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MORE SERIOUS THAN LOSS OF POWER
HAKOB BADALYAN
Story from Lragir.am News:
http://www.lragir.am/engsrc/comments24113.html
Published: 13:39:50 - 08/11/2011
The recent stage of the government reshuffle was evidence to Serzh
Sargsyan's growing self-confidence and increased control over the
government. In other words, Serzh Sargsyan celebrated a government
success or victory which may last short unless it gets into an organic
contact with the public interest.
The point is that not only Serzh Sargsyan or his entourage must feel
the effect of the reshuffle but first of all the society. Only in
this case will it be possible to speak about lasting victory. If the
public does not feel the effect of the reshuffle, the situation may
swiftly revert back.
The society must feel the relation of changes to it. This feeling
is not there. Meanwhile, the only feeling is that the reshuffling
government may shape a social basis.
In addition, it does not matter who is at the head of the government,
Serzh Sargsyan, Robert Kocharyan or Putin. The Armenian government now
needs social support which can be ensured only in case the public sees
that it is the beneficiary of the processes inside the government. In
the meantime, the society does not only see it but also does not
believe that it could ever benefit from them.
In this case, it will be impossible to solve the problem of the
government in the ruling system of Armenia. The point is that the
government's resource of self-preservation has decreased considerably.
Naturally, the struggle for resource is becoming heated. In other
words, a situation occurs when everyone is ready for everything.
A social platform could perform a restricting role. And since now
Serzh Sargsyan has the advantage, the existence of a social support,
restricting everyone, including Serzh Sargsyan, will simultaneously
allow holding the advantage over the other segments of the government,
neutralizing or essentially reducing their backstage activities,
the possibility for backstage counterattacks.
Apparently, however, instead of a rational assessment of the situation,
Serzh Sargsyan's appears to be in euphoria, allowing Tigran Sargsyan,
for instance, to threaten the public that in case of not joining the
president they will get nowhere. Certainly, Serzh Sargsyan says so
until he announces that Tigran Sargsyan's approach is unacceptable.
Meanwhile, Serzh Sargsyan must walk towards the society rather than
the society must be united around Serzh Sargsyan and walk towards him.
Most people may say that Sargsyan will never go there because walking
towards the society means losing power. Certainly, it is not absolute,
and there will be compromises when Sargsyan walks towards the society,
sincerely, not formally and out of campaign purposes, meeting the
public interest and keeping power. Moreover, the leader of the main
opposition Levon Ter-Petrosyan seems to have hinted for a number of
times that the government is ready to reject the imperative of change
of government in case of real systemic changes.
But even if Serzh Sargsyan's movement toward the society is equal
to loss of power, it is nevertheless necessary to go. Judging by the
current Armenian and international situation and tendencies, judging
by new essential nuances, it is better to lose the power that exists
in Armenia rather than to keep it. Because keeping such power will
incur serious losses, more serious than the loss of power.
From: A. Papazian
HAKOB BADALYAN
Story from Lragir.am News:
http://www.lragir.am/engsrc/comments24113.html
Published: 13:39:50 - 08/11/2011
The recent stage of the government reshuffle was evidence to Serzh
Sargsyan's growing self-confidence and increased control over the
government. In other words, Serzh Sargsyan celebrated a government
success or victory which may last short unless it gets into an organic
contact with the public interest.
The point is that not only Serzh Sargsyan or his entourage must feel
the effect of the reshuffle but first of all the society. Only in
this case will it be possible to speak about lasting victory. If the
public does not feel the effect of the reshuffle, the situation may
swiftly revert back.
The society must feel the relation of changes to it. This feeling
is not there. Meanwhile, the only feeling is that the reshuffling
government may shape a social basis.
In addition, it does not matter who is at the head of the government,
Serzh Sargsyan, Robert Kocharyan or Putin. The Armenian government now
needs social support which can be ensured only in case the public sees
that it is the beneficiary of the processes inside the government. In
the meantime, the society does not only see it but also does not
believe that it could ever benefit from them.
In this case, it will be impossible to solve the problem of the
government in the ruling system of Armenia. The point is that the
government's resource of self-preservation has decreased considerably.
Naturally, the struggle for resource is becoming heated. In other
words, a situation occurs when everyone is ready for everything.
A social platform could perform a restricting role. And since now
Serzh Sargsyan has the advantage, the existence of a social support,
restricting everyone, including Serzh Sargsyan, will simultaneously
allow holding the advantage over the other segments of the government,
neutralizing or essentially reducing their backstage activities,
the possibility for backstage counterattacks.
Apparently, however, instead of a rational assessment of the situation,
Serzh Sargsyan's appears to be in euphoria, allowing Tigran Sargsyan,
for instance, to threaten the public that in case of not joining the
president they will get nowhere. Certainly, Serzh Sargsyan says so
until he announces that Tigran Sargsyan's approach is unacceptable.
Meanwhile, Serzh Sargsyan must walk towards the society rather than
the society must be united around Serzh Sargsyan and walk towards him.
Most people may say that Sargsyan will never go there because walking
towards the society means losing power. Certainly, it is not absolute,
and there will be compromises when Sargsyan walks towards the society,
sincerely, not formally and out of campaign purposes, meeting the
public interest and keeping power. Moreover, the leader of the main
opposition Levon Ter-Petrosyan seems to have hinted for a number of
times that the government is ready to reject the imperative of change
of government in case of real systemic changes.
But even if Serzh Sargsyan's movement toward the society is equal
to loss of power, it is nevertheless necessary to go. Judging by the
current Armenian and international situation and tendencies, judging
by new essential nuances, it is better to lose the power that exists
in Armenia rather than to keep it. Because keeping such power will
incur serious losses, more serious than the loss of power.
From: A. Papazian