in Gumri, Armenia.
Georgia did not prolong the transit agreement on supplying the Russian
base in Armenia and the agreement will cease functioning by the autumn
of 2011. The Russian analyst suggests the following options: 1.
passing through Turkey either by air or by land. In his opinion Turkey
will take advantage of the deteriorating Russian-Georgian relations
and might agree on the transit of military cargo to Armenia through
Turkey. This would involve monitoring the transit and possible
blocking. 2. Through Azerbaijan by air, in this case Russia will be
obliged to make serious concessions in regards of Azerbaijan. 3.
Through the Caspian Sea and Iran to Armenia, this is the longest but
most realistic route but is also the most expensive. 4. The fourth
option is to create big reserves of arms, ammunition and other
logistics in Gumri and hire personnel on contractual terms and the 5th
option is the theoretical possibility of using Georgian air space with
Armenian transport planes for transporting Russian personnel and
military cargo. According to Tsiganok the termination of the agreement
between Georgia and Russia in military transit will not help the
improvement of relations between Georgia and Armenia.
From: A. Papazian
May 4 2011
Five possibilities of supply Russian military base in Armenia
By Messenger Staff
Wednesday, May 4
Military analyst from Russia Anatoly Tsiganok in his interview to
Russian Nezavisimaia Gazeta suggests 5 options for supplying the
Russian military base with arms and personnel in Gumri, Armenia.
Georgia did not prolong the transit agreement on supplying the Russian
base in Armenia and the agreement will cease functioning by the autumn
of 2011. The Russian analyst suggests the following options: 1.
passing through Turkey either by air or by land. In his opinion Turkey
will take advantage of the deteriorating Russian-Georgian relations
and might agree on the transit of military cargo to Armenia through
Turkey. This would involve monitoring the transit and possible
blocking. 2. Through Azerbaijan by air, in this case Russia will be
obliged to make serious concessions in regards of Azerbaijan. 3.
Through the Caspian Sea and Iran to Armenia, this is the longest but
most realistic route but is also the most expensive. 4. The fourth
option is to create big reserves of arms, ammunition and other
logistics in Gumri and hire personnel on contractual terms and the 5th
option is the theoretical possibility of using Georgian air space with
Armenian transport planes for transporting Russian personnel and
military cargo. According to Tsiganok the termination of the agreement
between Georgia and Russia in military transit will not help the
improvement of relations between Georgia and Armenia.
From: A. Papazian