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Finance Minister Warns Of Fallout From Euro Zone Crisis

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  • Finance Minister Warns Of Fallout From Euro Zone Crisis

    FINANCE MINISTER WARNS OF FALLOUT FROM EURO ZONE CRISIS
    by Sargis Harutyunyan

    Armenialiberty.org
    http://www.azatutyun.am/content/article/24390854.html
    Nov 14 2011

    Armenia - Finance Minister Vache Gabrielian speaks at a news
    conference, 14Nov 2011.14.11.2011

    Renewed recession in Europe could slow Armenia's ongoing economic
    recovery and complicate a sizable increase in tax revenues planned
    by the Armenian government, Finance Minister Vache Gabrielian said
    on Monday.

    After sluggish growth registered in 2010 the Armenian economy is on
    course to expand by 4.6 percent this year. The government has forecast
    a growth rate of 4.2 percent for next year.

    Continued growth is essential for the success of its plans to raise
    tax revenues by 13 percent in 2012. This, coupled with a more modest
    rise in public spending, is meant to cut the state budget deficit to
    a level equivalent to around 3 percent of Gross Domestic Product.

    "If there are cataclysms coming from European countries, if agriculture
    suffers catastrophic changes as a consequence of weather conditions,
    naturally there could be some problems [with meeting these targets,]"
    Gabrielian told a news conference. He said "big problems" resulting
    from the sovereign debt crisis in the European Union would affect
    the entire world.

    France -- President Nicolas Sarkozy and German Chancellor Angela Merkel
    talk to each other prior to holding a joint press conference following
    crisis talks with Greek Prime Minister in Cannes, 02Nov2011 The EU's
    executive European Commission said last week that aggregate economic
    growth in the 17 countries using the euro as the national currency
    will make up 0.5 percent in 2012, down from its earlier projection
    of 1.8 percent.

    "The recovery has now come to a standstill and there's the risk of
    a new recession unless determined action is taken," Olli Rehn, the
    EU's economic and monetary affairs commissioner, warned.

    Armenia was already hit hard when Western economies slid into recession
    in late 2008. Its GDP shrunk by as much as 14 percent in 2009 amid
    plummeting international prices of base metals and remittances from
    Armenians working abroad.

    Gabrielian insisted at the same time that as things stand now the
    government's draft budget for 2012 submitted to parliament last week is
    "realistic." He downplayed concerns about its revenue target publicly
    expressed by Gagik Khachatrian, head of the State Revenue Committee.

    "In your day-to-day life you always have concerns," Gabrielian said.

    "But that doesn't mean you don't take one or another action."

    The government and the Ministry of Finance in particular say that a
    large part of the extra revenues will be generated by fresh amendments
    to Armenian tax legislation that are also likely to be approved by the
    National Assembly before the end of this year. The government-drafted
    amendments would, among other things, raise income tax for wealthy
    Armenians and impose higher duties on expensive cars and alcohol.

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