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How Sargsyan's 'Greatest PR Mistake' Gave Ter-Petrossian's Campaign

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  • How Sargsyan's 'Greatest PR Mistake' Gave Ter-Petrossian's Campaign

    HOW SARGSYAN'S 'GREATEST PR MISTAKE' GAVE TER-PETROSSIAN'S CAMPAIGN 'MUCH-NEEDED' BOOST

    ArmeniaDiaspora.com
    Sept 12 2011

    Epress.am -- Ex-president Levon Ter-Petrossian (LTP) and
    president-elect Prime Minister Serzh Sargsyan held competing rallies
    blocks away from each other in downtown Yerevan the afternoon of Feb.

    26, 2008, writes then US Charges d'Affaires in Yerevan Joseph
    Pennington in a Feb. 28, 2008 confidential embassy cable recently
    made public by WikiLeaks.

    "While Sargsyan's first post-election rally drew approximately 60,000
    to 70,000 bussed-in supporters, LTP's seventh post-election rally in
    as many days drew 85,000 to 100,000, his largest so far. Thousands
    of Sargsyan participants later defected to LTP's rally up the street,
    where they were rapturously received with chants of "Unite, Unite."

    Some of the bussed-in Sargsyan supporters who joined the LTP rally
    appeared visibly dazed by the magnitude of LTP's support, which,
    because of a virtual media blackout, has been grossly misportrayed
    by national media.

    "Supporters at Sargsyan's rally appeared to be mainly middle-aged
    men and women, with virtually no youth in sight. Banners at the
    rally showed people had come from the outlying regions of Yerevan,
    though one group Emboffs [embassy officials or officers] spoke with
    had come all the way from Javakheti, Georgia. In a scene reminiscent
    of mass mobilizations during the Soviet era, banner slogans read
    'Farmers for Serzh,' 'Doctors for Serzh,' and even 'Tuberculosis
    Polyclinic Employees for Serzh.'

    "People whom Emboffs surveyed at the rally responded differently on
    the reason for their attendance, depending on how Emboffs identified
    themselves (either from the US Embassy or simply from America).

    People who knew they were talking to diplomats said they came willingly
    to the rally, 'to defend their vote' for Sargsyan and paid their
    own way to Yerevan. One group of women told Emboffs 'to mind their
    own business' when asked why they came to the rally, barking at the
    female FSN translator, 'Why did YOU come?' On the other hand, most
    men and women who were speaking to Americans said they were obliged
    to attend the rally by their supervisors and had been bussed to the
    event," writes Pennington.

    The US diplomat then notes that embassy officials timed the departure
    of participants at Sargsyan's rally once he concluded his 30-minute
    speech:

    "Within the space of eight minutes, approximately 95 percent of the
    approximately 60,000-70,000 crowd bolted the rain-drizzled square
    for their waiting buses and rides home. Only 2,000 held on in the
    drizzling rain, kept there by popular Armenian pop stars who took the
    stage after the Prime Minister. A bemused bystander approached Emboffs,
    and when Emboff asked him why he was grinning, he incredulously noted,
    'Did you see that - how fast everyone left the square?'"

    As for Ter-Petrossian's rally, Pennington notes this was by
    the strongest yet - exceeding his Feb. 17 pre-election rally at
    Liberty (Freedom) Square. In terms of demographics, Pennington
    cites embassy officials who say they noticed a "greater number of
    people" from the regions, from both southern and northern Armenia,
    and noticeably younger demographic, but with many middle-aged people
    also participating.

    Prior to the rally, embassy officials visited two university campuses
    to investigate reports of riot police being stationed outside to
    deter student participation in Ter-Petrossian's rally.

    "Both campuses had approximately 10-20 riot and regular police outside,
    with numerous police vehicles parked in the street. When queried by
    Emboffs at Yerevan State University's (YSU) main campus why they
    were there, police - including ranking officers - refused to make
    a statement, walked away from Emboffs, and acted as if nobody had
    addressed them. A police officer at a YSU affiliate down the street
    said they had been dispatched to "preserve order." A student at
    the scene said police had arrived the day before, had engaged with
    students and told them not to attend the rally, but were overall
    non-aggressive," reads the cable.

    Several businessmen participating in Ter-Petrossian's rally who were
    members of the Armenian Revolutionary Federation-Dashnaktsutyun (ARF-D)
    told embassy officials that the "'dirty' presidential election was to
    blame for the protest. They also said they thought the OSCE's quick
    rush to recognize the election results had contributed to people's
    dissatisfaction with the situation, and actually contributed to the
    ongoing protests."

    In his concluding comments, Pennington notes that if Sargsyan's
    goal was to "offset" the ongoing Ter-Petrossian rallies with "a show
    of force of his own, he outright failed. In fact, it appears he did
    himself more ill than good, giving LTP and their diehard 30,000 cadre a
    new influx of thousands of jaded, would-be Sargsyan supporters bussed
    into Yerevan by the ruling regime itself. Where previous LTP rallies
    appeared to be stagnating in terms of number of supporters, today's
    lopsided duel with Sargsyan's contrived event appears to have given
    the LTP campaign a much-needed infusion of energy, regional support,
    and new credibility with the Armenian street. It remains to be seen,
    though, how LTP will exploit this showdown, and how Sargsyan will
    react to arguably the greatest PR mistake of the increasingly tense
    post-election period. Within a matter of hours, today's dueling rallies
    visibly jeopardized Sargsyan's cultivated image of invincibility."

    Article source: http://bit.ly/o65ZFu

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