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  • Regime Devours Itself

    REGIME DEVOURS ITSELF
    ARMAN GALOYAN

    Story from Lragir.am News:
    http://www.lragir.am/engsrc/interview24082.html
    Published: 17:36:10 - 04/11/2011

    Interview with Levon Zurabyan, coordinator of the Armenian National
    Congress, on recent government reshuffle and Levon Ter-Petrosyan's
    speech in the latest rally

    What are your thoughts on the government reshuffle? The impression
    is that Serzh Sargsyan is strengthening himself before the national
    elections.

    He is trying to strengthen himself because his position is seriously
    endangered by the deep internal crisis. Although the oligarchy itself
    has inaugurated Serzh Sargsyan as a president who would serve their
    interests, the regime is gradually losing confidence in his ability
    to hold power. Some lords and oligarchs are worried that Serzh
    Sargsyan's government has failed, and it was never able to repress
    the popular movement in the past four years, and he will finally give
    power to the opposition. They worry about their wealth, property, the
    continuity of the cleptocracy. As a result, an oligarchic "opposition"
    to Serzh Sargsyan has emerged inside the regime, and this opposition
    has worked out the plan to replace him by someone who is more capable,
    who would hold the stirring wheel of the government more firmly.

    Do you mean Robert Kocharyan?

    Not necessarily though most authors of the conspiracy think so.

    However, the government, the oligarchy are overwhelmed by lack of
    confidence. Every now and then we learn different oligarchs say in
    private talks not to trust Serzh Sargsyan. As a result, he is now
    weaker, and is trying to prevent the conspiracy through reshuffle,
    create a platform of loyal persons and move towards the elections with
    all the leverages in the hands of people who are loyal to him. This is
    what he is trying to do. In addition, it means that the conflict with
    the conspirators will be tough, even if there is a temporary ceasefire,
    the confrontation will continue until the rival is annihilated. Now
    everyone who could be involved in the conspiracy is removed.

    In fact, the regime has started devouring itself. I think it only
    strengthens people's confidence in the strategy chosen by the Armenian
    National Congress, the popular movement. It shows that the strategy
    of flexible policy was right.

    Why did Serzh Sargsyan's son-in-law Michael Minasyan resign then and
    appointed as deputy head of the election staff of the Republican Party?

    On the one hand, Serzh Sargsyan needs to render harmless his rivals.

    On the other hand, he cannot allow the society think that the
    coalition is collapsing. Therefore, those dismissed are appointed to
    some positions to make the impression that the team is intact. Hovik
    Abrahamyan's appointment as head of election staff is intended to
    prove that everything is fine with the team but everyone understands
    that there is no need to resign from the post of speaker, especially
    that there is a lot of time to go till the next elections. Michael
    Minasyan's resignation and appointment as Hovik Abrahamyan's deputy
    has two purposes: a) relieve the impression that non-loyal elements
    are removed, b) take under control the activities of the election
    staff because there is no confidence in Hovik Abrahamyan.

    Will the situation in the government influence the tactics of the
    opposition?

    Certainly it will influence our tactics. Any serious political force
    must follow and react to the internal processes. We foresaw this
    process a long time ago and now it has started. And it means that
    the popular movement stands growing chances to win. We must follow
    these developments without weakening our pressure.

    The Armenian National Congress also demanded the resignation of those
    who resigned on these days. Will your attitude to Serzh Sargsyan
    change if your demand is met?

    Let us not forget that all these changes take place under the
    pressure of the movement. Without our movement, without constant
    pressure lasting for four years running, which worries the oligarchy,
    the regime would not lose its confidence in Serzh Sargsyan. And no
    conspiracy would occur against him. It means that in reality the
    movement dictates all the processes. So, all these processes take
    place, and the resignations we demanded happen under the pressure of
    the movement.




    From: A. Papazian
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