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An Air-Defense Commonwealth

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  • An Air-Defense Commonwealth

    AN AIR-DEFENSE COMMONWEALTH
    by Sergey Konovalov

    RusData Dialine - Russian Press Digest
    September 12, 2011 Monday

    The spread of new Russian ABM defense systems in post-Soviet space
    is hampered by arms manufacturers

    The active phase of training the Joint CIS Air Defense System members,
    the Combat Commonwealth 2011 air defense exercises, conducted at the
    Ashuluk air defense test site, comes to an end today. Despite the
    fact that not all member states are taking part in the maneuvers,
    the missile combat crews (of Armenia, Belarus, Russia, Kyrgyzstan,
    and Tajikistan) will be monitored by defense ministry representatives
    of all 11 states of the CIS.

    Observers from Azerbaijan and Moldova, who are not members of the Joint
    CIS Air Defense System, arrived at the training field. Their interest
    is understandable. The Joint CIS Air Defense System is practically
    a military-coalition alliance of the Commonwealth, which is showing
    a certain level of efficiency.

    As is shown by the military actions of the US and NATO in Iraq,
    Afghanistan and Libya, unmanned aerial strikes are one of today's main
    methods of defeating the enemy. To repel such attacks, ABM defense
    means are needed like never before. But because they are not cheap
    and in post- Soviet states these means are still mainly of old Soviet
    production, the dependence of CIS countries on Russia is evident.

    Russia is the only country on post-Soviet territory that is modernizing
    the entire spectrum of air defense and air defense missile systems
    produced in the USSR. At the same time, Moscow is also developing
    and manufacturing new systems.

    Apparently, it's no coincidence that last Saturday after a meeting of
    the Coordination Committee on ABM Issues under the Council of Defense
    Ministers of the CIS, Commander of the Belarusian Air Force and
    ABM Maj.- Gen. Sergey Lemeshevsky, said that his country intends to
    purchase the new S-400 anti-aircraft missile systems from Russia. As
    is known, Belarusian representatives have expressed these intentions
    more than once. As early as May, the secretary general of the Union
    State of Russia and Belarus, Pavel Borodin, announced that the issue
    concerning the supplies of the S- 400 Triumph air defense missile
    systems (designed and produced by the ABM concern Almaz-Antei) to
    Belarus had been almost settled. Diplomatic and military sources told
    Nezavisimaya Gazeta (NG) that after this summer's failed negotiations
    between Moscow and NATO regarding the creation of a single Euro-ABM
    system, Russia is, in practical terms, considering the possibility
    of allocating S-400 divisions on the territory of Belarus.

    An indirect confirmation of these intentions has been the statement
    made by Defense Ministry spokesman Vladimir Drik that missile
    combat crews equipped with the S-400 will take part in the joint
    Russian-Belarusian "Union Shield 2011" exercises, which will start on
    September 16. The head of the General Staff of the Armed Forces of
    Belarus, Petr Tikhonovsky, while revealing the intention of these
    maneuvers, said: "We are working on the application of a single
    regional ABM system, which is expected to be used not only to repel
    air assault weapons, but also cover ground forces". Meanwhile, Russia
    has not yet made any official statements regarding the transfer of
    S-400 divisions to Belarus. This is of course due to the fact that
    Russian army regiments and divisions are being equipped with the S-
    400 systems with delays. Russian defense minister Anatoly Serdyukov
    has frequently reiterated the need to build several new factories for
    the production of AMB systems. But it looks like the defense industry
    sector is coming up short.

    Meanwhile, Russia evidently has certain obligations to supply
    air-defense means to not only Belarus. Russia's closest allies,
    Kazakhstan and Armenia, are also waiting for Russia to sign contracts
    for the allocation of S-300 and S-400 systems on their territories.

    However, as was recently stated by the co-chairman of the
    Non-Departmental Advisory Council for Aerospace Defense, Igor
    Ashurbeili, production of the S-300 systems in Russia has been stopped,
    and the S-400 systems are not yet being offered for sale.

    Another problem is the fact that last year two S-300 divisions were
    sold by Russia to Azerbaijan, which is preparing to go to war with
    Armenia, Russia's ally. Negotiations about a possible purchase of 10
    S-300 divisions by Kazakhstan have already been ongoing for more than
    three years. But, argues Ashurbeili, because the production of S-300
    systems in Russia has ceased, Kazakhstan will most likely get these
    systems from the army reserve. In other words, it will be secondhand
    equipment. The fact that this will be the case is confirmed by the
    Kazakh army commanders' acknowledgement that the transfer will occur
    at no cost.

    The director of the Global Arms Trade Analysis Center, Igor
    Korotchenko, told NG that the Almaz-Antei concern has currently "begun
    the construction of three new factories (one in St. Petersburg and two
    in the Volga Region) for the production of an entire series of modern
    ABM defense systems." With their opening, Korotchenko said that "all
    needs for new ABM systems in Russia as well as export obligations
    will be met." However, the question is when will these factories
    begin to operate? According to government officials and Almaz-Antei
    representatives the ABM production facilities are expected to open
    in 2015. In other words - not any time soon.

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