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BAKU: Can Turkey Really Do Without The European Connection?

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  • BAKU: Can Turkey Really Do Without The European Connection?

    CAN TURKEY REALLY DO WITHOUT THE EUROPEAN CONNECTION?

    news.az
    Oct 27 2011
    Azerbaijan

    News.Az interviews Emiliano Alessandri, Transatlantic Fellow, the
    German Marshall Fund of the United States.

    How successful may Turkey be as an Islamic leader in the Middle
    East region?

    With its dynamic economy, democratizing and fast developing society,
    and its Islamic culture, Turkey can be a source of inspiration for
    Arab countries in transition in the Middle East. But the "Turkish
    model" is still in the making - the approval of a new, fully civilian
    Turkish Constitution will be a key test for this model to emerge - and
    may be a confusing concept. What do we mean by Turkish model exactly?

    Do we mean the "New Turkey" that emerged under the last three AKP
    governments? Or do we mean the longer experience of managed democracy
    and westernization under the Kemalist elites? And can we truly talk
    about a Turkish model when one of Turkey's greatest challenges - the
    solution of the Kurdish question - remains so conspicuously unsolved?

    >From a geopolitical standpoint, Turkey seems destined to become a
    more prominent Middle Eastern actor. But Ankara will face no small
    challenge, including competition with Iran and post-Mubarak Egypt
    for regional leadership.

    How would you comment on the view that EU membership is no longer a
    priority for Turkey?

    The EU is clearly not Ankara's priority at the moment. To the extent
    that this is a response to the EU's own reluctance to move the
    accession process forward this is understandable. Ankara has also the
    unquestionably urgent need to deal with the various crises in its
    southern neighbourhood. But on the view that fading interest in EU
    membership is due to the increasingly fashionable view in Ankara that
    "the New Turkey doesn't need the EU anymore", there is reason to pause:
    can Turkey really do without the European connection? Is the Turkish
    economy really so strong that it can do without the common European
    market and the assurance of continuing foreign direct investment from
    main European countries? Hasn't Turkey historically always benefited
    from its balancing act between integration with Europe and projection
    in its eastern and southern neighbourhoods? The various projections
    should be developed together and in a coherent way. There are a lot
    of risks in developing one at the expense of the others.

    What are the main problems and fears in European perceptions of Turkey?

    Many Europeans have an anti-Muslim prejudice and bias. Xenophobic
    and anti-Muslim parties in the EU have often presented Turkey as
    the spokesperson of Muslim communities in Europe, or as the Trojan
    horse for the Islamization of Europe. In Italy, the decision to ban
    the construction of mosques in certain regions was presented by some
    as a "victory against Turkey". Many Europeans ignore the fact that
    Turkey is a secular country with republican institutions. Turkey is
    also seen as a poor society instead of a fast developing one. Many
    fear an invasion of Turkish immigrants and don't know that over the
    years Turkey has become a country of immigration as well as emigration.

    How serious is the current crisis between Turkey and Israel?

    It is very serious and there is some truth in the view that nothing
    will be the same anymore between the two countries. At the same time,
    both countries realize that in the very unstable strategic environment
    of the Middle East, there is no need for yet another crisis, let alone
    a new conflict. Cooperation may be out of the question for some time,
    but a process of rapprochement is in the interest of both. The sooner
    the two parties realize this, the better.

    How soon can Turkey and Armenia improve their relations and what does
    this depend on?

    The initiatives pursued in recent years have lost steam and
    normalization of relations has not been attained. Aside from the
    issue of the protocols to be ratified, the two countries should
    start a dialogue based on a common view of their future, rather than
    focused exclusively on their difficult past. Although Armenia has some
    responsibility for the lack of progress, much will depend on Turkey's
    position. As a larger, dynamic country that prides itself on being
    an "emerging power", Turkey has to take the initiative again. The
    fact that past efforts have not fully succeeded should not be used
    as justification for inaction. Turkey will never be a "leader" if
    it fails to solve long-standing problems that date back to its very
    origins as a nation state after the fall of the Ottoman Empire".




    From: A. Papazian
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