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  • Hayk Kotanjian: Strategic Concept For The Development Of Collective

    HAYK KOTANJIAN: STRATEGIC CONCEPT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF COLLECTIVE SECURITY OF THE CSTO

    AZG DAILY
    24-05-2011

    The report is presented to the International Conference on "CSTO and
    the South Caucasus: Peace and Regional Security Perspectives" of the
    Institute for National Strategic Studies, Ministry of Defense, RA -
    the CSTO Secretariat - the CSTO Institute on May 19-20, 2011 in Yerevan
    by Major General Hayk Kotanjian, Member of the CSTO Academic-Expert
    Council, Doctor of Political Sciences, Fellow Member of the Russian
    Academy of Military Sciences. Heads of leading strategic studies
    centers of the CSTO member states, top strategic analysis specialists
    from the international expert community, political and military
    leaders, diplomats, as well as military attaches from the OSCE Minsk
    Group Co-Chair states participated in the Forum.

    The Treaty on Collective Security of May 15, 1992 was signed during a
    dynamic period of dramatic change and transformation of the security
    architecture in the Eurasian area. It was a time for reconsidering
    the traditional paradigm of "East-West" Cold War confrontation,
    pursuing new premises and opportunities for the expected cooperation
    concept for the newly-created independent states within the former
    Soviet space. The process was evolving into a still uncrystallized and
    rather vague view of the contemporary model of "global and indivisible
    security." Simultaneously, in conditions of the dissolution of the
    Warsaw Pact and the transformation of the bipolar world, the North
    Atlantic Treaty Oranization (NATO) alliance was also compelled to
    forge and refine a new identity of values and security architecture.

    In the context of these systemic catastrophic challenges and facing
    a high level of uncertainty in the evolving transitional political
    processes, as well as considering their turbulence and possible
    reversibility, the Treaty on Collective Security sought to guarantee a
    smooth deviation of the Post-Warsaw area form of positional security
    architecture defined by bipolar confrontation. At the same time,
    it was required to safeguard against new regional-scale symmetric
    threats already perceptible in the significant part of the zone of
    responsibility of the former Warsaw Pact with regard to its demise.

    Today, it is safe to state that the Treaty on Collective Security has
    not only achieved an impressive level of overall success in meeting
    these challenges but has also accumulated the strategic potential
    necessary for further self-development in compliance with the dynamics
    of changes in the internal and external security environments.

    However, it should be noted that the Treaty on Collective Security
    is a classical defense pact signed by a specific group of states
    striving to combine efforts for the purpose of a collective protection
    against the traditional symmetric threat of armed attack. Separate
    rudiments of inertial bloc thinking typical of the Cold War period
    underlay the logic of this document. The distinctive features of the
    post-Perestroika era did npt offer a chance to consider the rich
    variety of strategic interests of the new independent states when
    forming the doctrinal basis - the Collective Security Concept of 1995
    - to consolidate the new security area. Under these conditions, the
    pursuit of guarantees to deter global and local military catastrophes
    overshadowed the necessity to consider in a more systemic way within
    the Collective Security Concept the full range of security factors,
    including civilization, political, economical, social, defense,
    information, and cultural factors, etc. These objective obstacles, to a
    certain extent, limited the vision of distant horizons of development,
    as well as long-term perspectives of building the future CSTO.

    In 2002, ten years after the signing of the Treaty, during the
    establishment of the CST Organization through transforming the pact on
    collective self-defense into an international regional organization,
    the key goal was still to collectively assure military security. Since
    2005-2006, there has emerged the tendency to transform the CSTO into
    a multifunctional organization aimed at ensuring collective security
    through cooperation in various fields, besides the military one, as
    well as at countering the combined symmetric and asymmetric threats,
    the modern tool for which becomes the Collective Rapid Reaction Force
    established in 2009.

    Recently, it has become more apparent that for a shift to a
    comprehensive security model encompassing all of the essential
    spheres of the vital activity of the member states and conforming
    to the most up-to-date world standards, it is necessary to reassess
    and conceptually review the approaches to the progressive evolution
    of the given system. The Council on Collective Security and the CSTO
    Secretariat have become more focused on the strategic perspectives of
    updating the Organization. At present, the cornerstone of the goal
    has become strategic pragmatism, the initial guideline for which
    may also become a systemically updated vision of the CSTO security
    architecture expedient for all the participants of modernization
    which should exclude the inertia of bloc thinking, as well as
    palliative-kind decisions on integrating the Organization in the
    global security system.

    Meanwhile, it is obvious that becoming engaged in more constructive
    cooperation with the United Nations (UN), European security structures,
    CIS, SCO, EurAsEC, as well as building its own peacekeeping forces
    and Collective Rapid Reaction Force, the CSTO has already crossed
    the threshold to emerge as a key actor within the global security
    system. It is, in fact, becoming effectively involved in the
    construction of this new security architecture. The evidence for
    this include the evolving cooperation of the Organization with the
    UN and the documents accepted by the Heads of States at the Council
    on Collective Security in December 2010, which predetermined the
    core guidelines for fostering the collective security system. By
    the decision "On Measures of Elaborating Strategic and Conceptual
    Documents to Improve and Advance the CSTO Collective Security System,"
    a specific task on elaborating appropriate documents has been put
    forward, namely the Collective Security Strategy, a new Concept for
    Developing the Collective Security System, as well as a Strategic
    and Operation Planning System.

    Under the impact of present-day realities, one of the key problems
    for updating our security Organization is the necessity to address
    the perception of the contemporary practice of ensuring collective
    security and of adopting a more flexible interpretation of the
    consensus principle. The principle of decision-making (except for
    procedural ones) based on consensus - uncontested common consent -
    functioning within the CSTO, as well as in most other international
    organizations, refers to the fundamentals of politics and law
    that rely on the principles of sovereignty and equality of member
    states of a given organization. A guarantee of equal engagement in
    making crucial decisions, with a view to meeting their own security
    interests, is indispensable for states founding a collective security
    organization. Sovereign states, entering into a collective security
    system and voluntarily waiving a definitive part of their sovereign
    rights, expect to compensate for that sacrifice by ensuring their
    security on a higher level - due to the synergistic jointness of
    efforts of all the member states of the organization. At the same
    time, we should not exclude the possibility of the emergence of
    such situations when the minority's opinion, not coinciding with
    the position of the majority of the members, may conflict with the
    vital or strategic interests not only of the majority, but also of
    the organization as a whole. We recognize such examples both from the
    experience of NATO and our Organization. Within NATO, which holds a
    solid record of experience of building and sustaining activity of a
    collective security system, taking into account the lessons learned,
    it is envisaged that such decision-making mechanisms may be developed
    and introduced which would ensure the expression of the "coalition
    will" on the part of member states under international law and in
    accordance with the mission, goals and tasks of the Alliance. It
    should also be mentioned that such elements of decision-making in
    this reduced format have been reviewed to a certain extent in the
    context of coalition cooperation practices among NATO nations.

    In the case of the CSTO, we may state that the decision-making process
    in a "truncated format" is an efficient tool to overcome stalemates
    in such situations when the minority is unwilling to participate
    in certain coalition activities, however, it does not oppose their
    implementation. An additional universal initial resource to develop
    and implement the principle of "coalition will" may become one of
    the backbone principles in the CSTO - the principle of regional
    establishment of the collective security system. This principle,
    in further conformity with the consensus principle, allows the
    streamlining the decision-making process with respect to separate
    regions of collective security.

    It is of great importance to precisely define the role, place and
    purpose of the military component in the collective security system.

    In spite of the transformation affected by changes in security
    environment parameters, and sometimes also due to the partial
    replacement of other constituents, the military component retains
    its significance, and in cases where the political factor prevails,
    it remains a system-forming one. Thus, while settling the issue
    of updating the mission, goals and tasks of our Organization, it
    is necessary to determine modernization parameters of the security
    system's military component on an extremely reasonable ground.

    Simultaneously, a potential resource base should be provided for
    its guaranteed build-up to the required level when the balance of
    challenges and threats changes drastically. It is of no less importance
    to conduct a sound strategic assessment and to build and bolster the
    military security architecture for each region of collective security
    in the context of the general collective security architecture of
    the CSTO system.

    Thus, to assure a shift to a more effective multi-faceted system of
    CSTO collective security it is urgent to develop and accept such a new
    strategic concept which would take into account the dominant idea that
    multi-functional security is indivisible and its provision through
    international cooperation has no alternative. The given approach, as
    we recognize, is aimed at searching for reciprocal decisions for all
    CSTO member states, as well as for other partners from the community
    of global security entities.

    Ensuring an appropriate level of adequate collective security assumes
    that there should be relevant answers to the questions concerning the
    key parameters and conditions of its integration in the global security
    system. It concerns the compatibility of the CSTO with the community of
    international security entities in terms of value preferences, vital
    and strategic principles, missions, goals, interests and priorities
    of collective security, the place, purpose and role of the political,
    military and other components, and the structure and functions of
    the Organization. With regard to this, it becomes significant to
    optimally determine the contents, proportions and bonds among and
    between these components in the CSTO collective security architecture
    being modernized. In the meantime, to further this integration it is
    necessary to resolve the problem of forging new relations with NATO -
    a more sophisticated actor having its own well-established key role
    in the global security system and being based on the Eurasian area
    common for these two collective security organizations. We should
    note a number of the CSTO initiatives targeted at cooperation with
    NATO. However, the North Atlantic Alliance exercises certain vigilance
    in this matter. So, when tackling priority issues on ensuring security
    within the CSTO responsibility zone as a part of the common Eurasian
    security area, it still prefers cooperation in the bilateral format
    of NATO-partner state by the formula of "28+1." Meanwhile, in the new
    Strategic Concept of the Alliance, special importance is attached
    to enhancing cooperation within the framework of the "Russia-NATO"
    Council. The activation of this Council in terms of the decisions of
    the Lisbon Summit of the North Atlantic Alliance could serve as an
    actual starting point to discuss and review cooperation options between
    the CSTO and NATO. As it is not a secret that the role and potential
    of Russia for the CSTO are pivotal. And the proficient use of this
    opportunity may facilitate the generation of productive cooperation
    on the level of organizations as well. Although we also know that
    contrary opinions characterized by inertial thinking, conspiracy
    stereotypes and skepticism have tended to impede the development of
    mutual confidence, we should notice and foster the improvement in the
    "Reset" of the dialogue and cooperation in collective and individual
    formats "Russia-NATO," as well as "US-CSTO" and "NATO-CSTO."

    My personal and professional participation in the "Security:
    US-Russia" Program of the John F. Kennedy School of Government at
    Harvard University in 2010 revealed the professional interest of US
    strategic studies experts in the pursuit of means to enrich the reset
    in the US-Russian cooperation through the interaction between the
    US and the CSTO. In this aspect, as a possible starting point, these
    US analysts were attracted by the Program called "Operation Channel"
    famous for its successful experience in fighting against narcotics by
    the CSTO at the Central Asian crossroads of drug trafficking between
    Afghanistan and Eurasia. In the given context of the Harvard academic
    dialogue, the pragmatic considerations of scholars sounded innovative
    which were about the hypothetical possibility of cooperation of the
    CSTO with the US in the format of "CSTO-US" or "7+1", commensurate
    with the parallel partnership in the format of "NATO-Russia" or "28+1."

    Summarizing last year's Harvard strategic intellectual US-Russia
    dialogue which represented "Smart Power" of its parties, as the only
    participant from a third friendly nation, I can verify that in the
    viewpoint of my colleagues, the global security interests in the
    present turbulently evolving world in its strategic perspective does
    not exclude any reset in the relationships between Russia and NATO,
    the US and the CSTO, as well as NATO and the CSTO for the purpose of
    cooperation and integration. Such an approach reflects the possibility
    of deepening cooperation among these global and regional security
    entities under the impact of the reset strategy of the US-Russian
    relations, as well as the expansion of the academic pursuit of
    avenues to mutually influence and enrich the strategic concepts
    of their modernization. In terms of this premise, the success of
    developing a new CSTO Collective Security Strategic Concept will
    considerably be determined by the systemic character of applying
    security studies advanced effective methodologies reviewed by the
    intensively modernizing CSTO and NATO, including their members -
    Russia, US, as well as their allies and partners.

    It is important to highlight the fact that the CSTO Council and
    Secretariat each aim at organizing the process of developing the
    draft of the new strategic concept of our Organization on the
    basis of synthesizing the latest theoretical-methodological and
    academically-applied achievements of modern security studies. From
    this perspective, it could be helpful to consider the experience
    of developing the draft National Security Strategy of the Republic
    of Armenia with the academic coordination by the Armenian Institute
    for National Strategic Studies of the Ministry of Defense in close
    cooperation with the leading security studies think tanks of Moscow,
    Washington and Brussels. Our Institute is ready to make its own
    contribution to the development of the new Strategic Concept of our
    Collective Security Treaty Organization.

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