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  • Hovik Abrahamyan Could Become Potential Threat To Sargsyan's Rule: U

    HOVIK ABRAHAMYAN COULD BECOME POTENTIAL THREAT TO SARGSYAN'S RULE: US AMBASSADOR

    epress.am
    09.05.2011 09:30

    On Oct. 9, 2008, then US Ambassador to Armenia Marie L. Yovanovitch
    met with National Assembly Speaker Hovik Abrahamyan (pictured). In
    this, their first official meeting, the then new parliamentary
    speaker "blasted" the opposition for "blackening" the image of
    Armenia, asking the US ambassador to use US influence to moderate
    the Levon Ter-Petrossin (LTP)-led opposition movement, according to
    a confidential Oct. 29, 2008 cable recently published by WikiLeaks.

    Abrahamyan appealed to the Ambassador for the Embassy to stop providing
    the opposition with support. "The Speaker said such support was
    'harming our country,' and that the opposition would be better off
    devoting itself to preparing for the next parliamentary elections in
    three years' time. (COMMENT: In fact, we provide no support to the
    opposition of any kind, although our frequent advocacy of political
    freedoms and human rights can be misunderstood by the likes of
    Abrahamyan as pro-LTP.)"

    During the meeting, Abrahamyan played down the relevancy of the
    opposition, saying that "'their numbers are decreasing because they
    have nothing to tell the public.' Abrahamyan also pointed to the
    resounding loss of LTP ally Ararat Zurabyan in the Sept. 28 election
    for the post of Yerevan central district prefect as further evidence
    of the lack of public confidence in the opposition. (COMMENT: Local
    and international observers, including our own from the Embassy,
    reported widespread irregularities in the conduct of the vote as
    well as the vote count. However, Abrahamyan has a point about LTP's
    decreasing public support and lack of a compelling message.)"

    Yovanovitch writes that in reference to the Mar. 1-2 post-election
    unrest, Abrahamyan "said the authorities are not scared of the
    opposition, but do fear provocations that seek to frame the authorities
    for violence initiated by the opposition. Abrahamyan complained that
    he has not heard 'any constructive statements' from the opposition
    on the issues of reform currently underway in Armenia.

    He declared that every country needs a constructive opposition,
    'not enemies'.

    "In response, the Ambassador enumerated the continuing concerns of
    the US government: that the conduct of the presidential election was
    significantly flawed; that some of those detained during the Mar. 1
    unrest appeared to have been arrested because of their political
    activities; that there appeared to be a denial of fair, speedy justice
    in many of the ongoing trials of those detained; that the electronic
    media was being unfairly manipulated by the authorities so as to give
    a one-sided picture of the situation; and that the political rights of
    citizens to associate and assemble continued to be severely curtailed.

    The Ambassador urged the government to resolve all these issues
    and 'turn the page' on such an unfortunate chapter in Armenia's
    post-independence history."

    Abrahamyan admitted violations in the presidential election, but not
    enough to influence the outcome, reads the cable.

    "Abrahamyan also defended the banning of opposition rallies on various
    grounds. He first argued that 'we have not denied, but proposed new
    venues' to the opposition when their requests have come in. (COMMENT:
    The alternative venues offered by the authorities are comparable to
    denying protesters in Washington access to the Mall and offering them
    instead the parking lot of RFK stadium.) The Ambassador objected
    to the Speaker's rationale for banning the opposition's rallies,
    and noted that in the 90 rally requests submitted since Mar., only
    two were permitted for the originally requested venue. She reiterated
    that by continually depriving the opposition their right to be heard,
    the authorities only aggravated the situation."

    The National Assembly speaker said, however, he was prepared to
    open the parliamentary platform to "all political forces, people and
    the public" to allow open discussions to take place, as long as the
    discussions are based on objective, reasonable criticism. Abrahamyan
    said that 'we are ready to listen to their critiques,' and that the
    Ambassador will see in practice that 'we are inclined to a constructive
    approach,' and that 'we are democratic people'."

    The parties also discussed the Millennium Challenge Program (MCC),
    with the parliamentary speaker urging the Ambassador to end its limited
    funding suspension. "Abrahamyan said he hoped the Ambassador could
    'intervene to undo its delay.' When told by the Ambassador that the
    program was delayed because of its failing eligibility indicators,
    the Speaker feigned surprise and said it was 'news to me'."

    Yovanovitch informed Abrahamyan that "until Armenia substantively
    addressed the fallout from the flawed presidential election and the
    post-election violence, as well as its failing indicators, the future
    of MCC would be in question. The Ambassador reiterated that it would
    help if the authorities did three things: adjudicate in a transparent,
    fair manner all of the cases of those detained in relation to the
    election; allow people to demonstrate legally who want to; and allow
    the media to work and report more freely."

    In the commentary which concludes the cable, the US ambassador writes,
    "Abrahamyan typifies the type of Republican politician that makes up a
    large chunk of the parliament and of the ruling party establishment:
    politico-oligarchs who use political power to advance their business
    interests and vice versa. Such figures brought Sargsyan to power, but
    also could become a potential threat to Sargsyan's rule if he moves
    overtly against their interests. Over time, Abrahamyan's political fate
    may be a bellwether of reform prospects during President Sargsyan's
    Administration. At the moment, it is not clear to us whether he won his
    current position because he enjoys Sargsyan's trust and confidence,
    or conversely whether he wrested the job from Sargsyan unwillingly,
    and Sargsyan did not feel secure enough in his position to refuse."

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