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Armenia In Complicated Game

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  • Armenia In Complicated Game

    ARMENIA IN COMPLICATED GAME
    Igor Muradyan

    Lragir.am
    15:46:53 - 17/10/2011

    Currently, three main intrigues are observed in Armenia: regrouping
    of the ruling party, shaping the new image of the government and
    rotation of the real elite; forming of a new opposition, polarization
    of separate groups of the political and economic elite; strengthening
    of the pro-West line of the political government, which is increasingly
    affecting internal affairs.

    Several years ago, before the last presidential elections, the
    intentions of the United States and their partners to grant a new
    geopolitical status to Armenia became evident. Armenia is "led", and
    this is good, as of now, because every country needs "registration"
    by more influential partners. One wants to believe that the political
    government of Armenia uses this situation at best, in the interests
    of the country.

    In any case, no matter how beneficial the scenario of "registration"
    is, this approach becomes prejudicial and demands a reshuffle of
    roles and priorities. However, our understanding of the acts of our
    own government considerably differs from the understanding of foreign
    partners. For instance, Serzh Sargsyan's trip Washington-Paris-Warsaw
    and the visit of the minister of defense to Brussels caused not only
    preoccupation but also a bugbear for Moscow, with the participation
    of the Russian battalion in the military parade of the Armenian forces.

    While Mikhail Saakashvili is predictable, Serzh Sargsyan is the
    main intrigue for Moscow. And the problem is not separate trips
    but the complete politics of the United States on Armenia and the
    Armenian factor in general. Even if in a definite political-logical
    zone the interests of the United States and Russia regarding Armenia
    coincide, and they will have to strengthen Armenia, in both economic
    and military-technical terms, Russia, one way or another, fears
    co-participation of Armenia in the American plans, both in relation
    to Turkey and the South Caucasus.

    This is a separate big issue but there is no need to suppose that
    Armenia is becoming an important factor in the policy of the United
    States and France in terms of "restricting" Turkey, as well as fulfils
    the role of balance in the South Caucasus.

    It is a complicated and risky game. Is the Armenian elite ready to
    be a partner and remain a "factor" in this game, as well as leave
    the game in time, if it becomes unacceptable?

    After the lasting absence of a genuine political scramble in Armenia
    it is time to establish a nationalist party because the Armenian
    reality lacks one. The configuration of the political parties in
    the country is generally deplorable, and the existing parties are
    absolutely unable to set forth important ideas in politics. The
    Armenian political nationalism has become an important condition for
    survival and some development but, on the whole, after the Karabakh
    war, it had a fiasco. The political parties and groups in Armenia
    did everything to bury nationalism, cooperating with everyone but
    not with their own people.

    Everyone would like to be ordinary parliamentary and pseudo-liberal
    parties. Everyone has someone to learn something from, because in the
    first years of independent existence the practice of suppression and
    defamation of political nationalism was established. In addition, the
    reasons are clear, and there is no need to pretend. In the Armenian
    society, there have always been people who are able to reorganize
    part of the society and lead the nationalists. In Armenia, this is
    a fixed group of people who are motivated definitely and traditionally.

    The ideas and analysis is enough, everything has been expressed and
    verified. It is time to take a decisive step and create an ambitious
    nationalistic party. But God forbid this party is established with a
    focus on the upcoming elections. Elections at any price and for any
    price is the death of political nationalism.




    From: A. Papazian
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