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ISTANBUL: The South Caucasus: a tricky challenge

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  • ISTANBUL: The South Caucasus: a tricky challenge

    Today's Zaman, Turkey
    Nov 20 2011


    The South Caucasus: a tricky challenge

    by Amanda Paul

    Last week EU foreign policy chief Baroness Catherine Ashton travelled
    to Baku, Tbilisi and Yerevan as a part of a three-day visit to the
    South Caucasus.

    A beautiful part of the world, and of increasing geostrategic
    importance being a natural transport and energy corridor, the region
    unfortunately remains plagued by a number of problems including
    territorial, ethnic and identity conflicts, economic underdevelopment,
    corruption, inadequate governance and weak rule of law.

    While Ashton had already visited Georgia it was her first visit to
    Azerbaijan and Armenia. According to a European Commission press
    statement, the purpose of the visit was to `reaffirm the strong
    commitment of the European Union to the region.' Earlier this year the
    EU had dithered on the subject of whether or not to maintain an EU
    Special Representative for the South Caucasus. Ashton had originally
    suggested that under the Lisbon Treaty the beefed up role of the EU
    delegations in each of the countries would suffice. This resulted in
    significant concern over the EU's level of commitment. Thankfully,
    after serious lobbying efforts the position was maintained and, in
    September, French diplomat Philippe Lefort took the reins which had
    been dropped in February by his predecessor, Peter Semneby.

    The EU has taken a slow approach to deepening its engagement with the
    South Caucasus.Perhaps this is not surprising because the region is
    located far from Brussels. Secondly, because of the region's important
    location -- at the crossroads between Europe, Central Asia, Russia and
    the Middle East -- there has historically and still continues to be
    today, something of a battle for influence. While Russia still remains
    the key actor, Iran also keeps a foot in the door. Tehran cooperates
    with Armenia on numerous different projects and with Iran's ethnic
    Azerbaijani population of over 20 million, Baku is always aware of the
    need to maintain pragmatic ties with Tehran. Sometimes this is
    difficult. Tensions arise, not least because of Iranian efforts to
    `export' fundamental Islam to Azerbaijan. While the US seems to have
    evolved a more backseat position, Turkey is looking to increase its
    role. However, with the EU having little or no baggage in the region,
    the EU has more credibility than some other actors. Therefore it is
    well placed to play a bigger role.

    Since the December 2003 European Security Strategy, a document drawn
    up under the authority of Javier Solana, the EU has begun to carve out
    a larger role. Georgia has been at the heart of this, which is a
    direct result of the actions of its president, Mikheil Saakashvili,
    who has continually pushed for greater EU integration since the 2003
    Rose Revolution. It was Saakashvili who worked to have the three South
    Caucasus states included in the EU's European Neighbourhood Policy
    (ENP), which subsequently led to them becoming part of the Eastern
    Partnership. For the most part, though, Armenia and Azerbaijan just
    tagged along. Meanwhile the EU enlargement of 2007 to Bulgaria and
    Romania brought the EU closer to the region. Additionally, the EU's
    increased realization that it needed to further diversify it energy
    resources away from Russia, also gave the region more importance, not
    in the least thanks to Azerbaijan's significant gas reserves. The
    Russia-Georgia war of August 2008 resulted in the EU taking on, for
    the first time, a security role in the region with the deployment of
    the the EU Monitoring Mission in Georgia (EUMM).

    While none of the three will be joining the EU in the foreseeable
    future -- although French President Nicholas Sarkozy put it on the
    table for Georgia and Armenian during a recent visit -- nowadays all
    three countries are negotiating Association Agreements, which include
    visa facilitation and, in the case of Armenia and Georgia, a Deep and
    Comprehensive Free Trade Agreement.

    For all three countries visa facilitation is crucially important.
    Easing visa restrictions will make it easier for certain categories of
    people -- students and businessmen for example -- to travel to the EU,
    which will greatly enhance people to people contacts and offer greater
    opportunities to engage more effectively. All three countries are
    making good progress, but it is a two-way street and the EU should
    avoid unnecessary delays.

    The EU hopes that by increasing cooperation (known as a more for more
    approach) in a maximum of sectors, including related to the economy,
    environment, education, human rights dialogue, energy, etc., it will
    help bring about democratic change and modernization. Ashton
    congratulated all three countries on their efforts so far and
    expressed the hope that European values could act as guiding light to
    carry out reforms. However, with the exception of Georgia, there has
    unfortunately not been too much evidence of this so far.

    Beyond bilateral relations, the EU is also keen to progress regional
    cooperation. This is proving to be trickier. On the sidelines of the
    recent Warsaw Eastern Partnership Summit, Ashton reportedly proposed a
    joint meeting between herself and leaderships of Azerbaijan, Armenia
    and Georgia. Unfortunately, it seems that Armenia was not in favor. It
    is not clear why not. Nevertheless, efforts along these lines should
    be persevered.

    The South Caucasus is hostage to its troubled past. It is up to all
    actors involved to help free the region from these chains. The EU has
    a key role to play in this effort.



    From: Emil Lazarian | Ararat NewsPress
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