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What'S New In Baku? - Alas, Not Much

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  • What'S New In Baku? - Alas, Not Much

    WHAT'S NEW IN BAKU? - ALAS, NOT MUCH
    by David Pryce-Jones

    National Review
    November 28, 2011

    Out of the blue, I found myself invited to Baku. Azerbaijan has immense
    deposits of oil and natural gas, and in a blithe nouveau riche spirit
    chooses to put itself on the map by spending fortunes having anyone
    and everyone come on a visit. The World Amateur Boxing Championships
    had just been staged in Baku, and a conference on humanitarianism was
    to follow. On arrival I was taken in charge by a posse of minders,
    put up in a five-star hotel, and fed at a succession of banquets,
    meals, and receptions. The Soviet experience in old days had taught
    me that guests with a full stomach are expected to have an empty
    head. They're then supposed to go home and to spin the illusion that
    everything they've seen on the trip is for the best in the best of
    all possible worlds.

    Azerbaijan is one of half a dozen Muslim republics that were colonies
    of the Soviet Union until that empire's collapse 20 short years ago.

    All of them have adjusted from the rule of Communist strongmen to
    the rule of Muslim strongmen. Independence has created laboratory
    conditions in which to observe how the historic legacy of Muslim
    absolutism is incompatible with today's demands for government of
    the people by the people.

    Nine million strong, the Azeris of Azerbaijan are mostly Shia Muslims
    who have never gone in for jihad or extremism (18 million more Azeris
    are a minority on the far side of the border with Iran). Baku, the
    capital, had the reputation in the 19th century of being the most
    progressive city anywhere in Islam. In the aftermath of the First
    World War, the Musavat party won elections and set up the very first
    Muslim democracy anywhere. Lenin and the Bolsheviks soon put a stop
    to that. The neighborhood has always been a roughhouse of Russians,
    Iranians, Turks, Georgians, and Armenians, all of them poised to
    start fisticuffs again at any opportunity. As a result of the long
    Soviet occupation, Azeris tend to speak Russian, and the bookshops
    have many more publications in Russian than in Azeri.

    One Soviet crime inflicting long-term damage was the transfer of
    territory for divide-and-rule purposes from one ethnic group to
    another, creating claims and uncertainties bound to lead to violence.

    Geographically, Nagorno-Karabakh is a sizable enclave that falls
    entirely within Azerbaijan but whose sovereignty was allocated to
    Armenia. In the final years before the end of the Soviet Union, Mikhail
    Gorbachev made such a botch of the issue that both sides resorted to
    massacre and ethnic cleansing. A million Azeris are still refugees,
    and since 1993 Armenia has been occupying a Nagorno-Karabakh inhabited
    only by Armenians. This national disaster preoccupies Azeris much as
    the French used to concentrate on recovering Alsace-Lorraine.

    Handsome stone houses, even palaces, line the broad avenues in the
    center of Baku and testify to long-lost Russian imperial grandeur.

    Gigantically disproportionate towers, hulks of glass and concrete and
    all manner of postmodern architectural follies, are monuments to the
    new oil wealth. An attractive promenade with gardens and children's
    playgrounds runs for a mile or two along the Caspian Sea front. Among
    the crowds on their evening stroll are young men holding hands with
    their girlfriends and even cuddling on a bench -- a sight I have
    not seen in any other Arab or Muslim city. Few women are wearing
    headscarves. A recent study by Suha Bolukbasi, a Turkish professor in
    Ankara, has the information that under the Soviets the whole country
    had only 16 working mosques, hence the widespread indifference to
    Islam and even the atheism. On the boulevards -- phonetically spelled
    "bulvar" in the Azeri language -- are shops displaying the brand
    names of famous Western designers and providers of luxury goods.

    Mysteriously, they have no customers.

    Huge posters everywhere show a man trying to look youthful, smiling
    slightly, sometimes wearing a black-tie dinner jacket. The posters
    have no words or slogans on them. Though dead for almost ten years,
    Heydar Aliyev needs no identification. He's the strongman who made
    the transition from Communism to personal rule. Although a creature of
    Stalinism, he was driven by ambition and greed rather than blood-lust.

    In 1945, aged 22, he joined both the Communist party and the KGB. In
    a career typical of the times, he knew exactly how to perform what
    was demanded of him, rising to be first secretary of the Azerbaijani
    Communist party, head of the Azerbaijani KGB with the rank of major
    general, and finally the first Muslim to be appointed to the Soviet
    Politburo, the body of about a dozen personalities who used to decide
    everything down to trivial details in the Soviet Union.

    His self-enrichment by means of bribery and corruption was common
    knowledge. In a notorious example of sycophancy, he commissioned
    an expensive diamond ring and presented it to his master, Leonid
    Brezhnev. He timed his exit from the Soviet hierarchy perfectly. Far
    the most powerful man in an independent Azerbaijan, he mounted a
    successful coup and then rigged his election as president with a vote
    of 98.8 percent. After ten years in power, he fell seriously ill and
    in 2003 passed a decree appointing his son Ilham Aliyev to succeed him.

    The Muslim order has a disposition towards forming dynasties; witness
    the schemes of Saddam Hussein, Moammar Qaddafi, and Hosni Mubarak to
    have their sons inherit their role as supreme leader. In Syria, the
    late president Hafez Assad successfully manipulated his son Bashar to
    succeed him. Two of a kind, Bashar Assad and Ilham Aliyev are obliged
    to maintain the central illusion that their fathers' efforts to hand on
    the presidency are legitimacy enough. Hence the posters and personality
    cult in evidence in Baku and subjected to attack in Syrian towns.

    Guidebooks describe an ecological disaster at Ramana, a site 40 minutes
    from Baku, where the Soviets abandoned the machinery of oil extraction
    on a scale so horrible that it becomes fascinating. Day after day,
    the minders said the road was closed. Such open supervision made me
    fear that my contacts with Azeris were being recorded. In the real
    Azerbaijan, people took no precautions to hide their names or their
    helpfulness to me. Ilham Aliyev's New Azerbaijan Party, YAP in its
    Azeri acronym, I heard, is a clone of the old Communist party. Its
    ideologist, Ramiz Mehdiyev, was once head of the Communist-party
    school. Isa Gambar, head of Musavat, the party that initiated democracy
    a century ago, has been in prison.

    The Writers' Union is also exactly as it was under the Soviets. The
    first lady's grandfather has been built up as a great writer. Freedom
    of speech is controlled. A few years ago Elmar Huseynov, a critical
    journalist, was murdered, and nobody has been arrested. On trumped-up
    charges of causing public disorder or evading military service,
    about 16 other journalists (some say more, some say fewer) have just
    received prison sentences between one and three years. Here's someone
    who was warned that he would have to mend his ways or else his son
    would pay for it. "In Soviet times, at least they kept to the rules,"
    he says. "Now we have no rules. They're a criminal gang. You have to
    protect yourself."

    The oil wealth is in the hands of the president, the first lady,
    his two daughters and one son, and five or six ministers who receive
    rewards for unquestioning loyalty to the family. One of them owns 250
    companies. Everyone has stories of corruption involving construction,
    land, transport, licensing, communications, and much else. Bribery is
    the regular way of doing business. Those glittering bulvar shops are
    empty because their function is to launder money. The ruling elite
    may not want all the money for its own sake, but they have to make
    sure that it doesn't get into the hands of anyone who might use it
    to topple them. Instead of liberating, then, oil wealth is serving
    to block reform and stabilize injustice and corruption. The few
    are eating up the many, and this can't last. Sooner or later, the
    Arab Spring or its equivalent will reach the Caspian, so I hear. The
    mistakes, contradictions, and selfishness of Ilham Aliyev are quite
    enough to bring down the curtain on his dynasty and the antiquated
    rule of the strongman.

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