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WPS Agency, Russia
DEFENSE and SECURITY (Russia)
August 24, 2011 Wednesday
THE CIS SUMMIT WILL TAKE PLACE WITHOUT ILHAM ALIYEV
by Vyacheslav Nikolaev
Source: Rossiyskie Vesti, No. 25, August 22-28, 2011, p. EV
[translated from Russian]
HIGHLIGHT: WHAT STANDS BEHIND THE REFUSAL OF THE PRESIDENT OF
AZERBAIJAN TO GO TO DUSHANBE; President of Azerbaijan Ilham Aliyev
will not arrive to Dushanbe to the CIS summit planned for September 2
and 3. At this summit Azerbaijan will be represented by Prime Minister
Artur Rasi-Zade.
President of Azerbaijan Ilham Aliyev will not arrive to Dushanbe to
the CIS summit planned for September 2 and 3. Novruz Mamedov, director
of the external relations department of the Administration of the
President of Azerbaijan, says that at this summit Azerbaijan will be
represented by Prime Minister Artur Rasi-Zade.
This report triggered active comments. If we recall the words
pronounced by Vladimir Putin when he was the president and visited
Yerevan that "CIS was created as a mechanism of divorce," refusal of
the leader of Azerbaijan to take part in the jubilee summit of this
institution may be taken as a certain reaction to the fact of breakup
of the Soviet Union. However, if we recall that, for instance, refusal
to participate in work of the CIS on the part of Georgian President
Mikhail Saakashvili was posed as an action of protest against the
policy of Moscow in Transcaucasia, we could look at the decision of
Aliyev from a different standpoint. Moreover so that there was his
summit with Russian President Dmitry Medvedev in Sochi recently. Many
political analysts in Baku described its results enthusiastically.
Then this means that the decision of Aliyev is a deliberate action
after which we may expect a certain correction in the foreign policy
of Azerbaijan.
Many things are on the surface there. First, this is the failed summit
of Medvedev-Sargsian-Aliyev in Kazan dedicated to Nagorno-Karabakh
regulation. Second, this is the statement of Dmitry Medvedev to
Georgian journalists that use of the forceful factor in resolving of
conflicts in Transcaucasia may mean certain negative consequences for
initiators of such scenario. Baku took this warning of the Russian
leader negatively. If Azerbaijan is really not going to start a war
against Armenia, it is deprived of one of the factors of pressurizing
of Yerevan. Third, President Aliyev understood that attempts to
attract Moscow to his side in negotiations on Nagorno-Karabakh to
destroy the existing mechanism of the Minsk OSCE group that prepared
the "basic" Madrid principles of Nagorno-Karabakh regulation were
useless.
Finally, Baku understands that even the Zurich process of
normalization of relations of Turkey with Armenia passed with
participation of Russia. So, many people take the refusal of President
of Azerbaijan Aliyev to take part in the summit of leaders of CIS
countries in Dushanbe in September as a kind of deliberate
demonstrative action. However, for example, if Baku says that the
intermediary mission of Medvedev in the Nagorno-Karabakh regulation
has failed Paris is ready to take his place. The stance of France with
regard to the so-called "Armenian problem" is well known. France will
take Armenia out of the isolation and will not deviate from the Madrid
principles by a single step. Along with this, Libyan experience shows
that Paris will act more decisively to achieve its goals. For example,
it may initiate passage of a resolution through the EU institutions
about forcing of Baku and Yerevan to peace through insertion of an
international peacekeeping contingent to the conflict zone.
From: A. Papazian
DEFENSE and SECURITY (Russia)
August 24, 2011 Wednesday
THE CIS SUMMIT WILL TAKE PLACE WITHOUT ILHAM ALIYEV
by Vyacheslav Nikolaev
Source: Rossiyskie Vesti, No. 25, August 22-28, 2011, p. EV
[translated from Russian]
HIGHLIGHT: WHAT STANDS BEHIND THE REFUSAL OF THE PRESIDENT OF
AZERBAIJAN TO GO TO DUSHANBE; President of Azerbaijan Ilham Aliyev
will not arrive to Dushanbe to the CIS summit planned for September 2
and 3. At this summit Azerbaijan will be represented by Prime Minister
Artur Rasi-Zade.
President of Azerbaijan Ilham Aliyev will not arrive to Dushanbe to
the CIS summit planned for September 2 and 3. Novruz Mamedov, director
of the external relations department of the Administration of the
President of Azerbaijan, says that at this summit Azerbaijan will be
represented by Prime Minister Artur Rasi-Zade.
This report triggered active comments. If we recall the words
pronounced by Vladimir Putin when he was the president and visited
Yerevan that "CIS was created as a mechanism of divorce," refusal of
the leader of Azerbaijan to take part in the jubilee summit of this
institution may be taken as a certain reaction to the fact of breakup
of the Soviet Union. However, if we recall that, for instance, refusal
to participate in work of the CIS on the part of Georgian President
Mikhail Saakashvili was posed as an action of protest against the
policy of Moscow in Transcaucasia, we could look at the decision of
Aliyev from a different standpoint. Moreover so that there was his
summit with Russian President Dmitry Medvedev in Sochi recently. Many
political analysts in Baku described its results enthusiastically.
Then this means that the decision of Aliyev is a deliberate action
after which we may expect a certain correction in the foreign policy
of Azerbaijan.
Many things are on the surface there. First, this is the failed summit
of Medvedev-Sargsian-Aliyev in Kazan dedicated to Nagorno-Karabakh
regulation. Second, this is the statement of Dmitry Medvedev to
Georgian journalists that use of the forceful factor in resolving of
conflicts in Transcaucasia may mean certain negative consequences for
initiators of such scenario. Baku took this warning of the Russian
leader negatively. If Azerbaijan is really not going to start a war
against Armenia, it is deprived of one of the factors of pressurizing
of Yerevan. Third, President Aliyev understood that attempts to
attract Moscow to his side in negotiations on Nagorno-Karabakh to
destroy the existing mechanism of the Minsk OSCE group that prepared
the "basic" Madrid principles of Nagorno-Karabakh regulation were
useless.
Finally, Baku understands that even the Zurich process of
normalization of relations of Turkey with Armenia passed with
participation of Russia. So, many people take the refusal of President
of Azerbaijan Aliyev to take part in the summit of leaders of CIS
countries in Dushanbe in September as a kind of deliberate
demonstrative action. However, for example, if Baku says that the
intermediary mission of Medvedev in the Nagorno-Karabakh regulation
has failed Paris is ready to take his place. The stance of France with
regard to the so-called "Armenian problem" is well known. France will
take Armenia out of the isolation and will not deviate from the Madrid
principles by a single step. Along with this, Libyan experience shows
that Paris will act more decisively to achieve its goals. For example,
it may initiate passage of a resolution through the EU institutions
about forcing of Baku and Yerevan to peace through insertion of an
international peacekeeping contingent to the conflict zone.
From: A. Papazian