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RUSSIA'S ACTIVITY DOESN'T CONTRADICT TO FRANCE
Igor Muradyan
Story from Lragir.am News:
http://www.lragir.am/engsrc/politics23687.html
Published: 18:51:14 - 07/10/2011
After the utter failure of Russia's attempts to play a key role in
the handover of the territories of the Lowlands of Karabakh, the
United States and France got the "right" to "stretch the blanket"
on themselves and launch new devices in the process of settlement of
the Karabakh issue. In addition, the United States is not interested
in demonstrating its activity in this issue.
The main goal of the United States has been achieved. Russia has a
secondary role now, and the Americans have a more large-scope issue -
to form anew the logistic scheme from the Black Sea to China.
France has every chance to act as a neutral power in the South
Caucasus, at the same time, representing the European Union. However,
the problem is not the Karabakh issue. Europe is trying to establish
itself as a more imposing force and is making efforts to work out
and achieve its key political and economic goals. In addition, France
believes that it is time to change the West's approach to and policy
on the South Caucasus, which means "neutralization" of the policy
and position of the countries of the region.
The status quo is the basis of Nicolas Sarkozy's plan, which means
that the main goal is not settlement of the conflict but security. The
United States and Russia cannot support this plan, which are, in fact,
also interested in this approach on the condition that the balance
of power and interests in the region will be ensured.
For Russia, this role of France is extremely important because it
allows hoping for the exclusion of the United States from regional
conflicts. Therefore, it is simply meaningless to consider rivalry
between France and Russia in the region. Certainly, Russia will be
following attentively the policy of France but this policy will never
be in line with the Russian interests.
At the same time, an important circumstance of the French policy
speaks not only about the economic but also geopolitical goals of
France. Armenia is viewed by the French from the same point of view
as by the Americans, in other words, as a factor for restraining
Turkey's regional expansion, considering the synthetic importance of
the Armenian factor not only in the Caucasian but also in the European
direction. The United States and France have no detailed agreements
on the goal of restraining Turkey but these two great powers cannot
have no agreements regarding the Turkish policy.
In this case, however, the problem is not agreements but the fact that
France is conducting an independent policy of restraining Turkey,
and the complex of the Armenian problems is a key instrument in
the French policy in this direction. Therefore, Armenia needs to
understand its role more thoroughly in this long-term situation and
try to get certain support in various spheres, including defense and
security because this role in the region will not lead to increase
of the level of its security.
In addition, the economic issues are concerned. For instance,
is transportation of gas from Iran to Europe via Armenia, Georgia
and Black Sea organized realistically? The question occurs whether
France is ready to understand and make those efforts or delegates
responsibility for security to Russia.
Igor Muradyan
Story from Lragir.am News:
http://www.lragir.am/engsrc/politics23687.html
Published: 18:51:14 - 07/10/2011
After the utter failure of Russia's attempts to play a key role in
the handover of the territories of the Lowlands of Karabakh, the
United States and France got the "right" to "stretch the blanket"
on themselves and launch new devices in the process of settlement of
the Karabakh issue. In addition, the United States is not interested
in demonstrating its activity in this issue.
The main goal of the United States has been achieved. Russia has a
secondary role now, and the Americans have a more large-scope issue -
to form anew the logistic scheme from the Black Sea to China.
France has every chance to act as a neutral power in the South
Caucasus, at the same time, representing the European Union. However,
the problem is not the Karabakh issue. Europe is trying to establish
itself as a more imposing force and is making efforts to work out
and achieve its key political and economic goals. In addition, France
believes that it is time to change the West's approach to and policy
on the South Caucasus, which means "neutralization" of the policy
and position of the countries of the region.
The status quo is the basis of Nicolas Sarkozy's plan, which means
that the main goal is not settlement of the conflict but security. The
United States and Russia cannot support this plan, which are, in fact,
also interested in this approach on the condition that the balance
of power and interests in the region will be ensured.
For Russia, this role of France is extremely important because it
allows hoping for the exclusion of the United States from regional
conflicts. Therefore, it is simply meaningless to consider rivalry
between France and Russia in the region. Certainly, Russia will be
following attentively the policy of France but this policy will never
be in line with the Russian interests.
At the same time, an important circumstance of the French policy
speaks not only about the economic but also geopolitical goals of
France. Armenia is viewed by the French from the same point of view
as by the Americans, in other words, as a factor for restraining
Turkey's regional expansion, considering the synthetic importance of
the Armenian factor not only in the Caucasian but also in the European
direction. The United States and France have no detailed agreements
on the goal of restraining Turkey but these two great powers cannot
have no agreements regarding the Turkish policy.
In this case, however, the problem is not agreements but the fact that
France is conducting an independent policy of restraining Turkey,
and the complex of the Armenian problems is a key instrument in
the French policy in this direction. Therefore, Armenia needs to
understand its role more thoroughly in this long-term situation and
try to get certain support in various spheres, including defense and
security because this role in the region will not lead to increase
of the level of its security.
In addition, the economic issues are concerned. For instance,
is transportation of gas from Iran to Europe via Armenia, Georgia
and Black Sea organized realistically? The question occurs whether
France is ready to understand and make those efforts or delegates
responsibility for security to Russia.